India vs Nigeria: Infant mortality

Infant mortality in 2023: 22.6 per 1,000 live births in India and 69.5 per 1,000 live births in Nigeria, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in Nigeria, by 46.8 per 1,000 live births, or 3.07 times that in India.

Watch it change on the map

deaths per 1,000 live births · UN

IndiaNigeriaUN projection (medium variant)95% prediction intervalWorld

What the numbers say

Nigeria has been higher since 1967, when it overtook India.
In 2023, India ranked 63 and Nigeria ranked 2 of 229 countries, counting from the highest.
The UN projection (medium variant) puts India at 3.4 per 1,000 live births and Nigeria at 38.9 per 1,000 live births in 2100.
The world as a whole: 27.3 per 1,000 live births in 2023.

Every year

deaths per 1,000 live births · UN

Year	India	Nigeria	World
2023	22.6	69.5	27.3
2022	23.9	71.2	28.2
2021	25.2	73	28.4
2020	26.5	74.7	28.7
2019	28	76.3	29.2
2018	29.6	77.8	29.7
2017	31.2	79.1	30.3
2016	33	80.2	31.1
2015	34.9	81.3	32.1
2014	36.9	82.3	32.9
2013	39	83.1	33.9
2012	41.1	84.1	35
2011	43.3	85.2	36.8
2010	45.5	86.5	37.7
2009	47.8	87.9	39.1
2008	50.1	89.5	40.4
2007	52.4	91.4	42
2006	54.7	93.5	43.7
2005	57.1	95.8	45.4
2004	59.4	98.2	47.2
2003	61.7	100.7	48.8
2002	64.1	103.1	50.6
2001	66.5	105.6	52.2
2000	68.9	107.8	53.7
1999	71.3	110.1	55.5
1998	73.7	112.1	57.1
1997	76	113.8	58.3
1996	78.3	115.3	59.6
1995	80.5	116.5	60.8
1994	82.8	117.5	62
1993	85	118.2	62.9
1992	87.1	118.7	64.1
1991	89.4	119.2	64.9
1990	91.6	119.2	64.9
1989	93.8	119.3	66.2
1988	96.2	119.3	68
1987	98.5	119.1	68.6
1986	100.8	119	70.8
1985	103.3	118.8	72.9
1984	105.8	118.9	74.6
1983	108.4	119	76.1
1982	111.1	119.6	76.6
1981	113.8	120.4	78.7
1980	116.7	121.8	80.6
1979	119.5	123.2	82.5
1978	122.3	125.1	84.7
1977	125	127.4	86.4
1976	127.6	129.8	88.1
1975	130	134.6	89.6
1974	132.3	136.9	90.9
1973	135	139.2	92.1
1972	136.9	141.2	93.6
1971	138.2	143.4	96.1
1970	139.7	145.1	96.9
1969	141.2	146.7	98.3
1968	142.6	148	100.2
1967	150.5	151.5	103.1
1966	151.9	151	104.9
1965	153.3	151.7	106.4
1964	147.9	152.5	106.1
1963	149.2	153.3	107.7
1962	150.6	154.1	110.2
1961	152.1	154.9	121.5
1960	153.4	155.7	131.8
1959	155.1	156.5	125.7
1958	157	157.2	117.7
1957	158.9	157.9	120
1956	160.7	158.6	121.9
1955	162.9	159.3	124.8
1954	165.3	159.9	127.7
1953	168.5	160.6	130.1
1952	170.9	161.3	132.7
1951	173.7	162	136
1950	176.4	162.6	138.1

