Italy vs Mexico: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 14.1 °C in Italy and 21.7 °C in Mexico, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Mexico, by 7.6 °C, or 1.54 times that in Italy.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

ItalyMexicoCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Mexico has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
In 2025, Italy ranked 167 and Mexico ranked 134 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Italy at 15.6 °C and Mexico at 23.7 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

Year	Italy	Italy: CMIP6 historical run, model median	Mexico	Mexico: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025	14.1	13.9	21.7	22
2024	14.4	13.8	22	21.9
2023	14.4	13.8	21.7	21.9
2022	14.4	14.1	21	21.9
2021	13.4	13.9	21.3	21.9
2020	13.7	13.7	21.6	21.9
2019	13.8	13.7	21.4	21.9
2018	13.9	13.6	21.1	21.8
2017	13.5	13.5	21.4	21.7
2016	13.5	13.5	21.2	21.6
2015	13.8	13.5	21.1	21.6
2014	13.7	13.2	21	21.4
2013	13.1	13.2	20.8	21.5
2012	13.4	13.2	21.2	21.4
2011	13.4	13.2	21.3	21.4
2010	12.6	13.3	20.5	21.4
2009	13.3	13.1	21.2	21.4
2008	13.3	13.2	20.7	21.3
2007	13.4	13.1	20.7	21.2
2006	13	13.1	21	21.2
2005	12.3	13.1	21	21.3
2004	12.8	13	20.4	21.3
2003	13.4	13.1	20.9	21.2
2002	13.2	12.8	20.8	21.2
2001	13.2	12.8	20.7	21.2
2000	13.3	13	20.8	21.2
1999	13	12.7	20.7	21.1
1998	12.9	12.7	21	21
1997	13.1	12.6	20.4	21.1
1996	12.2	12.6	20.8	20.9
1995	12.4	12.5	21	20.9
1994	13.5	12.6	21	20.8
1993	12.5	12.4	20.5	20.7
1992	12.6	12.2	20.1	20.6
1991	11.9	12.6	20.2	20.9
1990	12.7	12.7	20.4	21
1989	12.3	12.6	20.4	20.9
1988	12.6	12.3	20.2	20.9
1987	12.3	12.3	19.8	20.9
1986	12.2	12.2	20.1	20.8
1985	12.1	12.3	20	20.7
1984	11.5	12.3	19.9	20.6
1983	12.3	12.3	20	20.5
1982	12.6	12.3	20.5	20.6
1981	11.9	12.3	20.1	20.8
1980	11.4	12.3	20.5	20.7
1979	11.9	12.2	20.1	20.8
1978	11.6	12.3	20.1	20.7
1977	12.3	12	20.2	20.7
1976	11.7	12.1	19.4	20.7
1975	12.1	12.2	19.8	20.6
1974	12	12.3	19.9	20.6
1973	12.1	12.3	19.6	20.6
1972	11.9	12.2	20.2	20.6
1971	12	12.1	19.9	20.6
1970	12.1	12	19.9	20.6
1969	11.8	12.2	20.2	20.6
1968	12	12.1	19.6	20.6
1967	12.2	12.2	20	20.6
1966	12.1	12.1	19.5	20.6
1965	11.6	12	19.8	20.5
1964	12.1	12.2	19.7	20.4
1963	11.6	12.2	20	20.6
1962	12.1	12.3	20.2	20.6
1961	13	12.2	19.8	20.7
1960	12.4	12.4	19.8	20.7
1959	12.4	12.5	19.7	20.7
1958	12.3	12.3	19.9	20.7
1957	12.2	12.2	20.4	20.7
1956	11.3	12.3	19.9	20.7
1955	12.4	12.4	19.9	20.6
1954	11.7	12.2	20.3	20.6
1953	12.3	12.4	20.1	20.6
1952	12.5	12.4	19.9	20.5
1951	12.2	12.4	20.3	20.7
1950	12.8	12.4	20.3	20.6

