France vs Sweden: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 12.3 °C in France and 5.3 °C in Sweden, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in France, by 7.1 °C, or 2.34 times that in Sweden.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

FranceSwedenCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

France has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts France at 13.7 °C and Sweden at 6.4 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

Year	France	France: CMIP6 historical run, model median	Sweden	Sweden: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025	12.3	12.1	5.3	4.5
2024	12.2	11.9	4.7	4
2023	12.8	11.9	3.8	4.2
2022	13	12.3	4.6	4.4
2021	11.4	12.1	3.8	4.2
2020	12.6	12	5.5	4.1
2019	12.2	12	4.1	3.9
2018	12.4	11.9	4.3	3.8
2017	11.8	11.6	3.8	3.6
2016	11.6	11.9	4.1	4
2015	12.1	11.7	4.7	3.9
2014	12.3	11.5	4.9	4.2
2013	10.9	11.7	4	4
2012	11.3	11.4	3.1	4
2011	12.2	11.6	4.7	3.8
2010	10.4	11.6	1.7	3.8
2009	11.5	11.6	3.6	3.7
2008	11.1	11.6	4.3	4
2007	11.5	11.5	4.2	3.5
2006	11.8	11.6	4.5	3.9
2005	11.2	11.5	4.1	3.8
2004	11.2	11.4	3.7	3.4
2003	12	11.4	3.8	3.6
2002	11.7	11.2	3.9	3.3
2001	11.3	11.3	3.3	3.4
2000	11.6	11.3	4.6	3.4
1999	11.5	11.1	3.7	3.1
1998	11	11.1	3	3.4
1997	11.7	11	3.9	2.9
1996	10.4	11	2.7	3.2
1995	11.4	10.9	3.3	3.1
1994	11.9	10.9	3.2	2.8
1993	10.6	10.6	3.1	2.7
1992	10.9	10.6	4	2.9
1991	10.5	11	3.6	3.1
1990	11.6	11	4.6	3
1989	11.7	11	4.6	3.1
1988	11.1	10.8	3.3	2.9
1987	10.3	10.9	1.6	2.9
1986	10.3	10.5	2.5	3
1985	9.9	10.6	1	2.9
1984	10.2	10.8	3.5	2.4
1983	10.9	10.6	3.5	2.5
1982	11.2	10.6	3.3	2.6
1981	10.6	10.7	2	2.5
1980	9.8	10.8	2.1	2.6
1979	10.1	10.6	2.1	2.7
1978	10.1	10.7	2	2.7
1977	10.6	10.4	2.5	2.5
1976	10.9	10.3	2.3	2.6
1975	10.5	10.6	4.3	2.6
1974	10.6	10.8	4	2.7
1973	10.3	10.6	3.2	2.4
1972	10	10.5	3.7	2.4
1971	10.3	10.4	2.9	2.3
1970	10.4	10.3	2.1	2
1969	10.3	10.4	2.4	2.1
1968	10.4	10.4	2.2	2.7
1967	10.6	10.5	3.1	2.4
1966	10.8	10.5	1.1	2.3
1965	10	10.4	1.7	2.4
1964	10.5	10.4	2.8	2.4
1963	9.5	10.6	2	2.5
1962	10	10.6	1.4	2.1
1961	11.6	10.6	3.5	2.5
1960	10.7	10.5	3	2.6
1959	11.5	10.7	4.1	2.4
1958	10.7	10.6	2.2	2.8
1957	10.8	10.5	3.1	2.2
1956	9.5	10.7	1.4	2.7
1955	10.8	10.7	1.9	2.3
1954	9.9	10.5	3.1	2.4
1953	10.5	10.5	4.4	2.3
1952	10.5	10.7	2.2	2.7
1951	10.3	10.6	3.2	2.5
1950	10.7	10.7	2.9	2.6

