Kenya vs Niger

Kenya vs Niger: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 245.6 nights in Kenya and 221.6 nights in Niger, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Kenya, by 24 nights, or 1.11 times that in Niger.

nights a year · CMIP6

Kenya vs Niger: Tropical nightsTropical nights in 2014: 245.6 nights in Kenya and 221.6 nights in Niger, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Kenya, by 24 nights, or 1.11 times that in Niger.
KenyaNigerCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Kenya has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Kenya at 277 nights and Niger at 251.1 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearKenyaNiger
2014245.6221.6
2013245.4216.1
2012244.7220.8
2011245220.1
2010243.8219.1
2009242.3217.2
2008240.3216.8
2007240.9216.9
2006241.5214.3
2005241.2213.6
2004241.8213.6
2003240.8215.5
2002240.7214.6
2001242213.4
2000239.5211.2
1999237.8210.4
1998239.2207.7
1997236.9211.5
1996234.2208.6
1995232.9208.3
1994231.9207.8
1993227.4202.6
1992224.8203.4
1991233.8209.4
1990236.4208.1
1989234.5206
1988233.1203
1987232.6204.9
1986233206.8
1985228.7203.9
1984230.2201.8
1983226.7200.5
1982230.6201.9
1981232.9204.3
1980231.3200.6
1979229.6200.5
1978228.7202
1977229.9203.8
1976227.8201.7
1975225.9199
1974230.5200.6
1973230.4202.6
1972228.7200.7
1971226200.8
1970226.3199.8
1969225.9196.1
1968222.9200.3
1967224196.6
1966225.2198.2
1965224.2199
1964221.8199.2
1963220.2196.7
1962227.2201.1
1961228.3198.2
1960228.8203.2
1959228.3201.6
1958229.1199.2
1957228201.1
1956225.5199.6
1955228.7199.7
1954227.4201.1
1953227.6196.5
1952228.5197.9
1951228.3199.8
1950226.3200.8
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearKenyaNiger
2015246.9232.3–256.1218.8202.8–235.8
2016244.9230.1–255217.7201.8–230.6
2017248.1233.1–257.7222.4205.2–237.4
2018248.7237–257.4220.5206.3–238.8
2019247.1234.8–256.7219.1201.8–238.1
2020248.6233.2–259.2220.9206.9–234.7
2021249.5236.3–258.1222.8208.2–240.2
2022251.5239.7–259.5226.3209.7–239.2
2023251.8239–260.8223.2206.6–238.4
2024254.2239.1–263228.4214.3–242.9
2025251.5238.1–261.8226.7211.2–241
2026252.2237.2–263.3226.3210–243.1
2027252.8238.4–263.8228.5209.9–241.1
2028254.9241.9–264.2227.1211.9–240.2
2029256243.4–264.6230.4213.3–247.1
2030253.6240.6–263.1226.4211.6–242.2
2031256244.7–264.4230.1210.8–247.1
2032257243.8–267.1228.7212.3–241
2033256241.8–265.9229.9214.9–245.4
2034256.2241.2–267.9229.5212.1–244.9
2035256.7243.3–266.7232.3217.5–248
2036256.2242.4–266.7230.2213.7–244.6
2037258.7245.9–268.4233.2215.1–246.5
2038260.3244.5–268.9234.3218.2–249.7
2039259244.4–268231214.2–247.1
2040258.3246.2–269.8230.8214.8–247.5
2041260.7244.8–271.2232.6218.6–252.9
2042260.3246.5–272.7233.8216.2–250.5
2043259246.6–270.5232.5217.8–245.8
2044261.2248.8–270.9233.8218.2–250.1
2045261.8248.7–272.9233.6218.1–249.7
2046264.8249.6–275.3234.3217–250.2
2047264.4249.8–275.3238.4224.3–253.1
2048264.2252.3–274.9238221.4–254
2049265.2252.8–275.6237.7217.4–253
2050263.9249.8–275.1238.2220.7–254.5
2051265.4252.1–275.1236.3220.6–254.7
2052266.3252.6–276.2239.5224.3–255.8
2053265.2251–275.4236.3223.9–255.6
2054265.2250.2–277.2239.4220.2–257.9
2055266.8251.6–277.6238.6223.7–254.7
2056266.2251.2–277.8239214.7–260.3
2057266.8253–278240.4223–256.3
2058266.7251.5–277.9238.2220.2–255.7
2059269.8254.7–280.5243.9224.6–262.7
2060271.1253.9–280.7239.8222.6–260
2061267.5253.9–281.7242.5224.9–258.5
2062268.1254–281.2241.6222.4–259.8
2063268.9255–280.1241.3220.9–255.2
2064270254.1–279.8244.4225.9–259.5
2065269.4255.8–282.3242.8226.5–262.4
2066270.6258.1–281245.6227–263.5
2067270.7256.1–283240.7224.9–262
2068270.2256–283244224.3–265.4
2069269.8256.1–283.3243.9225.5–261.6
2070270.1255.8–282.6243.1225.6–261.3
2071271.9257.9–284.4246.1230.3–264
2072273.5260.3–283.8247.9229.9–263.7
2073273.1259.9–285.4243.4225.4–262.8
2074271.9257.5–285.4243.2224.4–264.6
2075271.1256.5–284.7244.3230.2–263.3
2076274.1258.6–285.8246.5228.5–266.6
2077273.4259–286.6250.1232.3–267.4
2078273.1260–284.4249.2230.8–264.5
2079273.3258.7–286.6244.4228.7–263.8
2080275.5259.4–286.9248.8230.4–267
2081274.7259.8–285.6247227.8–268.1
2082274.8261.3–286.4247230.6–264.4
2083274259.6–289.3247.3230.7–267.5
2084276.8259–288.8247.7229.4–265.2
2085276.2261.5–289.1248.9227–264.2
2086275.1260–289.1250.4230.9–269.5
2087276.2260.3–288.5245.8226.2–266.9
2088276.8261.6–289.7248.3226.7–271.1
2089275.9260.3–288.8251.9232.5–269.5
2090275.3260.5–290.5249.7227.7–267.4
2091277.7260.4–290.9248.9230.5–272.2
2092276.2261.2–290.7251229.8–274
2093276.9262–290.1249.9234.8–267
2094277262.8–288.9252.2234–267.5
2095278.4262.3–290.4251.1233–270.7
2096277.6260.5–292250.8234.8–270.4
2097277261–290.2250.2227.8–270.8
2098277.6262.3–291.5250.1228.1–268.5
2099277.9260.8–292.4251.9232.2–268.2
2100277261.8–290.4251.1234.5–271.5

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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