12.3Projected

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100

Year	Italy	Italy: CMIP6 historical run, model median	Mexico	Mexico: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026	–	14.113.3–15.1	–	2221.4–22.6
2027	–	13.913.4–15	–	2221.4–22.7
2028	–	1413.4–15.2	–	22.121.5–22.7
2029	–	14.113.4–15	–	22.121.6–22.7
2030	–	13.913.3–14.8	–	22.221.4–22.7
2031	–	13.913–15	–	22.121.5–22.8
2032	–	14.313.4–15	–	22.221.5–22.7
2033	–	14.113.3–14.9	–	22.321.6–22.9
2034	–	14.213.3–15.1	–	22.221.7–22.9
2035	–	14.313.6–15.3	–	22.221.5–22.9
2036	–	14.413.6–15.3	–	22.321.8–22.8
2037	–	14.413.4–15	–	22.421.5–23
2038	–	14.413.6–15.3	–	22.421.7–23.1
2039	–	14.313.6–15.1	–	22.521.8–23.2
2040	–	14.213.5–15.3	–	22.521.9–23.1
2041	–	14.113.6–15.1	–	22.521.7–23.1
2042	–	14.413.7–15.2	–	22.621.9–23.2
2043	–	14.513.4–15.3	–	22.622–23.2
2044	–	14.313.4–15.4	–	22.521.9–23.1
2045	–	14.513.9–15.3	–	22.621.9–23.3
2046	–	14.513.4–15.3	–	22.622–23.3
2047	–	14.713.3–15.4	–	22.722.1–23.5
2048	–	14.713.8–15.7	–	22.722.1–23.4
2049	–	14.513.7–15.7	–	22.822.1–23.5
2050	–	14.814–15.7	–	22.822.1–23.5
2051	–	14.613.5–15.7	–	22.922.2–23.5
2052	–	14.713.8–15.8	–	22.822.1–23.5
2053	–	14.813.9–15.8	–	22.922.1–23.7
2054	–	14.713.9–15.9	–	2322.2–23.6
2055	–	14.713.9–15.8	–	2322.2–23.7
2056	–	14.713.8–15.8	–	22.922.2–23.7
2057	–	14.813.9–16	–	2322.1–23.7
2058	–	1514.2–16.1	–	22.922.2–23.6
2059	–	1513.9–15.9	–	22.922.3–23.7
2060	–	1514–15.9	–	2322.3–23.7
2061	–	15.114.1–15.9	–	2322.4–23.7
2062	–	1514.1–16.2	–	2322.1–23.9
2063	–	15.214.1–16.1	–	23.122.4–23.9
2064	–	1514.2–15.9	–	23.122.5–23.9
2065	–	15.114–16.2	–	23.222.3–23.9
2066	–	15.114.2–16.1	–	23.222.4–23.9
2067	–	15.314.2–16.1	–	23.222.5–24
2068	–	15.314.4–16.3	–	23.222.4–24
2069	–	15.214.4–16.2	–	23.222.3–24
2070	–	15.114.1–16.3	–	23.322.4–24.1
2071	–	15.314.1–16.4	–	23.422.5–24.2
2072	–	15.314.6–16.4	–	23.422.5–24.1
2073	–	15.214.3–16.2	–	23.422.4–24.2
2074	–	15.314.2–16.5	–	23.322.6–24.1
2075	–	15.114.4–16.5	–	23.422.4–24.1
2076	–	15.114.3–16.6	–	23.322.4–24.3
2077	–	15.214.2–16.2	–	23.422.4–24.1
2078	–	15.314.3–16.8	–	23.522.6–24.3
2079	–	15.314.4–16.8	–	23.522.6–24.4
2080	–	15.414.5–16.5	–	23.522.6–24.5
2081	–	15.214.3–16.5	–	23.522.7–24.3
2082	–	15.514.6–16.6	–	23.522.6–24.3
2083	–	15.414.3–16.4	–	23.522.5–24.5
2084	–	15.614.4–16.6	–	23.522.7–24.5
2085	–	15.614.7–16.6	–	23.522.7–24.3
2086	–	15.614.5–16.7	–	23.522.6–24.4
2087	–	15.514.5–16.9	–	23.522.6–24.4
2088	–	15.814.7–16.8	–	23.622.7–24.3
2089	–	15.714.6–16.8	–	23.622.6–24.5
2090	–	15.814.6–16.7	–	23.622.6–24.5
2091	–	15.614.6–16.7	–	23.722.7–24.6
2092	–	15.714.5–16.6	–	23.622.7–24.4
2093	–	15.514.3–16.9	–	23.622.7–24.6
2094	–	15.614.4–17.1	–	23.722.9–24.6
2095	–	15.614.2–16.8	–	23.823–24.6
2096	–	15.714.5–17	–	23.722.8–24.6
2097	–	15.714.6–16.8	–	23.622.7–24.7
2098	–	15.714.8–16.8	–	23.822.9–24.6
2099	–	15.914.5–16.6	–	23.722.7–24.6
2100	–	15.614.4–16.8	–	23.722.8–24.5

Each country on its own

Good to know

The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Italy vs Mexico: Temperature

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

Good to know

Italy vs Mexico

Health

People

Economy

Education

Politics

Conflict

Military

Climate

Technology and environment