Lebanon vs Syria: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 0.2 days in Lebanon and 77.6 days in Syria, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Syria, by 77.3 days, or 340 times that in Lebanon.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

LebanonSyriaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Syria has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Lebanon at 7.9 days and Syria at 117.9 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Lebanon	Syria
2014	0.2	77.6
2013	0.1	74.8
2012	0.2	76
2011	0.2	74.8
2010	0.3	75
2009	0.2	73
2008	0.1	74.9
2007	0.1	71.1
2006	0.2	73
2005	0.1	72.8
2004	0.1	72.6
2003	0.1	74.8
2002	0.1	69.9
2001	0.1	73.3
2000	0.1	70.4
1999	0.1	70.1
1998	0.1	68.8
1997	0.1	67
1996	0.1	66.7
1995	0	64.4
1994	0.1	62.6
1993	0	59.4
1992	0	58
1991	0	62.4
1990	0.1	67.5
1989	0	65.3
1988	0	63.6
1987	0.1	61
1986	0.1	65.1
1985	0	59.8
1984	0	58.6
1983	0	55.7
1982	0	59.7
1981	0	61.8
1980	0.1	63.5
1979	0	57.3
1978	0	58.4
1977	0	58.8
1976	0	62.1
1975	0	55.6
1974	0	59
1973	0	58.6
1972	0	60.3
1971	0	60.1
1970	0	60.9
1969	0	60.9
1968	0	58.1
1967	0	57.6
1966	0	57.4
1965	0	55.8
1964	0	55.9
1963	0	58.3
1962	0	59.5
1961	0	61.1
1960	0.1	60.9
1959	0.1	61.6
1958	0.1	61.9
1957	0.1	62.9
1956	0	61.3
1955	0	58.3
1954	0	58.7
1953	0.1	62
1952	0	61.5
1951	0.1	63.3
1950	0	59.6

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Lebanon	Syria
2015	0.30–1.9	81.668.2–95.6
2016	0.40–1.4	79.368.4–97.9
2017	0.30.1–1.2	8368.3–94.2
2018	0.50–2.7	8469.7–97.7
2019	0.30.1–1.6	8673–95.9
2020	0.50.1–1.7	8469.3–99.4
2021	0.50.1–1.4	85.372.2–96.2
2022	0.40.1–2	86.571–98.2
2023	0.60.1–2.6	88.576.4–101
2024	1.10.2–4.1	90.378–101.5
2025	0.70.1–3.6	89.170.7–102.4
2026	0.60–2.2	87.971.8–100.7
2027	0.70.1–3.1	90.575.7–102
2028	0.70.1–3	89.175.9–103.8
2029	0.90.1–3.2	9078.6–104
2030	0.80.2–3.5	90.477.7–104.4
2031	0.70.1–2.8	88.677.8–102.7
2032	0.90.2–3.2	9477.4–106.1
2033	0.90.1–4	95.579.3–106.3
2034	0.90.1–3	93.979.7–108
2035	0.80.2–3.2	9583–104.6
2036	1.20.2–4.8	91.177.5–105.2
2037	1.20.2–4.4	94.978.3–107.6
2038	0.90.2–4.2	97.379.4–111.2
2039	1.10.2–3.5	98.182.9–115.3
2040	1.30.3–4.7	97.985.1–111.3
2041	1.50.4–3.7	96.584.7–109.2
2042	1.40.1–4.5	98.877.8–110.2
2043	1.80.4–5	99.785.9–112.7
2044	2.10.7–5.9	98.585–114.7
2045	20.3–5.6	103.692.5–115.5
2046	2.10.4–5.6	101.389.1–114.4
2047	1.70.2–6.1	100.786.8–117.8
2048	2.10.3–5.3	101.485.4–115.8
2049	1.30.4–4.2	100.982.6–116.6
2050	2.20.3–5.8	102.588–117.1
2051	2.30.6–6.4	103.191.6–114.5
2052	2.10.7–5.4	100.388–112.1
2053	2.70.6–7.1	10390.8–117.1
2054	2.10.5–5.3	103.182–121.3
2055	2.20.4–7.7	105.790–119.1
2056	2.90.3–8.8	101.787.7–117.2
2057	2.60.7–5.7	105.190.4–121.4
2058	20.5–6.8	105.488.3–122.7
2059	2.40.4–6.5	106.787.8–122.4
2060	2.60.5–6.2	105.592.3–122.3
2061	3.20.6–7.4	109.790.9–122.3
2062	2.40.6–9.1	107.786.7–124.6
2063	4.50.7–12	107.692.2–124.2
2064	3.71.1–11	110.291.7–123.3
2065	3.30.9–9.7	108.295.2–122.1
2066	3.60.6–8.7	105.388.6–121.8
2067	4.61.6–9.6	109.795.4–127.6
2068	3.81.1–10.4	111.395.4–126
2069	3.40.8–7.4	107.594–120.1
2070	4.71.4–9.9	113.395.9–123.2
2071	4.11.2–10	109.495.7–126.5
2072	4.41.4–11.9	112.698.1–127
2073	4.50.7–11.2	11393.2–127.9
2074	4.30.9–9.4	109.592.9–123.7
2075	4.70.9–9.7	111.795.5–125.4
2076	4.51.1–11.7	112.294–126.5
2077	3.81.3–12.8	110.895.6–128
2078	5.41.9–12.1	112100–127.9
2079	6.51.6–13.7	117.9100.2–129.8
2080	6.21.3–14	116.8101.5–128.9
2081	3.91.9–12.2	112.597.1–132
2082	7.21.2–12.6	11596.5–130.3
2083	5.91.6–15.1	115.894.1–131.2
2084	5.92.1–16.4	117.696.5–129.2
2085	5.21.8–15.2	114.695.2–129.1
2086	5.91.6–13.3	114.3100–129.2
2087	5.12–13.6	113.497.9–129.4
2088	71.8–15.6	118.1101–132.7
2089	5.61.8–15.5	117.199–132.8
2090	82.5–14.5	116.4101.5–129.4
2091	6.12.8–13.4	117100.2–135.8
2092	5.81.5–13.5	116100.5–134.1
2093	7.22.2–17	119.9102.9–137.9
2094	82.1–15.7	117.4104.3–133.7
2095	7.42.3–18.6	117100.8–133.2
2096	7.41–16.9	115.1100.9–129.7
2097	7.22.1–16	121.498.4–136.9
2098	8.62.1–15.9	117.397.7–133
2099	5.81.1–14.8	117.9102.9–129.7
2100	7.91.2–19.4	117.998.2–137.3

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Lebanon vs Syria: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

Good to know

Lebanon vs Syria

Health

People

Economy

Education

Politics

Conflict

Military

Climate

Technology and environment