Guinea vs Madagascar

Guinea vs Madagascar: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 286.6 nights in Guinea and 138.3 nights in Madagascar, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Guinea, by 148.3 nights, or 2.07 times that in Madagascar.

nights a year · CMIP6

Guinea vs Madagascar: Tropical nightsTropical nights in 2014: 286.6 nights in Guinea and 138.3 nights in Madagascar, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Guinea, by 148.3 nights, or 2.07 times that in Madagascar.
GuineaMadagascarCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Guinea has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Guinea at 345.3 nights and Madagascar at 198.5 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearGuineaMadagascar
2014286.6138.3
2013285.3138
2012292.9138.3
2011288.8136.8
2010285.2134.2
2009282.5133.5
2008279132.3
2007278.9133.1
2006278.8131.6
2005278.9130.3
2004276133.5
2003279.6131
2002277.1131.8
2001279.8131.7
2000273.1127.4
1999267128.4
1998268.4128.6
1997266.6125.3
1996260.4121.8
1995260.3123.3
1994255121.8
1993246.6116
1992242.4116.6
1991264.3124.9
1990266.4126.2
1989259.7124
1988256.9123.8
1987258.4122.8
1986259.9123.8
1985252.6120
1984249.6118.6
1983248.4116.5
1982250121.8
1981253.5122.1
1980251.2120.3
1979251.2120.7
1978252119.3
1977250.4119
1976244117.4
1975242.3116.5
1974247.2119.5
1973249.3119
1972246.1117
1971244.5116.3
1970249117
1969241.2116.3
1968241.5113.1
1967233.3113
1966237.7114.1
1965239.8112.2
1964231109.6
1963225.8109.7
1962246.9115.3
1961246118.5
1960250.5118.2
1959244.8119
1958245.6118.7
1957247.5117.6
1956242.4115.5
1955243.5116.6
1954250.2115.9
1953241.2116.4
1952240.3117.4
1951248.8116
1950240.8116.3
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearGuineaMadagascar
2015286.7259.9–308.5142.8126.7–159.3
2016288.9262.6–304137.8122.2–156
2017291.6265.5–311.4143.1125.6–159.4
2018295.6269.3–311.8143.7125.9–160.3
2019291.8266.8–313.6143.4124.4–162.3
2020291.2265.6–315.4143.4125.2–159
2021295.8268–316.3145.4128.8–160.4
2022299.9277.9–322.4150.4133.4–165.2
2023296273.8–318149.7132.1–166
2024302.3276.9–322.8150.7131.4–167.9
2025298.9275.2–322.4149128.8–169.1
2026302.5269.3–323.9150.1127.4–169.9
2027302.6276.3–320.2151.8131.9–170.8
2028308.2285.4–325.8154.9137.7–173.1
2029309.3280.6–327.2155.7135.2–173.8
2030305.5277.4–322.4154.8136.4–171.3
2031313.2282.2–329.6158.1141.3–174.8
2032307.7287.3–329.5157.9136.2–178.4
2033310.4282.4–337.8158.9136.7–177.8
2034308281.7–327.4158.6140.6–179.6
2035311.2284.9–333161.1140.2–181.6
2036312.8285.7–334.5159.5139.4–177.1
2037315.5291.8–331.1165.8144.7–182.8
2038317.9296.3–333.9166.5149.3–183.9
2039314.1291.6–336164.1145.1–183.9
2040316.1292.9–334.6162.8144.5–184.8
2041315.4296.5–335.7165.8143.5–183.9
2042316290.7–336.6165.1144.3–188.4
2043314.8291.1–332.7165.6148.5–184.7
2044319.8289.7–337.5167.3145.8–187
2045318.6296.4–339166.9147.1–187.1
2046321.4295.7–337171.4149.6–193
2047324.6297.9–342.8171.7148.8–193.4
2048324.8304.4–341.1173.7151.7–193.6
2049324.2302.4–340.2172.2151.4–192.9
2050322.4299.7–339.6174.4150.5–193.6
2051326.1300.4–342175154.3–195.1
2052324301.5–342.8176153.8–196.7
2053325.6298–345.3176.6151.1–197.8
2054329.5301.3–345.1175.5152.8–199.2
2055324.4305.3–342.4179.2157.3–196.8
2056329.6299.4–349.4178.8156.5–199.7
2057332.4301.5–351177.7155.5–201
2058328.8305.6–347.6180.5158.9–202.4
2059330.3310.8–350.5181.8158.3–202.5
2060328.3309.4–348.2185.1159.5–207.8
2061330.5304.6–352.8180.6157.6–203.8
2062327.7307.3–346.5180.6157.1–205.6
2063333.4311–349.1185156.8–210.7
2064330.9310.6–351.6184.7159.1–205.7
2065331.4309.7–350.6183.8157.1–208.5
2066331.8312.3–347.4187.3159.6–211
2067329.1304–348.6184.9155.9–208.9
2068335.4309.6–354.5187.5161.7–211.1
2069333.5313–351.4187.5162–211.3
2070331.7310.9–352.7187.8160.4–213.6
2071334.6315.6–352.4190.7162.7–216.6
2072338.3317–353.2191.8168.2–215.8
2073334309.7–351.6191.4168.7–214.5
2074330.2310.6–352189.4162.6–217.7
2075334312–352.2189.3163.8–214.2
2076338.4321.3–352.1191.1164.3–214
2077341.4318.4–355.6191.9168.8–217.1
2078338.1316.6–355.8190.1166.5–219.3
2079337.5318.8–355.3190.1163.7–216.2
2080339.8315.4–358194.8167.7–219.4
2081339.3318.2–356.6191.7166.7–218.1
2082337.9316.1–353.3193.8169.2–216.7
2083339.2320.8–355.8194.6166.1–218.1
2084340.5321–354.6197.9170–219.7
2085343.8319.9–358.1197.8172.3–223.7
2086342.2318.7–358.7192.9169.6–220
2087340.7319.9–357.6195.2170.4–220.1
2088341.2318.3–354.9198.1165.1–225.5
2089337.9318.6–354.8196.3167.9–227.6
2090341.1315–356197.5172.4–228.1
2091339.7319.7–355.5199.2172.7–226.7
2092339.7320.4–356.8202.4170.7–226.6
2093341.8325.1–356.2202.1172.3–230.5
2094342.2324–356.4198.3168.6–224
2095340.7323.5–359.3200.7171.7–225.1
2096343.2324–359.7199.8173.6–226.3
2097340.3313.8–353.8201.2170–227.6
2098339.9318.8–357201.1170.7–227.2
2099341.5324.6–355.9198.3173.8–225.8
2100345.3319.6–357.9198.5173.3–227.7

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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