Kazakhstan vs Tajikistan
Kazakhstan vs Tajikistan: Population growth
Population growth in 2023: 1.32% a year in Kazakhstan and 1.96% a year in Tajikistan, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in Tajikistan, by 0.64 percentage points, or 1.49 times that in Kazakhstan.
% a year · UN
What the numbers say
- Tajikistan has been higher since 1961, when it overtook Kazakhstan.
- In 2023, Kazakhstan ranked 86 and Tajikistan ranked 52 of 229 countries, counting from the highest.
- The UN projection (medium variant) puts Kazakhstan at 0.21% a year and Tajikistan at 0.03% a year in 2100.
- The world as a whole: 0.87% a year in 2023.
Every year
% a year · UN
| Year | Kazakhstan | Tajikistan | World |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1.32 | 1.96 | 0.87 |
| 2022 | 1.61 | 2.08 | 0.88 |
| 2021 | 1.31 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 2020 | 1.35 | 2.22 | 0.9 |
| 2019 | 1.47 | 2.34 | 1.03 |
| 2018 | 1.44 | 2.39 | 1.07 |
| 2017 | 1.55 | 2.43 | 1.13 |
| 2016 | 1.57 | 2.49 | 1.17 |
| 2015 | 1.5 | 2.58 | 1.18 |
| 2014 | 1.48 | 2.53 | 1.22 |
| 2013 | 1.45 | 2.49 | 1.23 |
| 2012 | 1.42 | 2.51 | 1.27 |
| 2011 | 1.38 | 2.27 | 1.26 |
| 2010 | 1.33 | 2.19 | 1.27 |
| 2009 | 1.27 | 2.09 | 1.28 |
| 2008 | 1.07 | 2.01 | 1.28 |
| 2007 | 1 | 1.95 | 1.28 |
| 2006 | 0.9 | 1.89 | 1.28 |
| 2005 | 0.79 | 1.91 | 1.27 |
| 2004 | 0.69 | 2 | 1.28 |
| 2003 | 0.61 | 1.92 | 1.29 |
| 2002 | 0.55 | 1.93 | 1.3 |
| 2001 | 0.49 | 1.91 | 1.33 |
| 2000 | 0.46 | 1.95 | 1.35 |
| 1999 | 0.12 | 0.48 | 1.35 |
| 1998 | -2.57 | 0.55 | 1.37 |
| 1997 | -2.42 | 0.64 | 1.39 |
| 1996 | -2.17 | 1.77 | 1.42 |
| 1995 | -1.63 | 2.16 | 1.45 |
| 1994 | -2.08 | 2.02 | 1.47 |
| 1993 | -0.62 | 1.45 | 1.52 |
| 1992 | -0.05 | 1.21 | 1.57 |
| 1991 | 0.68 | 2.67 | 1.63 |
| 1990 | 0.77 | 2.54 | 1.76 |
| 1989 | 1.07 | 2.4 | 1.78 |
| 1988 | 1.49 | 3.49 | 1.79 |
| 1987 | 1.56 | 3.51 | 1.84 |
| 1986 | 1.68 | 3.36 | 1.83 |
| 1985 | 1.19 | 3.16 | 1.8 |
| 1984 | 1.15 | 2.95 | 1.8 |
| 1983 | 1.12 | 2.9 | 1.78 |
| 1982 | 1.1 | 2.87 | 1.86 |
| 1981 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 1.82 |
| 1980 | 1.13 | 2.81 | 1.8 |
| 1979 | 1.18 | 2.91 | 1.79 |
| 1978 | 2.43 | 3.07 | 1.74 |
| 1977 | 2.5 | 3.15 | 1.75 |
| 1976 | 2.5 | 3.15 | 1.78 |
| 1975 | 1.8 | 3.14 | 1.8 |
| 1974 | 1.83 | 3.13 | 1.88 |
| 1973 | 1.87 | 3.12 | 1.94 |
