Israel vs South Africa: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 97.9 nights in Israel and 27.1 nights in South Africa, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Israel, by 70.8 nights, or 3.61 times that in South Africa.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

IsraelSouth AfricaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Israel has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Israel at 149.4 nights and South Africa at 58.7 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Israel	South Africa
2014	97.9	27.1
2013	98	28.3
2012	96.3	27.9
2011	96.1	26.1
2010	95.5	26
2009	92.5	25.8
2008	94.1	24.8
2007	92.7	24.7
2006	92	25.5
2005	92.3	25.3
2004	90.7	25.8
2003	93.9	25.1
2002	89.5	25
2001	91	24.5
2000	89.5	23.3
1999	86.2	23
1998	84.8	23.4
1997	84.2	22.5
1996	83.7	20.4
1995	79.3	19.3
1994	80.1	20
1993	71.6	18.1
1992	74.9	18.1
1991	78.4	22.3
1990	80.2	22.7
1989	76.9	22
1988	76.5	21.2
1987	75.1	21.9
1986	78.3	21
1985	74	18.9
1984	69.4	20
1983	68.9	19
1982	73.5	20.3
1981	73.5	20
1980	75.3	21.2
1979	68.7	19.9
1978	71.6	19.8
1977	72.3	19.2
1976	73.2	19.2
1975	70.9	18.8
1974	72.5	19.7
1973	71.9	19.6
1972	69.9	19
1971	73.1	19.1
1970	71.6	18.6
1969	70.6	18.7
1968	69.6	17.8
1967	66.9	17.5
1966	68.8	17.8
1965	63.5	17.2
1964	66.1	14.9
1963	70.9	16.5
1962	73	19.6
1961	71.5	19.7
1960	74.9	19.8
1959	75	18.5
1958	73	19.3
1957	74.8	19.4
1956	74.3	18
1955	72.8	19.5
1954	71.4	18.4
1953	73.7	18.4
1952	72	19.3
1951	75.1	18.9
1950	69.5	18.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Israel	South Africa
2015	105.988.4–122.7	28.620–39.5
2016	104.186.9–120.1	26.817.8–37.9
2017	107.892.2–121.4	28.919.6–37.8
2018	10993.8–124.2	29.620.6–40.6
2019	10989.1–124.5	29.820.8–41.5
2020	111.594.8–123.5	29.518.9–39.1
2021	11097.7–128.4	31.121.4–42.9
2022	111.493.6–130.2	3223.7–43.1
2023	117.297.9–130.5	31.922.9–41.8
2024	114.5100.4–127.3	3324–45.6
2025	116.698.3–129.2	31.920.7–44.5
2026	115.9104.9–126.2	34.521.9–46.9
2027	115.699–127.1	34.423–47.7
2028	116.3100.2–127.9	33.522.9–46
2029	117103.1–129.2	36.226.5–48.3
2030	118.6102.1–131.2	36.124.9–49
2031	116.8104.4–132.8	36.324.5–50.3
2032	121.4106.5–134.7	36.424.5–49.2
2033	122.1108.9–134.7	36.924.5–48.3
2034	119.7103.1–133.4	37.626.4–51.8
2035	122.8105.8–138.8	37.625.2–49.5
2036	120.2105.5–136.2	3826.5–50.5
2037	121.6106.3–139.4	39.928.2–53.4
2038	126.5105.7–142.1	41.528.4–54.2
2039	127.7110.5–147.1	39.227–52.9
2040	124.2109.7–144.9	38.125.6–55.6
2041	126108.4–141.5	40.227.4–54.3
2042	128.5105.8–144.3	4229–56.4
2043	126.5111.8–144.3	42.128.2–58.4
2044	125.9108.5–142.9	41.929.5–57.8
2045	130.9117.5–148.6	42.728.2–59
2046	131114.4–147.2	44.130–59.5
2047	132.3116.1–145.4	44.630.7–61.2
2048	129.9118.5–146.9	4531.9–61.5
2049	127.9108.7–143.9	45.632.3–61.4
2050	133.3114.3–147	46.931–63.6
2051	130.3116.7–143.9	47.532–65
2052	130.3119.9–143.5	48.332.7–64.3
2053	135120.4–149.7	45.733.7–62.1
2054	134.1118.8–149.3	4833.3–64.3
2055	134.1115.2–150.3	46.833–68.4
2056	136110.1–151.1	47.933.2–64.8
2057	132.7110.9–155	50.232.6–68.9
2058	135.7119.1–155.4	47.934–66.4
2059	138.8118.5–156.7	51.333.1–66.9
2060	136.1116.3–159.2	51.936–69.9
2061	136119–150.7	50.534.8–71.3
2062	139118.7–156	50.532.7–71
2063	137.4120.1–151.2	50.434.3–69.7
2064	139.3121–154.3	5134.1–67.7
2065	139.6122.3–154.3	50.433.6–70.2
2066	137.3119.6–153.7	5335.7–72.4
2067	142.8126–157.8	50.634.8–70.4
2068	141.2122.8–156.4	54.837.8–72.5
2069	141.5123.7–157.6	54.339.1–73.4
2070	141.8120.5–157.5	54.337.2–73.3
2071	142.9124.3–161.8	55.837.9–76.9
2072	144.3127–158.5	5639.4–78.6
2073	143.6127.3–159.2	60.443.4–80.3
2074	138.8123–162.2	57.439.1–75.3
2075	138.1120.8–154.6	56.137.7–76
2076	143.2126.8–161.5	58.538.4–75.3
2077	142.8120.5–161.6	57.341–80.5
2078	143.6128.2–160.6	5639.5–79
2079	148.6123.7–160.2	57.639.3–78
2080	145.5123.5–163.7	59.540.3–80.9
2081	143.7128.1–161.2	5841.5–79.6
2082	145.8129.5–160.6	58.839.7–77.7
2083	149.4126–163.1	60.839.1–82.9
2084	148128.2–164	62.540.4–82.9
2085	149127.9–162.4	60.741.3–87.6
2086	148127.4–167.1	60.542.1–83.3
2087	146.4123.7–165.7	57.941–82.9
2088	147.6133.5–165.3	64.243.4–85.3
2089	148.4131.4–169.1	61.541.3–81.2
2090	147.6132.4–168.8	61.641.5–86.8
2091	151.9131.7–170.6	63.341.6–86.3
2092	148.2132–167.4	63.144.9–84.8
2093	154.1135.3–172.2	62.443.2–86.1
2094	153.2133.6–170.3	63.145.6–87.4
2095	148.2131.4–164.1	65.342.6–91.7
2096	150.5130.5–172.6	6142.7–90.1
2097	149.8134.4–172.7	58.841.2–84.6
2098	150.9131.3–170.1	65.143.8–89.8
2099	149.5129–166.6	64.345–87
2100	149.4130.1–168.5	58.742–88.2

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Israel vs South Africa: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

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