Ethiopia vs Madagascar: Population growth

Population growth in 2023: 2.59% a year in Ethiopia and 2.45% a year in Madagascar, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in Ethiopia, by 0.13 percentage points, or 1.05 times that in Madagascar.

EthiopiaMadagascar

Watch it change on the map

% a year · UN

All years Since 1990 Since 2010

Values Change

LinearLog

World Projection

EthiopiaMadagascarUN projection (medium variant)95% prediction intervalWorld

Latest figures

% a year · UN

Country	Latest	10 years before	Rank in 2023	Projected
Ethiopia	2.59 2023	2.67	22 of 229	0.48 2100
Madagascar	2.45 2023	2.7	25 of 229	0.44 2100
World	0.87 2023	1.23		-0.13 2100

What the numbers say

Ethiopia has been higher since 2014, when it overtook Madagascar.
The UN projection (medium variant) puts Ethiopia at 0.48% a year and Madagascar at 0.44% a year in 2100.
The world as a whole: 0.87% a year in 2023.

Every year

% a year · UN

Year	Ethiopia	Madagascar	World
2023	2.59	2.45	0.87
2022	2.62	2.47	0.88
2021	2.62	2.49	0.8
2020	2.72	2.54	0.9
2019	2.7	2.6	1.03
2018	2.69	2.61	1.07
2017	2.71	2.6	1.13
2016	2.74	2.61	1.17
2015	2.67	2.62	1.18
2014	2.7	2.66	1.22
2013	2.67	2.7	1.23
2012	2.77	2.74	1.27
2011	2.84	2.8	1.26
2010	2.85	2.88	1.27
2009	2.82	2.94	1.28
2008	2.86	2.94	1.28
2007	2.93	2.93	1.28
2006	2.93	2.94	1.28
2005	2.95	2.94	1.27
2004	2.99	2.92	1.28
2003	3	2.91	1.29
2002	3.04	2.95	1.3
2001	3.05	3.03	1.33
2000	3.02	3.13	1.35
1999	3.12	3.22	1.35
1998	3.13	3.28	1.37
1997	3.15	3.27	1.39
1996	3.26	3.24	1.42
1995	3.34	3.19	1.45
1994	3.47	3.13	1.47
1993	3.49	3.08	1.52
1992	3.54	3.02	1.57
1991	4.91	3	1.63
1990	3.73	2.98	1.76
1989	3.67	2.93	1.78
1988	4.02	2.89	1.79
1987	3.79	2.86	1.84
1986	3.01	2.84	1.83
1985	2.9	2.9	1.8
1984	2.73	2.91	1.8
1983	2.47	2.93	1.78
1982	3.13	2.96	1.86
1981	4.67	2.96	1.82
1980	0.3	3.01	1.8
1979	0.81	3.04	1.79
1978	2.17	3.04	1.74
1977	1.21	3.03	1.75
1976	2.65	3.03	1.78
1975	2.39	3.02	1.8
1974	2.5	3.01	1.88
1973	2.68	2.99	1.94
1972	2.64	2.96	1.97
1971	2.7	2.93	1.97
1970	2.77	2.88	2.06
1969	2.75	2.81	2.06
1968	2.76	2.76	2.09
1967	2.77	2.7	2
1966	2.51	2.65	2.04
1965	2.71	2.61	2.09
1964	2.66	2.59	2.16
1963	2.61	2.58	2.28
1962	2.55	2.59	2.11
1961	2.49	2.6	1.67
1960	2.4	2.62	1.58
1959	2.32	2.62	1.73
1958	1.52	2.6	2
1957	1.49	2.58	2.07
1956	2.06	2.57	1.98
1955	2.01	2.55	2.01
1954	1.96	2.54	1.99
1953	1.89	2.54	1.9
1952	1.88	2.53	1.94
1951	1.83	2.52	1.75
1950	1.74	2.53	1.74

