France vs Ireland

France vs Ireland: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 12.3 °C in France and 10.8 °C in Ireland, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in France, by 1.6 °C, or 1.14 times that in Ireland.

°C · ERA5

France vs Ireland: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 12.3 °C in France and 10.8 °C in Ireland, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in France, by 1.6 °C, or 1.14 times that in Ireland.
FranceIrelandCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • France has been higher since 1957, when it overtook Ireland.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts France at 13.7 °C and Ireland at 11.3 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearFranceFrance: CMIP6 historical run, model medianIrelandIreland: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202512.312.110.810.6
202412.211.910.310.4
202312.811.910.910.3
20221312.310.510.3
202111.412.110.310.4
202012.6121010.4
201912.21210.110.2
201812.411.91010
201711.811.610.210.2
201611.611.99.910.2
201512.111.79.610.2
201412.311.510.210.1
201310.911.79.710.2
201211.311.49.710
201112.211.69.910
201010.411.68.710.1
200911.511.69.710.1
200811.111.69.710
200711.511.510.510
200611.811.610.310.1
200511.211.510.210
200411.211.4109.9
20031211.410.19.9
200211.711.210.110
200111.311.39.69.9
200011.611.39.79.8
199911.511.110.110
19981111.110.19.8
199711.71110.49.7
199610.4119.39.6
199511.410.910.39.5
199411.910.99.79.7
199310.610.69.49.5
199210.910.69.59.5
199110.5119.79.7
199011.61110.19.7
198911.71110.29.6
198811.110.89.89.7
198710.310.99.49.6
198610.310.58.79.4
19859.910.699.5
198410.210.89.79.4
198310.910.6109.2
198211.210.69.89.5
198110.610.79.69.5
19809.810.89.49.4
197910.110.68.79.4
197810.110.79.69.4
197710.610.49.59.4
197610.910.39.79.3
197510.510.6109.4
197410.610.89.49.4
197310.310.69.89.3
19721010.59.19.3
197110.310.410.19.2
197010.410.39.59.3
196910.310.49.29.2
196810.410.49.59.2
196710.610.59.39.3
196610.810.59.39.2
19651010.48.89.3
196410.510.49.69.3
19639.510.68.59.3
19621010.68.89.4
196111.610.69.89.3
196010.710.59.79.2
195911.510.710.49.3
195810.710.69.79.2
195710.810.510.29.2
19569.510.79.59.4
195510.810.79.99.4
19549.910.59.59.3
195310.510.510.19.2
195210.510.79.59.3
195110.310.69.39.3
195010.710.79.59.2
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearFranceFrance: CMIP6 historical run, model medianIrelandIreland: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–12.311.4–13.4–10.69.5–11.3
2027–12.211.6–13.3–10.59.8–11.2
2028–12.211.5–13.5–10.69.6–11.3
2029–12.211.4–13.1–10.69.5–11.1
2030–12.111.3–13–10.39.3–11.1
2031–12.111.3–13.2–10.69.6–11.3
2032–12.511.5–13.4–10.79.5–11.4
2033–12.311.3–13.3–10.59.5–11.6
2034–12.511.4–13.5–10.69.8–11.4
2035–12.411.4–13.5–10.59.4–11.5
2036–12.511.7–13.7–10.69.8–11.4
2037–12.411.5–13.2–10.59.8–11.3
2038–12.411.7–13.2–10.39.7–11.5
2039–12.411.5–13.2–10.59.6–11.3
2040–12.311.5–13.6–10.59.5–11.6
2041–12.311.7–13.3–10.59.6–11.5
2042–12.411.7–13.5–10.510–11.5
2043–12.511.3–13.7–10.59.7–11.6
2044–12.511.4–13.7–10.89.6–11.5
2045–12.612–13.5–10.69.8–11.3
2046–12.511.5–13.4–10.59.7–11.6
2047–12.811.7–13.5–10.710–11.5
2048–12.712.1–13.7–10.69.9–11.8
2049–12.611.9–14.2–10.79.7–12.1
2050–12.912.2–13.7–10.810–11.6
2051–12.811.5–13.9–10.79.6–11.8
2052–12.811.7–14–10.99.7–11.7
2053–12.911.7–13.8–10.59.5–11.9
2054–12.811.9–13.8–10.79.9–11.7
2055–12.911.9–14–10.89.8–11.9
2056–12.811.6–14.3–10.59.6–11.7
2057–12.911.8–14.3–10.910–12
2058–13.112.3–14.4–10.99.8–12
2059–1311.8–14.1–10.89.8–11.9
2060–13.212.3–13.8–10.810–11.7
2061–13.312.3–14.1–1110–11.8
2062–13.212–14.2–10.910.1–11.7
2063–13.412.2–14.2–10.710.2–12
2064–12.812–13.9–10.69.9–12
2065–13.111.7–14.5–10.99.7–12.2
2066–13.112.1–14.4–10.99.7–12.1
2067–13.412–14.5–119.8–12.2
2068–13.212.4–14.6–10.99.8–12.1
2069–13.512.3–14.5–11.310–12.1
2070–13.112.1–14.8–10.79.7–12.3
2071–13.312–14.7–10.99.9–12.3
2072–13.312.5–14.6–119.9–12.2
2073–13.312.4–14.5–10.910.1–12.4
2074–13.412.2–14.6–11.110–12.2
2075–1312.1–14.4–10.89.9–12.1
2076–13.312.2–14.9–119.9–12.6
2077–13.112–14.4–10.89.8–12.2
2078–13.212.3–15–10.99.7–12.4
2079–13.212.1–14.8–119.9–12.4
2080–13.312.4–14.7–10.810–12.3
2081–13.312.3–14.8–119.9–12.1
2082–13.412.3–14.8–119.6–12.5
2083–13.412.4–14.5–11.29.7–12.2
2084–13.512.4–14.5–11.29.6–12.2
2085–13.712.6–14.5–11.310–12.3
2086–13.612.4–14.9–11.210.2–12.9
2087–13.712.7–15.2–11.210–13
2088–13.812.6–15.3–11.410–12.6
2089–13.712.5–14.8–11.49.6–12.6
2090–13.912.6–14.9–11.59.8–12.6
2091–13.612.6–15–11.210–12.8
2092–13.612.5–14.8–11.29.9–12.6
2093–13.412.5–14.7–11.410–12.5
2094–13.512.4–15.2–11.29.9–12.5
2095–13.512.3–15.1–11.39.8–13
2096–13.912.2–15–11.59.7–12.5
2097–13.412.5–15.1–11.310.1–12.7
2098–13.812.5–14.9–11.59.9–12.8
2099–13.912.5–14.9–11.39.9–12.9
2100–13.712.5–14.9–11.310–12.8

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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