UN projection (medium variant) · 2024–2100

Year	India	Nigeria	World
2024	22.618.5–27.8	68.560.6–78.7	26.9
2025	21.716.6–29.3	67.756.4–82	26.4
2026	20.914.7–30.6	66.953.6–84.8	25.9
2027	20.113.6–31.5	66.251.4–87.7	25.4
2028	19.312.3–31.7	65.449.2–88.4	24.9
2029	18.611.3–31.7	64.747.2–89.2	24.5
2030	17.910.5–31.7	64.345.8–91.2	24
2031	17.39.7–31.7	63.743.8–93.3	23.6
2032	16.69–31.1	63.142.6–94.6	23.2
2033	168.6–31.1	62.640.8–95.6	22.8
2034	15.48–31.5	6239.7–97	22.3
2035	14.97.8–31.2	61.638.2–97.9	21.9
2036	14.37.3–30.9	61.137–99.6	21.5
2037	13.96.9–30.5	60.636.3–99.9	21.1
2038	13.46.6–30.6	60.136.2–99.8	20.8
2039	12.96.1–29.7	59.534.2–100.9	20.4
2040	12.45.9–29.6	5933.3–99.2	20
2041	125.5–28.5	58.632.6–100.4	19.7
2042	11.65.4–29.4	5831.7–99.5	19.4
2043	11.25.1–29.3	57.530.5–101.1	19
2044	10.84.8–28.7	57.128.8–100.5	18.7
2045	10.54.7–28.5	56.627.9–101.5	18.4
2046	10.14.4–29.3	56.227.2–101.4	18.2
2047	9.94.3–27.8	55.726.1–101.5	17.9
2048	9.64.3–27.8	55.225.8–101.9	17.7
2049	9.34.1–27.7	54.825–101	17.5
2050	9.13.9–26.6	54.423.8–102	17.3
2051	8.83.7–26.3	53.923–104.6	17.1
2052	8.63.6–25.6	53.521.9–105	16.9
2053	8.33.4–25.6	53.121.4–104.9	16.7
2054	8.23.4–24.7	52.621.8–106.2	16.5
2055	83.3–25	52.320.7–105.3	16.3
2056	7.83.2–24.5	51.919.8–106.3	16.1
2057	7.63.1–24	51.618.7–106.2	15.9
2058	7.43–24	51.218.2–107.5	15.7
2059	7.22.8–22.2	50.818.1–109.7	15.5
2060	72.8–22.6	50.418.4–110.8	15.3
2061	6.92.7–22.8	50.118.2–110.5	15.1
2062	6.72.7–22.3	49.717.6–110.2	14.9
2063	6.62.6–22.6	49.417.6–110.6	14.7
2064	6.42.6–22	4917.2–108.2	14.5
2065	6.32.5–22.4	48.716.3–108.3	14.3
2066	6.22.4–21.3	48.416–109.3	14.1
2067	62.4–22	48.115.1–106.5	13.9
2068	5.92.3–21	47.714.9–108.8	13.8
2069	5.82.2–20.7	47.414.5–108.1	13.6
2070	5.62.1–20.1	47.114–109.2	13.4
2071	5.52.1–20.6	46.814.1–109	13.2
2072	5.42.1–19.4	46.413.1–110.9	13
2073	5.32–19.2	46.113.5–111.7	12.9
2074	5.22–19.4	45.812.7–111.7	12.7
2075	5.12–19.2	45.512.4–111.6	12.6
2076	51.9–19.5	45.112.4–110.3	12.4
2077	4.91.9–19	44.912.2–113	12.3
2078	4.81.8–18.7	44.611.9–114.4	12.1
2079	4.71.8–18.2	44.311.2–113.3	12
2080	4.71.7–18	4411.4–114.5	11.8
2081	4.61.7–17.8	43.711.1–111.9	11.7
2082	4.51.7–17.5	43.411–112.8	11.6
2083	4.41.6–17.5	43.110.7–111.4	11.5
2084	4.31.7–17.3	42.810.7–112.4	11.4
2085	4.31.6–17.1	42.610.5–108.6	11.3
2086	4.21.6–16.8	42.410.6–112.4	11.1
2087	4.11.5–16.6	42.110.6–112.3	11
2088	4.11.5–16.1	41.810.3–110.4	10.9
2089	41.5–16.2	41.510.2–110.2	10.8
2090	3.91.4–16.1	41.310.1–109.2	10.7
2091	3.91.4–15.8	4110.2–110.2	10.6
2092	3.81.2–15.7	40.810.1–111.2	10.5
2093	3.81.2–15.4	40.59.7–111.1	10.4
2094	3.71.2–15.1	40.29.5–109	10.3
2095	3.71.2–14.7	409.7–110.2	10.1
2096	3.61.2–14.4	39.89.4–109.6	10
2097	3.51.2–13.7	39.59.1–111	9.9
2098	3.51.2–13.6	39.38.8–109.4	9.8
2099	3.41.1–13.1	39.18.8–109.8	9.7
2100	3.41.1–13	38.98.7–108.1	9.6

Each country on its own

Good to know

Babies who die before their first birthday, per 1,000 born alive.
Source: UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024.
The dashed line is the UN projection (medium variant), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its 95% prediction interval.
Ranks count the 229 countries with a value in 2023, highest first.
The faint line is the world as a whole, as the same source counts it.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

India vs Nigeria: Infant mortality

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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