Ireland vs Kenya

Ireland vs Kenya: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 10.8 °C in Ireland and 25.9 °C in Kenya, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Kenya, by 15.1 °C, or 2.4 times that in Ireland.

°C · ERA5

Ireland vs Kenya: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 10.8 °C in Ireland and 25.9 °C in Kenya, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Kenya, by 15.1 °C, or 2.4 times that in Ireland.
IrelandKenyaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Kenya has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Ireland ranked 195 and Kenya ranked 80 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Ireland at 11.3 °C and Kenya at 27.4 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearIrelandIreland: CMIP6 historical run, model medianKenyaKenya: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202510.810.625.926
202410.310.426.126.2
202310.910.325.726
202210.510.325.725.9
202110.310.425.825.9
20201010.425.525.9
201910.110.225.925.8
2018101025.125.9
201710.210.225.925.8
20169.910.225.825.7
20159.610.225.825.8
201410.210.125.525.7
20139.710.225.225.6
20129.71025.425.6
20119.91025.525.7
20108.710.125.525.6
20099.710.125.825.6
20089.71025.325.5
200710.51025.425.4
200610.310.125.425.5
200510.21025.625.5
2004109.925.325.5
200310.19.925.325.5
200210.11025.125.5
20019.69.92525.6
20009.79.825.225.4
199910.1102525.4
199810.19.824.825.4
199710.49.724.925.3
19969.39.625.125.3
199510.39.525.125.2
19949.79.72525.1
19939.49.524.725
19929.59.524.824.9
19919.79.724.825.2
199010.19.724.625.3
198910.29.624.425.2
19889.89.72525.2
19879.49.625.325.2
19868.79.424.625.2
198599.524.525
19849.79.424.725.1
1983109.225.225
19829.89.524.625.1
19819.69.524.625.2
19809.49.42525.2
19798.79.424.225.1
19789.69.424.125.1
19779.59.424.325.1
19769.79.324.625
1975109.424.425
19749.49.424.525
19739.89.325.125.1
19729.19.324.725
197110.19.224.325
19709.59.324.524.9
19699.29.224.624.9
19689.59.223.724.9
19679.39.324.224.8
19669.39.224.724.9
19658.89.324.324.9
19649.69.32424.7
19638.59.323.924.8
19628.89.42425
19619.89.324.325
19609.79.224.425
195910.49.324.625
19589.79.224.425
195710.29.224.125
19569.59.424.225
19559.99.424.325
19549.59.32425
195310.19.223.125
19529.59.323.525
19519.39.323.525
19509.59.223.525
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearIrelandIreland: CMIP6 historical run, model medianKenyaKenya: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–10.69.5–11.3–2625.4–26.7
2027–10.59.8–11.2–2625.4–26.6
2028–10.69.6–11.3–26.125.6–26.6
2029–10.69.5–11.1–26.225.6–26.7
2030–10.39.3–11.1–26.125.7–26.6
2031–10.69.6–11.3–26.225.8–26.7
2032–10.79.5–11.4–26.225.8–26.8
2033–10.59.5–11.6–26.325.7–26.8
2034–10.69.8–11.4–26.225.7–26.8
2035–10.59.4–11.5–26.325.7–26.8
2036–10.69.8–11.4–26.225.7–26.8
2037–10.59.8–11.3–26.325.8–26.9
2038–10.39.7–11.5–26.425.7–26.9
2039–10.59.6–11.3–26.425.8–26.8
2040–10.59.5–11.6–26.325.9–26.9
2041–10.59.6–11.5–26.525.8–27.2
2042–10.510–11.5–26.525.9–27.1
2043–10.59.7–11.6–26.325.8–27
2044–10.89.6–11.5–26.525.9–27
2045–10.69.8–11.3–26.526–27.2
2046–10.59.7–11.6–26.626–27.4
2047–10.710–11.5–26.726–27.3
2048–10.69.9–11.8–26.626.1–27.4
2049–10.79.7–12.1–26.826.1–27.4
2050–10.810–11.6–26.626.1–27.4
2051–10.79.6–11.8–26.826.1–27.4
2052–10.99.7–11.7–26.826.2–27.4
2053–10.59.5–11.9–26.726–27.3
2054–10.79.9–11.7–26.726–27.3
2055–10.89.8–11.9–26.826.1–27.4
2056–10.59.6–11.7–26.826–27.5
2057–10.910–12–26.826.3–27.6
2058–10.99.8–12–26.926.1–27.6
2059–10.89.8–11.9–26.926.2–27.7
2060–10.810–11.7–27.126.1–27.7
2061–1110–11.8–2726.2–27.7
2062–10.910.1–11.7–26.926.2–27.8
2063–10.710.2–12–2726.4–27.6
2064–10.69.9–12–27.126.2–27.6
2065–10.99.7–12.2–2726.4–27.8
2066–10.99.7–12.1–2726.4–27.7
2067–119.8–12.2–27.126.3–27.8
2068–10.99.8–12.1–27.126.3–27.8
2069–11.310–12.1–2726.3–27.9
2070–10.79.7–12.3–2726.3–27.8
2071–10.99.9–12.3–27.226.4–28
2072–119.9–12.2–27.226.5–27.8
2073–10.910.1–12.4–27.226.5–28
2074–11.110–12.2–27.126.4–28
2075–10.89.9–12.1–27.126.3–28
2076–119.9–12.6–27.326.5–28.1
2077–10.89.8–12.2–27.326.5–28.1
2078–10.99.7–12.4–27.126.5–27.9
2079–119.9–12.4–27.326.5–28.1
2080–10.810–12.3–27.326.5–28.1
2081–119.9–12.1–27.326.6–28.1
2082–119.6–12.5–27.426.5–28.1
2083–11.29.7–12.2–27.326.6–28.4
2084–11.29.6–12.2–27.426.6–28.2
2085–11.310–12.3–27.326.6–28.3
2086–11.210.2–12.9–27.526.5–28.3
2087–11.210–13–27.426.6–28.3
2088–11.410–12.6–27.426.6–28.3
2089–11.49.6–12.6–27.426.7–28.1
2090–11.59.8–12.6–27.426.7–28.4
2091–11.210–12.8–27.626.6–28.4
2092–11.29.9–12.6–27.426.6–28.3
2093–11.410–12.5–27.526.7–28.3
2094–11.29.9–12.5–27.526.8–28.3
2095–11.39.8–13–27.626.7–28.4
2096–11.59.7–12.5–27.526.5–28.5
2097–11.310.1–12.7–27.526.5–28.3
2098–11.59.9–12.8–27.626.7–28.4
2099–11.39.9–12.9–27.526.5–28.6
2100–11.310–12.8–27.426.5–28.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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