| 1972 | 2.06 | 3.1 | 1.97 |
| 1971 | 2.11 | 3.07 | 1.97 |
| 1970 | 2.12 | 3.11 | 2.06 |
| 1969 | 2.16 | 3.23 | 2.06 |
| 1968 | 2.46 | 3.31 | 2.09 |
| 1967 | 2.57 | 3.32 | 2 |
| 1966 | 2.6 | 3.32 | 2.04 |
| 1965 | 2.71 | 3.33 | 2.09 |
| 1964 | 2.88 | 3.34 | 2.16 |
| 1963 | 3.07 | 3.37 | 2.28 |
| 1962 | 3.17 | 3.33 | 2.11 |
| 1961 | 3.23 | 3.28 | 1.67 |
| 1960 | 3.28 | 3.21 | 1.58 |
| 1959 | 3.36 | 3.22 | 1.73 |
| 1958 | 3.32 | 3.1 | 2 |
| 1957 | 3.33 | 3 | 2.07 |
| 1956 | 3.27 | 2.99 | 1.98 |
| 1955 | 3.21 | 3.02 | 2.01 |
| 1954 | 3.19 | 3.1 | 1.99 |
| 1953 | 3.2 | 3.23 | 1.9 |
| 1952 | 3.3 | 3.41 | 1.94 |
| 1951 | 3.37 | 3.68 | 1.75 |
| 1950 | 3.4 | 4.03 | 1.74 |
UN projection (medium variant) · 2024–2100
| Year | Kazakhstan | Tajikistan | World |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1.250.36–2.08 | 1.871.04–2.7 | 0.86 |
| 2025 | 1.18-0–2.27 | 1.790.69–2.78 | 0.84 |
| 2026 | 1.11-0.32–2.4 | 1.740.61–2.79 | 0.83 |
| 2027 | 1.08-0.53–2.55 | 1.690.5–2.83 | 0.81 |
| 2028 | 1.08-0.63–2.79 | 1.660.36–2.76 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 1.04-0.83–2.85 | 1.630.34–2.79 | 0.78 |
| 2030 | 1.03-1.01–2.92 | 1.590.24–2.78 | 0.76 |
| 2031 | 1-1.1–2.91 | 1.580.18–2.83 | 0.75 |
| 2032 | 1.02-1.16–2.95 | 1.580.22–2.82 | 0.73 |
| 2033 | 0.99-1.17–3.05 | 1.570.13–2.82 | 0.72 |
| 2034 | 0.98-1.18–3.06 | 1.570.17–2.88 | 0.7 |
| 2035 | 0.96-1.32–3.08 | 1.580.21–2.99 | 0.69 |
| 2036 | 0.96-1.45–3.04 | 1.60.21–2.93 | 0.67 |
| 2037 | 0.94-1.44–3.06 | 1.560.2–3.01 | 0.65 |
| 2038 | 0.94-1.53–3.17 | 1.530.11–2.94 | 0.64 |
| 2039 | 0.94-1.63–3.25 | 1.50.08–2.92 | 0.62 |
| 2040 | 0.96-1.54–3.39 | 1.470.09–2.86 | 0.61 |
| 2041 | 0.93-1.73–3.32 | 1.440.01–2.86 | 0.59 |
| 2042 | 0.94-1.61–3.38 | 1.410.03–2.84 | 0.57 |
| 2043 | 0.94-1.59–3.46 | 1.35-0.06–2.85 | 0.56 |
| 2044 | 0.93-1.64–3.49 | 1.33-0.08–2.8 | 0.54 |
| 2045 | 0.92-1.66–3.48 | 1.27-0.1–2.73 | 0.52 |
| 2046 | 0.9-1.79–3.5 | 1.23-0.29–2.67 | 0.5 |
| 2047 | 0.91-1.67–3.44 | 1.19-0.31–2.63 | 0.48 |
| 2048 | 0.87-1.91–3.44 | 1.15-0.32–2.61 | 0.46 |
| 2049 | 0.82-1.96–3.35 | 1.09-0.38–2.56 | 0.44 |
| 2050 | 0.81-2.1–3.37 | 1.06-0.41–2.54 | 0.42 |
| 2051 | 0.79-2.12–3.34 | 1.02-0.5–2.6 | 0.4 |
| 2052 | 0.78-2.31–3.31 | 1.01-0.57–2.54 | 0.38 |
| 2053 | 0.77-2.28–3.32 | 0.96-0.6–2.46 | 0.36 |
| 2054 | 0.72-2.36–3.34 | 0.95-0.56–2.51 | 0.34 |
| 2055 | 0.72-2.41–3.35 | 0.93-0.6–2.56 | 0.33 |
