India vs Nigeria

India vs Nigeria: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 24.3 °C in India and 27.8 °C in Nigeria, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Nigeria, by 3.5 °C, or 1.14 times that in India.

°C · ERA5

India vs Nigeria: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 24.3 °C in India and 27.8 °C in Nigeria, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Nigeria, by 3.5 °C, or 1.14 times that in India.
IndiaNigeriaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Nigeria has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, India ranked 106 and Nigeria ranked 16 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts India at 26.6 °C and Nigeria at 29.6 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearIndiaIndia: CMIP6 historical run, model medianNigeriaNigeria: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202524.324.827.827.9
202424.824.927.828
202324.524.927.627.8
202224.524.82727.9
202124.324.827.527.8
202024.224.727.327.7
201924.524.727.327.7
201824.524.727.227.7
201724.724.727.427.7
201624.924.627.427.6
201524.524.727.327.7
201424.224.627.127.7
20132424.627.327.7
201224.224.72727.7
201124.124.627.227.6
201024.724.627.727.6
200924.824.527.527.5
20082424.426.827.5
200724.324.42727.4
200624.424.427.527.5
200524.124.527.527.4
200424.224.527.127.4
200324.224.427.127.5
200224.424.526.927.4
200124.124.526.727.6
20002424.426.727.4
199924.124.426.927.3
199824.224.327.427.3
199723.624.326.827.3
19962424.226.827.2
199524.124.326.727.2
199423.924.126.527.1
1993242426.826.9
199223.823.926.226.9
199123.924.326.727.2
199023.724.32727.3
198923.724.326.227.1
198824.224.226.827.2
198724.324.227.427.1
198623.924.226.827.2
198524.124.126.627
198423.824.126.827.1
198323.62426.927
198223.824.126.627.1
198123.824.226.427.1
198024.224.126.727.1
197924.324.126.627.1
197823.72426.327
197723.924.126.527.1
197623.924.126.226.9
197523.523.92627
197423.924.126.127
197324.124.227.127.1
197224.12426.727
197123.424.126.426.9
197023.82426.527
196924.32426.627
196823.62426.327
196723.82426.226.9
196623.82426.826.9
196523.82426.626.9
196423.823.926.726.7
196323.823.926.626.7
196223.424.126.327.1
196123.324.126.227
19602424.126.627.1
195923.924.226.527
195824.224.126.527
195723.824.125.527.1
195623.524.125.826.9
195523.624.125.827
195423.724.12627
195322.624.125.927
19522324.125.927
195122.924.225.927.1
195022.824.225.827
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearIndiaIndia: CMIP6 historical run, model medianNigeriaNigeria: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–24.924–25.6–2827.1–28.5
2027–24.924.1–25.7–2827.2–28.6
2028–24.824.3–25.5–2827.5–28.6
2029–25.124.4–25.8–28.227.6–28.6
2030–24.924.2–25.7–28.127.4–28.7
2031–2524.3–25.7–28.127.5–28.8
2032–25.124.3–25.8–28.127.6–28.7
2033–2524.3–25.6–28.227.5–28.8
2034–25.124.4–25.9–28.127.5–28.7
2035–25.124.4–25.9–28.327.5–28.8
2036–25.124.4–25.7–28.227.5–28.8
2037–25.324.6–26–28.427.8–28.9
2038–25.324.5–26–28.527.9–29
2039–25.224.5–25.9–28.427.7–28.8
2040–25.124.4–26.1–28.327.8–29
2041–25.324.7–26–28.427.9–29.1
2042–25.524.7–26.2–28.527.8–29.1
2043–25.324.6–26.1–28.427.8–28.9
2044–25.424.7–26.2–28.427.8–29.2
2045–25.424.7–26.1–28.527.8–29.1
2046–25.624.6–26.5–28.727.9–29.3
2047–25.624.7–26.4–28.727.9–29.3
2048–25.724.8–26.6–28.728–29.3
2049–25.624.9–26.6–28.728–29.4
2050–25.724.9–26.7–28.628.1–29.5
2051–25.725–26.6–28.728.1–29.5
2052–25.724.9–26.5–28.928–29.5
2053–25.725–26.6–28.827.9–29.5
2054–25.824.9–26.7–28.928–29.6
2055–25.825.1–26.7–28.928.3–29.6
2056–25.925–26.8–28.928.1–29.7
2057–25.924.9–26.8–2928.2–29.8
2058–25.825.1–26.9–28.928.2–29.7
2059–2625.2–27–2928.4–29.8
2060–26.125.3–26.8–2928.4–29.8
2061–2625.1–26.8–29.128.1–29.9
2062–25.925.1–27.2–29.128.2–30
2063–25.925.2–27–29.128.3–29.9
2064–2625.2–27–2928.3–29.9
2065–26.125.3–27.1–29.228.5–29.9
2066–26.125.4–27–29.228.4–30.1
2067–25.925.2–27.2–2928.3–30.2
2068–26.125.2–27.3–29.228.4–30.1
2069–26.225.3–27.2–29.228.3–30.1
2070–2625.3–27.1–29.228.5–30.2
2071–26.125.3–27.3–29.328.5–30.3
2072–26.225.4–27.1–29.328.5–30.2
2073–26.325.5–27.1–29.428.5–30.4
2074–26.225.5–27.2–29.228.3–30.4
2075–26.225.4–27.1–29.428.4–30.1
2076–26.225.4–27.4–29.428.6–30.3
2077–26.325.5–27.4–29.628.6–30.6
2078–26.325.5–27.3–29.428.5–30.4
2079–26.325.4–27.2–29.428.7–30.2
2080–26.425.5–27.4–29.528.5–30.4
2081–26.425.7–27.5–29.528.5–30.4
2082–26.325.6–27.5–29.428.6–30.5
2083–26.525.7–27.6–29.528.6–30.6
2084–26.525.5–27.6–29.428.6–30.6
2085–26.525.5–27.8–29.628.7–30.6
2086–26.425.4–27.7–29.628.6–30.6
2087–26.425.4–27.6–29.528.6–30.6
2088–26.425.5–27.8–29.528.6–30.7
2089–26.425.6–27.6–29.528.7–30.7
2090–26.525.7–27.6–29.628.7–30.6
2091–26.625.7–27.8–29.728.7–30.7
2092–26.625.7–27.7–29.828.7–30.7
2093–26.525.6–27.8–29.728.8–30.7
2094–26.625.7–27.7–29.728.9–30.7
2095–26.825.7–27.7–29.928.8–30.9
2096–26.525.6–27.8–29.528.9–30.8
2097–26.525.6–27.6–29.528.7–30.7
2098–26.725.7–27.7–29.828.7–30.7
2099–26.725.7–27.8–29.728.8–30.8
2100–26.625.8–27.7–29.628.9–30.8

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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