Lebanon vs Syria: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 17 °C in Lebanon and 20.4 °C in Syria, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Syria, by 3.4 °C, or 1.2 times that in Lebanon.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

LebanonSyriaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Syria has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
In 2025, Lebanon ranked 159 and Syria ranked 147 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Lebanon at 17.9 °C and Syria at 21.7 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

Year	Lebanon	Lebanon: CMIP6 historical run, model median	Syria	Syria: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025	17	16.4	20.4	20.1
2024	17	16.4	20.5	20
2023	16.8	16.2	20.3	19.8
2022	16	16.2	19.9	19.9
2021	16.7	16.1	20.4	19.7
2020	16.5	16	20.1	19.7
2019	16.1	16	19.7	19.6
2018	16.9	16.1	20.4	19.7
2017	16.1	16	19.9	19.6
2016	16.3	15.8	20.1	19.4
2015	15.7	16.1	19.7	19.6
2014	16	15.7	19.8	19.4
2013	15.7	15.7	19.4	19.3
2012	15.7	15.7	19.4	19.2
2011	15	15.7	18.4	19.2
2010	17.3	15.7	20.7	19.2
2009	15.6	15.6	19	19.1
2008	15.7	15.6	19.1	19.1
2007	15.4	15.5	18.9	19
2006	15	15.5	18.7	19.1
2005	14.9	15.4	18.6	19
2004	15.2	15.5	18.7	19
2003	15.5	15.6	18.8	19.2
2002	15.6	15.4	18.8	19
2001	16.2	15.4	19.4	19
2000	15.3	15.4	18.8	19
1999	16.1	15.3	19.4	18.9
1998	15.9	15.3	19.5	18.7
1997	14.6	15.2	17.8	18.7
1996	15.4	15.1	18.8	18.6
1995	14.9	15.1	18.3	18.6
1994	15.3	15.1	18.9	18.5
1993	14.6	14.8	17.7	18.3
1992	13.3	14.8	16.7	18.1
1991	14.7	15.1	18.1	18.5
1990	14.9	15.2	18.3	18.7
1989	14.7	14.9	18.4	18.4
1988	14.5	14.9	17.8	18.4
1987	14.6	14.9	18.1	18.4
1986	14.6	15	18.3	18.5
1985	14.7	14.9	18	18.3
1984	14.2	14.9	17.6	18.3
1983	13.6	14.7	17.2	18.1
1982	13.7	14.8	17	18.1
1981	14.6	14.8	18.2	18.4
1980	14.5	14.8	17.9	18.2
1979	15.1	14.7	18.7	18.2
1978	14.8	14.6	18.4	18
1977	14.4	14.7	18	18.1
1976	14.1	14.7	17.3	18.2
1975	14.2	14.8	17.6	18.1
1974	14.4	14.7	17.9	18.1
1973	14.2	14.8	17.8	18.2
1972	13.8	14.8	16.9	18.2
1971	14	14.8	17.6	18.1
1970	14.6	14.7	18.3	18.1
1969	14.8	14.7	18.1	18.1
1968	14.4	14.6	18	18.1
1967	13.4	14.7	16.9	18
1966	15.5	14.7	19.1	18
1965	14.8	14.5	18.2	18
1964	14.2	14.7	17.4	18
1963	15.2	14.8	18.5	18.2
1962	15.9	14.8	19.4	18.2
1961	14.5	14.9	17.8	18.3
1960	15.9	14.9	18.9	18.3
1959	13.8	14.8	17.4	18.2
1958	15.4	14.8	18.6	18.2
1957	14.9	15	18.2	18.4
1956	14.6	14.8	17.8	18.1
1955	15.5	14.9	19.1	18.2
1954	14.7	14.8	18.6	18.2
1953	13.6	14.9	17.5	18.3
1952	14.9	15	18.7	18.4
1951	14.8	15	18.6	18.4
1950	14.3	14.8	17.7	18.2