| 2056 | 0.7-2.36–3.43 | 0.92-0.6–2.56 | 0.31 |
| 2057 | 0.63-2.49–3.25 | 0.92-0.66–2.58 | 0.3 |
| 2058 | 0.62-2.29–3.26 | 0.9-0.66–2.55 | 0.28 |
| 2059 | 0.62-2.38–3.36 | 0.88-0.65–2.62 | 0.27 |
| 2060 | 0.6-2.46–3.08 | 0.86-0.74–2.49 | 0.25 |
| 2061 | 0.59-2.64–3.18 | 0.82-0.81–2.44 | 0.24 |
| 2062 | 0.57-2.47–3.23 | 0.81-0.77–2.48 | 0.23 |
| 2063 | 0.56-2.54–3.19 | 0.81-0.75–2.45 | 0.22 |
| 2064 | 0.55-2.61–3.12 | 0.77-0.77–2.43 | 0.21 |
| 2065 | 0.55-2.61–3.23 | 0.74-0.86–2.41 | 0.2 |
| 2066 | 0.52-2.74–3.34 | 0.74-0.99–2.35 | 0.19 |
| 2067 | 0.5-2.98–3.12 | 0.7-1.01–2.31 | 0.18 |
| 2068 | 0.51-2.98–3.17 | 0.67-1.02–2.32 | 0.17 |
| 2069 | 0.53-2.97–3.33 | 0.66-0.99–2.33 | 0.16 |
| 2070 | 0.51-2.97–3.37 | 0.62-1.05–2.28 | 0.15 |
| 2071 | 0.5-3.12–3.3 | 0.59-1.04–2.27 | 0.14 |
| 2072 | 0.48-3.15–3.17 | 0.55-1.11–2.21 | 0.13 |
| 2073 | 0.48-3.18–3.07 | 0.52-1.14–2.22 | 0.12 |
| 2074 | 0.49-3.18–3.15 | 0.5-1.15–2.27 | 0.1 |
| 2075 | 0.48-3.31–3.06 | 0.48-1.2–2.17 | 0.09 |
| 2076 | 0.47-3.18–3.02 | 0.47-1.26–2.17 | 0.08 |
| 2077 | 0.47-3.09–3.18 | 0.42-1.3–2.23 | 0.07 |
| 2078 | 0.47-3.25–3.16 | 0.4-1.37–2.18 | 0.06 |
| 2079 | 0.43-3.18–3.15 | 0.38-1.41–2.12 | 0.05 |
| 2080 | 0.44-3.17–3.11 | 0.38-1.37–2.12 | 0.04 |
| 2081 | 0.43-3.24–3.16 | 0.34-1.5–2.06 | 0.03 |
| 2082 | 0.4-3.19–3.19 | 0.34-1.49–2.13 | 0.02 |
| 2083 | 0.42-3.02–3.2 | 0.34-1.45–2.13 | 0.01 |
| 2084 | 0.4-3.06–3.16 | 0.32-1.45–2.14 | -0 |
| 2085 | 0.39-2.99–3.19 | 0.3-1.54–2.11 | -0.01 |
| 2086 | 0.38-3.07–3.09 | 0.28-1.57–2.05 | -0.02 |
| 2087 | 0.38-3.18–3.17 | 0.28-1.55–2.11 | -0.03 |
| 2088 | 0.34-3.13–3.02 | 0.25-1.58–2.03 | -0.04 |
| 2089 | 0.33-3.22–2.98 | 0.24-1.66–2.08 | -0.05 |
| 2090 | 0.32-3.35–3.13 | 0.22-1.7–2.06 | -0.05 |
| 2091 | 0.31-3.2–3.29 | 0.22-1.73–2.03 | -0.06 |
| 2092 | 0.29-3.22–3.25 | 0.2-1.68–2.08 | -0.07 |
| 2093 | 0.31-3.27–3.26 | 0.16-1.94–2 | -0.07 |
| 2094 | 0.3-3.27–3.25 | 0.16-1.9–1.93 | -0.08 |
| 2095 | 0.3-3.23–3.11 | 0.13-1.86–2.01 | -0.09 |
| 2096 | 0.27-3.38–3.17 | 0.12-1.92–2.01 | -0.1 |
| 2097 | 0.24-3.44–3.12 | 0.09-2.03–1.96 | -0.11 |
| 2098 | 0.23-3.55–3.18 | 0.07-2.08–1.98 | -0.11 |
| 2099 | 0.23-3.58–3.23 | 0.04-2.18–1.94 | -0.12 |
| 2100 | 0.21-3.6–3.31 | 0.03-2.15–1.93 | -0.13 |
Each country on its own
Good to know
- How fast the population grew or shrank in a year: births minus deaths, plus people moving in minus people moving out.
