Kenya vs Mozambique

Kenya vs Mozambique: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 245.6 nights in Kenya and 186.3 nights in Mozambique, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Kenya, by 59.3 nights, or 1.32 times that in Mozambique.

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nights a year · CMIP6

Kenya vs Mozambique: Tropical nightsTropical nights in 2014: 245.6 nights in Kenya and 186.3 nights in Mozambique, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Kenya, by 59.3 nights, or 1.32 times that in Mozambique.
KenyaMozambiqueCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Kenya has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Kenya at 277 nights and Mozambique at 254.4 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearKenyaMozambique
2014245.6186.3
2013245.4186.9
2012244.7185.2
2011245184.1
2010243.8182.2
2009242.3178.2
2008240.3176.8
2007240.9178.9
2006241.5177.4
2005241.2176.9
2004241.8181
2003240.8180
2002240.7177.1
2001242180.6
2000239.5173.6
1999237.8171.5
1998239.2174.1
1997236.9169.9
1996234.2164.7
1995232.9165.8
1994231.9163.1
1993227.4155.5
1992224.8156
1991233.8167.5
1990236.4170.2
1989234.5164
1988233.1166.4
1987232.6166
1986233166.6
1985228.7159.3
1984230.2161.1
1983226.7159.7
1982230.6160.6
1981232.9164.5
1980231.3161.9
1979229.6162.2
1978228.7160.2
1977229.9160.2
1976227.8157.4
1975225.9157.7
1974230.5159.1
1973230.4160.4
1972228.7157.6
1971226155.6
1970226.3159.7
1969225.9157.8
1968222.9153
1967224152.8
1966225.2152.5
1965224.2153.1
1964221.8145.9
1963220.2146.8
1962227.2158.5
1961228.3158.8
1960228.8160.6
1959228.3159.7
1958229.1159.5
1957228156.9
1956225.5153.4
1955228.7159.6
1954227.4155.4
1953227.6156.8
1952228.5156.6
1951228.3157.4
1950226.3156.3
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearKenyaMozambique
2015246.9232.3–256.1191170.1–212.1
2016244.9230.1–255187.6168.6–208.2
2017248.1233.1–257.7190.1169.4–210.1
2018248.7237–257.4189.8163.6–212.8
2019247.1234.8–256.7189.7171.9–208.8
2020248.6233.2–259.2191.3169–213.8
2021249.5236.3–258.1193.1172.7–212.9
2022251.5239.7–259.5199.9176.3–216.7
2023251.8239–260.8196.8176.4–217.3
2024254.2239.1–263199.7173.4–222.8
2025251.5238.1–261.8195.7173–219.1
2026252.2237.2–263.3197.7172.6–219.3
2027252.8238.4–263.8199.9177.9–221.8
2028254.9241.9–264.2202.5181.1–221.1
2029256243.4–264.6207.6187.3–227.3
2030253.6240.6–263.1203.6183.2–223.8
2031256244.7–264.4207.3188.7–225
2032257243.8–267.1207.4186.7–230.9
2033256241.8–265.9206.1180.7–226.1
2034256.2241.2–267.9206.3181.3–227.7
2035256.7243.3–266.7208.2184.1–233.6
2036256.2242.4–266.7208.3183.8–226.4
2037258.7245.9–268.4213.7191.8–234.3
2038260.3244.5–268.9218.4195.7–240.9
2039259244.4–268212.6192.3–233.5
2040258.3246.2–269.8212.7189–233.9
2041260.7244.8–271.2213.1187.1–238
2042260.3246.5–272.7214.9190.4–241.3
2043259246.6–270.5216196.2–238.9
2044261.2248.8–270.9220.2196.1–242.1
2045261.8248.7–272.9217.2198.6–237.6
2046264.8249.6–275.3224.4200.5–247.6
2047264.4249.8–275.3224.5201.3–246.3
2048264.2252.3–274.9225.7205–247.5
2049265.2252.8–275.6226.4199.2–247.8
2050263.9249.8–275.1225.5198.1–246.6
2051265.4252.1–275.1227.5206.2–248.7
2052266.3252.6–276.2230.5208.6–255.2
2053265.2251–275.4226.3200.4–250
2054265.2250.2–277.2227.8203.9–256.1
2055266.8251.6–277.6231.5208.3–254.4
2056266.2251.2–277.8227.8204.6–253.1
2057266.8253–278227.6205.7–252.2
2058266.7251.5–277.9230.2208.3–251.8
2059269.8254.7–280.5235.5212.5–261.4
2060271.1253.9–280.7237.5208.9–257.9
2061267.5253.9–281.7232.1204.8–256.1
2062268.1254–281.2233.2208.6–257.9
2063268.9255–280.1233.3207.3–261.6
2064270254.1–279.8234.6209.3–255.8
2065269.4255.8–282.3236208.7–261
2066270.6258.1–281239.4213.6–261.8
2067270.7256.1–283235.5205.9–259.4
2068270.2256–283237.7211–264.3
2069269.8256.1–283.3241.1212.2–263.4
2070270.1255.8–282.6240.7212.1–266
2071271.9257.9–284.4244.1214.3–272.8
2072273.5260.3–283.8244.7215.8–267.8
2073273.1259.9–285.4246214.2–267.6
2074271.9257.5–285.4242.2219.9–271.1
2075271.1256.5–284.7244.4215.6–267.9
2076274.1258.6–285.8240.8211–264.8
2077273.4259–286.6241.4214.7–272.4
2078273.1260–284.4245.4220.8–271.1
2079273.3258.7–286.6244.1214.3–276.4
2080275.5259.4–286.9246.1221–273.6
2081274.7259.8–285.6245.6214.5–268.1
2082274.8261.3–286.4246.9220.6–268.3
2083274259.6–289.3247.3217.4–276.4
2084276.8259–288.8248.5223.3–270.9
2085276.2261.5–289.1253.4221.5–277.6
2086275.1260–289.1242.9216.4–272.3
2087276.2260.3–288.5247.4222.8–271.3
2088276.8261.6–289.7253221.1–274.9
2089275.9260.3–288.8251.6221.9–277.3
2090275.3260.5–290.5249.9218.6–277.9
2091277.7260.4–290.9253.2221.4–280.8
2092276.2261.2–290.7252.7221.5–279.5
2093276.9262–290.1256221.7–279.4
2094277262.8–288.9251.8221–280.3
2095278.4262.3–290.4255.6225.8–278.1
2096277.6260.5–292254.7225.8–280.4
2097277261–290.2253.2221.8–281.6
2098277.6262.3–291.5256.1225.2–279.6
2099277.9260.8–292.4254.9223.4–278.7
2100277261.8–290.4254.4226.1–279.1

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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