UN projection (medium variant) · 2024–2100

Year	Ethiopia	Madagascar	World
2024	2.581.41–3.76	2.421.86–3.01	0.86
2025	2.521.28–3.69	2.381.78–3.01	0.84
2026	2.481.21–3.64	2.341.68–3.01	0.83
2027	2.451.15–3.74	2.31.6–2.99	0.81
2028	2.380.88–3.64	2.261.53–2.95	0.8
2029	2.360.98–3.63	2.221.47–2.95	0.78
2030	2.31–3.6	2.181.43–2.94	0.76
2031	2.260.95–3.6	2.151.36–2.9	0.75
2032	2.220.9–3.57	2.111.3–2.87	0.73
2033	2.150.77–3.55	2.071.25–2.85	0.72
2034	2.120.72–3.44	2.031.22–2.84	0.7
2035	2.090.74–3.45	21.19–2.79	0.69
2036	2.050.72–3.3	1.971.14–2.75	0.67
2037	2.010.62–3.29	1.941.09–2.71	0.65
2038	1.980.62–3.36	1.911.06–2.7	0.64
2039	1.950.61–3.3	1.881.03–2.68	0.62
2040	1.920.55–3.23	1.850.99–2.68	0.61
2041	1.880.56–3.21	1.820.95–2.64	0.59
2042	1.860.48–3.16	1.790.92–2.65	0.57
2043	1.840.49–3.14	1.760.9–2.64	0.56
2044	1.810.47–3.12	1.730.84–2.67	0.54
2045	1.770.48–3.12	1.70.82–2.65	0.52
2046	1.750.4–3.05	1.680.8–2.66	0.5
2047	1.730.36–3.09	1.650.79–2.66	0.48
2048	1.690.34–3.07	1.620.75–2.66	0.46
2049	1.650.28–3.12	1.590.72–2.67	0.44
2050	1.610.19–3.02	1.570.67–2.64	0.42
2051	1.620.25–3.03	1.540.62–2.64	0.4
2052	1.560.14–3.01	1.510.6–2.59	0.38
2053	1.520.11–2.94	1.480.53–2.57	0.36
2054	1.50.18–3	1.450.49–2.56	0.34
2055	1.450.07–2.92	1.430.47–2.55	0.33
2056	1.460.02–2.98	1.40.42–2.54	0.31
2057	1.40.06–2.87	1.370.39–2.52	0.3
2058	1.36-0.12–2.87	1.350.36–2.51	0.28
2059	1.37-0.03–2.91	1.320.32–2.5	0.27
2060	1.34-0.11–2.89	1.30.3–2.49	0.25
2061	1.32-0.19–2.78	1.270.27–2.5	0.24
2062	1.27-0.18–2.75	1.240.25–2.48	0.23
2063	1.24-0.27–2.79	1.220.21–2.5	0.22
2064	1.22-0.27–2.77	1.190.19–2.46	0.21
2065	1.18-0.3–2.78	1.160.13–2.49	0.2
2066	1.16-0.37–2.72	1.140.12–2.45	0.19
2067	1.16-0.26–2.81	1.110.09–2.44	0.18
2068	1.11-0.32–2.67	1.090.07–2.39	0.17
2069	1.09-0.37–2.69	1.060.03–2.38	0.16
2070	1.06-0.42–2.63	1.03-0.01–2.39	0.15
2071	1.04-0.47–2.65	1.01-0.03–2.37	0.14
2072	1.03-0.48–2.62	0.99-0.06–2.39	0.13
2073	0.99-0.52–2.48	0.96-0.12–2.35	0.12
2074	0.99-0.52–2.62	0.94-0.15–2.34	0.1
2075	0.97-0.6–2.61	0.91-0.16–2.33	0.09
2076	0.94-0.64–2.56	0.89-0.2–2.33	0.08
2077	0.92-0.73–2.58	0.87-0.21–2.34	0.07
2078	0.89-0.68–2.56	0.84-0.27–2.28	0.06
2079	0.84-0.77–2.34	0.82-0.32–2.28	0.05
2080	0.83-0.77–2.46	0.8-0.34–2.3	0.04
2081	0.81-0.78–2.38	0.78-0.37–2.26	0.03
2082	0.81-0.82–2.42	0.75-0.42–2.23	0.02
2083	0.77-0.97–2.29	0.74-0.41–2.27	0.01
2084	0.75-0.85–2.43	0.72-0.44–2.27	-0
2085	0.74-0.82–2.34	0.7-0.47–2.25	-0.01
2086	0.73-0.91–2.33	0.68-0.51–2.24	-0.02
2087	0.68-0.94–2.26	0.67-0.56–2.2	-0.03
2088	0.64-1.02–2.26	0.65-0.59–2.21	-0.04
2089	0.63-1.07–2.3	0.63-0.66–2.18	-0.05
2090	0.64-0.98–2.4	0.61-0.62–2.19	-0.05
2091	0.61-1.12–2.31	0.59-0.66–2.13	-0.06
2092	0.58-1.27–2.24	0.58-0.75–2.15	-0.07
2093	0.58-1.21–2.17	0.56-0.73–2.11	-0.07
2094	0.57-1.12–2.29	0.54-0.78–2.07	-0.08
2095	0.54-1.2–2.26	0.52-0.79–2.06	-0.09
2096	0.56-1.18–2.25	0.51-0.82–2.06	-0.1
2097	0.53-1.13–2.22	0.49-0.83–2.07	-0.11
2098	0.5-1.26–2.2	0.47-0.87–2.05	-0.11
2099	0.47-1.26–2.16	0.45-0.91–2.06	-0.12
2100	0.48-1.32–2.17	0.44-0.94–2.03	-0.13

Each country on its own

Good to know

How fast the population grew or shrank in a year: births minus deaths, plus people moving in minus people moving out.
Source: UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024.
The dashed line is the UN projection (medium variant), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its 95% prediction interval.
Ranks count the 229 countries with a value in 2023, highest first.
The faint line is the world as a whole, as the same source counts it.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time