12.3Projected

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100

Year	France	France: CMIP6 historical run, model median	Sweden	Sweden: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026	–	12.311.4–13.4	–	4.43.4–5.6
2027	–	12.211.6–13.3	–	4.23–5.9
2028	–	12.211.5–13.5	–	4.73.4–6.1
2029	–	12.211.4–13.1	–	4.73.3–6.2
2030	–	12.111.3–13	–	4.73.2–6.1
2031	–	12.111.3–13.2	–	4.53.2–6.2
2032	–	12.511.5–13.4	–	53.2–5.9
2033	–	12.311.3–13.3	–	4.83.9–6.1
2034	–	12.511.4–13.5	–	4.93.6–6.2
2035	–	12.411.4–13.5	–	4.83.2–6.2
2036	–	12.511.7–13.7	–	53.4–6.3
2037	–	12.411.5–13.2	–	4.93.6–6.2
2038	–	12.411.7–13.2	–	4.83.8–6.4
2039	–	12.411.5–13.2	–	4.73.5–6.3
2040	–	12.311.5–13.6	–	5.13.5–6.4
2041	–	12.311.7–13.3	–	53.5–6.3
2042	–	12.411.7–13.5	–	53.6–6.5
2043	–	12.511.3–13.7	–	5.43.8–7
2044	–	12.511.4–13.7	–	4.73.1–6.5
2045	–	12.612–13.5	–	5.13.4–6.3
2046	–	12.511.5–13.4	–	4.73.6–6.7
2047	–	12.811.7–13.5	–	5.33.8–6.9
2048	–	12.712.1–13.7	–	5.64.3–7.1
2049	–	12.611.9–14.2	–	5.43.8–7.2
2050	–	12.912.2–13.7	–	5.54–6.9
2051	–	12.811.5–13.9	–	5.43.9–7
2052	–	12.811.7–14	–	5.23.8–7
2053	–	12.911.7–13.8	–	5.43.9–6.7
2054	–	12.811.9–13.8	–	5.34–6.9
2055	–	12.911.9–14	–	5.23.6–6.6
2056	–	12.811.6–14.3	–	5.54–7
2057	–	12.911.8–14.3	–	5.64–7
2058	–	13.112.3–14.4	–	5.94.2–7.4
2059	–	1311.8–14.1	–	5.54.2–7.3
2060	–	13.212.3–13.8	–	5.64.7–6.7
2061	–	13.312.3–14.1	–	5.64.6–6.9
2062	–	13.212–14.2	–	5.84.5–7.2
2063	–	13.412.2–14.2	–	5.74.2–7.4
2064	–	12.812–13.9	–	5.74.4–6.9
2065	–	13.111.7–14.5	–	5.74–7.1
2066	–	13.112.1–14.4	–	5.84.1–7.1
2067	–	13.412–14.5	–	5.54.4–7.4
2068	–	13.212.4–14.6	–	5.74–7.2
2069	–	13.512.3–14.5	–	64.1–7.6
2070	–	13.112.1–14.8	–	5.84.2–7.7
2071	–	13.312–14.7	–	5.74.2–7.8
2072	–	13.312.5–14.6	–	5.84–7.1
2073	–	13.312.4–14.5	–	5.94.3–7.3
2074	–	13.412.2–14.6	–	5.94.3–7.4
2075	–	1312.1–14.4	–	5.44.1–7.1
2076	–	13.312.2–14.9	–	5.94.6–7.6
2077	–	13.112–14.4	–	6.14.8–7.4
2078	–	13.212.3–15	–	6.14.3–7.7
2079	–	13.212.1–14.8	–	5.94–7.7
2080	–	13.312.4–14.7	–	5.94.1–7.6
2081	–	13.312.3–14.8	–	6.34.5–7.3
2082	–	13.412.3–14.8	–	5.94.6–8.1
2083	–	13.412.4–14.5	–	5.64.2–7.8
2084	–	13.512.4–14.5	–	5.74.1–7.6
2085	–	13.712.6–14.5	–	6.14.4–7.7
2086	–	13.612.4–14.9	–	6.44.9–7.8
2087	–	13.712.7–15.2	–	6.24.7–8.6
2088	–	13.812.6–15.3	–	6.44.5–8
2089	–	13.712.5–14.8	–	6.14.6–7.3
2090	–	13.912.6–14.9	–	64.1–7.6
2091	–	13.612.6–15	–	6.34.4–7.9
2092	–	13.612.5–14.8	–	6.64.7–8
2093	–	13.412.5–14.7	–	6.84.8–8.3
2094	–	13.512.4–15.2	–	6.34.9–8
2095	–	13.512.3–15.1	–	6.44.9–7.8
2096	–	13.912.2–15	–	64.4–7.7
2097	–	13.412.5–15.1	–	6.64.7–8
2098	–	13.812.5–14.9	–	6.34.5–8.2
2099	–	13.912.5–14.9	–	6.34.9–8.5
2100	–	13.712.5–14.9	–	6.45–8.3

Each country on its own

Good to know

The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

France vs Sweden: Temperature

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

Good to know

France vs Sweden

Health

People

Economy

Education

Politics

Conflict

Military

Climate

Technology and environment