12.3Projected

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100

Year	Lebanon	Lebanon: CMIP6 historical run, model median	Syria	Syria: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026	–	16.315.5–16.9	–	19.819–20.7
2027	–	16.415.7–17.1	–	19.919.3–20.9
2028	–	16.315.9–17	–	19.919.3–20.7
2029	–	16.416.1–17.1	–	2019.4–20.9
2030	–	16.415.7–17.1	–	2019.3–20.9
2031	–	16.615.9–17	–	20.219.6–20.7
2032	–	16.515.8–17	–	20.119.1–20.9
2033	–	16.616.1–17.3	–	20.219.7–21.2
2034	–	16.715.8–17.2	–	20.419.4–21
2035	–	16.816.3–17.3	–	20.419.9–21.1
2036	–	16.615.8–17.3	–	20.219.5–21
2037	–	16.715.8–17.5	–	20.319.3–21.2
2038	–	16.915.8–17.5	–	20.619.3–21.2
2039	–	1716.2–17.6	–	20.719.6–21.3
2040	–	16.716.2–17.4	–	20.419.8–21.3
2041	–	16.916.2–17.3	–	20.619.9–21.1
2042	–	16.816.2–17.4	–	20.419.7–21.1
2043	–	16.716.3–17.6	–	20.419.9–21.4
2044	–	16.915.9–17.4	–	20.519.6–21.4
2045	–	1716.4–17.9	–	20.720–21.7
2046	–	17.216.4–17.7	–	20.820.1–21.5
2047	–	1716.2–17.8	–	20.619.9–21.6
2048	–	16.916.2–17.7	–	20.619.9–21.8
2049	–	16.916.3–17.5	–	20.719.9–21.2
2050	–	17.116.1–17.9	–	20.919.9–21.8
2051	–	17.116.7–17.7	–	20.820.3–21.6
2052	–	17.116.6–17.8	–	20.820.1–21.8
2053	–	17.216.6–18	–	21.120.3–21.9
2054	–	17.216.4–18	–	2120–21.9
2055	–	17.316.4–18.1	–	21.120.2–22
2056	–	17.116.6–18.4	–	20.920.2–22.2
2057	–	17.216.4–18	–	2120–21.9
2058	–	17.216.4–18.3	–	2120.2–22.1
2059	–	17.416.3–18.2	–	21.119.9–22.1
2060	–	17.216.2–18.4	–	20.919.8–22.5
2061	–	17.316.6–17.9	–	21.120–21.9
2062	–	17.516.7–18.4	–	21.320.3–22.2
2063	–	17.416.5–18.2	–	21.220.1–22.1
2064	–	17.516.4–18.4	–	21.320–22.2
2065	–	17.516.5–18.2	–	21.220.4–22.1
2066	–	17.316.4–18.3	–	21.220.2–22.2
2067	–	17.616.6–18.4	–	21.420.5–22.4
2068	–	17.617–18.4	–	21.420.5–22.2
2069	–	17.516.9–18.3	–	21.320.4–22.3
2070	–	17.516.9–18.3	–	21.420.6–22.2
2071	–	17.816.9–18.5	–	21.520.6–22.5
2072	–	17.717–18.6	–	21.520.6–22.7
2073	–	17.616.8–18.5	–	21.420.3–22.4
2074	–	17.416.7–18.6	–	21.320.3–22.6
2075	–	17.617.1–18.5	–	21.520.7–22.4
2076	–	17.716.8–18.6	–	21.520.3–22.4
2077	–	17.716.8–18.7	–	21.520.5–22.7
2078	–	17.716.8–18.7	–	21.520.6–22.8
2079	–	17.917.2–18.8	–	21.720.7–22.8
2080	–	17.817–18.5	–	21.620.8–22.6
2081	–	17.816.7–18.8	–	21.720.5–22.9
2082	–	17.817.1–18.4	–	21.720.8–22.6
2083	–	17.717.3–18.8	–	21.721–22.7
2084	–	1816.7–18.8	–	21.920.7–22.8
2085	–	17.917.2–18.8	–	21.721–22.8
2086	–	1817.2–18.9	–	21.821–22.9
2087	–	17.916.8–18.6	–	21.720.5–22.8
2088	–	17.917.1–18.7	–	21.820.6–22.7
2089	–	17.916.8–19.2	–	21.720.5–23.2
2090	–	1817.2–19.2	–	21.720.7–23.2
2091	–	1817.3–19	–	21.821–22.8
2092	–	1816.9–19	–	21.920.6–22.9
2093	–	18.217.2–18.9	–	21.921–23
2094	–	18.317.2–19	–	22.220.9–23.2
2095	–	1817.3–19	–	21.921–23.1
2096	–	18.116.8–19.3	–	21.920.6–23.2
2097	–	18.217–19.4	–	22.120.6–23.5
2098	–	1816.9–19.4	–	21.920.8–23.4
2099	–	18.116.9–18.9	–	21.920.7–22.8
2100	–	17.917–19	–	21.720.8–23

Each country on its own

Good to know

The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Lebanon vs Syria: Temperature

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

Good to know

Lebanon vs Syria

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