- Source: UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024.
- The dashed line is the UN projection (medium variant), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its 95% prediction interval.
- Ranks count the 229 countries with a value in 2023, highest first.
- The faint line is the world as a whole, as the same source counts it.
How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time
Kazakhstan vs Tajikistan
Health
- Life expectancyKazakhstan: 74.4 years in 2023Tajikistan: 71.8 years in 2023
- Child mortalityKazakhstan: 0.9 per 100 live births in 2024Tajikistan: 2.8 per 100 live births in 2024
- Infant mortalityKazakhstan: 8.1 per 1,000 live births in 2023Tajikistan: 24.5 per 1,000 live births in 2023
- Safe drinking waterKazakhstan: 89.4% in 2021Tajikistan: 55.3% in 2022
- DepressionKazakhstan: 3.51% in 2017Tajikistan: 2.56% in 2017
- Suicide rateKazakhstan: 23 per 100,000 people in 2017Tajikistan: 5.8 per 100,000 people in 2017
People
- PopulationKazakhstan: 20.3 million people in 2023Tajikistan: 10.4 million people in 2023
- Fertility rateKazakhstan: 3.01 births per woman in 2023Tajikistan: 3.07 births per woman in 2023
- Urban populationKazakhstan: 62.4% in 2025Tajikistan: 26.2% in 2025
- Median ageKazakhstan: 29.5 years in 2023Tajikistan: 21.9 years in 2023
- People aged 65 and overKazakhstan: 8.3% in 2023Tajikistan: 3.7% in 2023
- Net migration rateKazakhstan: -0.2 per 1,000 people in 2023Tajikistan: -1.9 per 1,000 people in 2023
Economy
Education
Politics
Conflict
Military
- Military spendingKazakhstan: 0.43% of GDP in 2025Tajikistan: 1.47% of GDP in 2025
- Military spending in US dollarsKazakhstan: $1.31B in 2025Tajikistan: $220M in 2025
- Military spending per personKazakhstan: $63 in 2025Tajikistan: $23 in 2025
- Military share of state spendingKazakhstan: 2.1% of government spending in 2025Tajikistan: 4.7% of government spending in 2025
- Armed forces personnelKazakhstan: 71,000 people in 2020Tajikistan: 17,000 people in 2020
- National powerKazakhstan: 0.27% of world capability in 2022Tajikistan: 0.05% of world capability in 2022
- Armed forces, share of workersKazakhstan: 0.74% of the labour force in 2020Tajikistan: 0.75% of the labour force in 2020
- Arms importsKazakhstan: 18 million TIV in 2025Tajikistan: 75 million TIV in 2025