Madagascar vs Nigeria: Population growth

Population growth in 2023: 2.45% a year in Madagascar and 2.1% a year in Nigeria, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in Madagascar, by 0.36 percentage points, or 1.17 times that in Nigeria.

Watch it change on the map

% a year · UN

MadagascarNigeriaUN projection (medium variant)95% prediction intervalWorld

What the numbers say

Madagascar has been higher since 2013, when it overtook Nigeria.
The UN projection (medium variant) puts Madagascar at 0.44% a year and Nigeria at 0.02% a year in 2100.
The world as a whole: 0.87% a year in 2023.

Every year

% a year · UN

Year	Madagascar	Nigeria	World
2023	2.45	2.1	0.87
2022	2.47	2.1	0.88
2021	2.49	2.09	0.8
2020	2.54	2.11	0.9
2019	2.6	2.15	1.03
2018	2.61	2.24	1.07
2017	2.6	2.39	1.13
2016	2.61	2.48	1.17
2015	2.62	2.47	1.18
2014	2.66	2.61	1.22
2013	2.7	2.68	1.23
2012	2.74	2.75	1.27
2011	2.8	2.8	1.26
2010	2.88	2.81	1.27
2009	2.94	2.78	1.28
2008	2.94	2.79	1.28
2007	2.93	2.78	1.28
2006	2.94	2.77	1.28
2005	2.94	2.76	1.27
2004	2.92	2.78	1.28
2003	2.91	2.76	1.29
2002	2.95	2.76	1.3
2001	3.03	2.73	1.33
2000	3.13	2.7	1.35
1999	3.22	2.64	1.35
1998	3.28	2.63	1.37
1997	3.27	2.6	1.39
1996	3.24	2.61	1.42
1995	3.19	2.62	1.45
1994	3.13	2.65	1.47
1993	3.08	2.63	1.52
1992	3.02	2.67	1.57
1991	3	2.58	1.63
1990	2.98	2.71	1.76
1989	2.93	2.7	1.78
1988	2.89	2.68	1.79
1987	2.86	2.66	1.84
1986	2.84	2.67	1.83
1985	2.9	2.77	1.8
1984	2.91	2.9	1.8
1983	2.93	2.22	1.78
1982	2.96	2.98	1.86
1981	2.96	3.01	1.82
1980	3.01	3.15	1.8
1979	3.04	3.1	1.79
1978	3.04	3.07	1.74
1977	3.03	3.05	1.75
1976	3.03	2.91	1.78
1975	3.02	2.83	1.8
1974	3.01	2.71	1.88
1973	2.99	2.54	1.94
1972	2.96	2.45	1.97
1971	2.93	2.34	1.97
1970	2.88	2.33	2.06
1969	2.81	2.23	2.06
1968	2.76	2.21	2.09
1967	2.7	2.11	2
1966	2.65	2.17	2.04
1965	2.61	2.19	2.09
1964	2.59	2.15	2.16
1963	2.58	2.13	2.28
1962	2.59	2.12	2.11
1961	2.6	2.08	1.67
1960	2.62	2.03	1.58
1959	2.62	1.97	1.73
1958	2.6	1.85	2
1957	2.58	1.91	2.07
1956	2.57	1.9	1.98
1955	2.55	1.88	2.01
1954	2.54	1.87	1.99
1953	2.54	1.83	1.9
1952	2.53	1.87	1.94
1951	2.52	1.9	1.75
1950	2.53	1.88	1.74

UN projection (medium variant) · 2024–2100

Year	Madagascar	Nigeria	World
2024	2.421.86–3.01	2.071.49–2.63	0.86
2025	2.381.78–3.01	2.061.38–2.67	0.84
2026	2.341.68–3.01	2.031.31–2.68	0.83
2027	2.31.6–2.99	21.22–2.7	0.81
2028	2.261.53–2.95	1.981.14–2.71	0.8
2029	2.221.47–2.95	1.951.06–2.75	0.78
2030	2.181.43–2.94	1.921–2.78	0.76
2031	2.151.36–2.9	1.890.97–2.76	0.75
2032	2.111.3–2.87	1.860.89–2.79	0.73
2033	2.071.25–2.85	1.830.83–2.78	0.72
2034	2.031.22–2.84	1.790.8–2.79	0.7
2035	21.19–2.79	1.760.76–2.82	0.69
2036	1.971.14–2.75	1.720.72–2.81	0.67
2037	1.941.09–2.71	1.690.67–2.77	0.65
2038	1.911.06–2.7	1.650.63–2.72	0.64
2039	1.881.03–2.68	1.610.63–2.72	0.62
2040	1.850.99–2.68	1.580.63–2.68	0.61
2041	1.820.95–2.64	1.530.55–2.62	0.59
2042	1.790.92–2.65	1.490.55–2.64	0.57
2043	1.760.9–2.64	1.460.51–2.62	0.56
2044	1.730.84–2.67	1.420.46–2.58	0.54
2045	1.70.82–2.65	1.380.4–2.52	0.52
2046	1.680.8–2.66	1.350.38–2.47	0.5
2047	1.650.79–2.66	1.310.35–2.47	0.48
2048	1.620.75–2.66	1.280.31–2.41	0.46
2049	1.590.72–2.67	1.250.3–2.41	0.44
2050	1.570.67–2.64	1.220.24–2.4	0.42
2051	1.540.62–2.64	1.190.18–2.39	0.4
2052	1.510.6–2.59	1.160.18–2.43	0.38
2053	1.480.53–2.57	1.130.17–2.44	0.36
2054	1.450.49–2.56	1.10.11–2.44	0.34
2055	1.430.47–2.55	1.070.09–2.41	0.33
2056	1.40.42–2.54	1.040.02–2.39	0.31
2057	1.370.39–2.52	1.01-0.02–2.4	0.3
2058	1.350.36–2.51	0.99-0.03–2.39	0.28
2059	1.320.32–2.5	0.96-0.06–2.41	0.27
2060	1.30.3–2.49	0.94-0.07–2.39	0.25
2061	1.270.27–2.5	0.91-0.07–2.37	0.24
2062	1.240.25–2.48	0.89-0.12–2.37	0.23
2063	1.220.21–2.5	0.86-0.16–2.35	0.22
2064	1.190.19–2.46	0.84-0.2–2.35	0.21
2065	1.160.13–2.49	0.81-0.23–2.28	0.2
2066	1.140.12–2.45	0.78-0.27–2.29	0.19
2067	1.110.09–2.44	0.76-0.3–2.28	0.18
2068	1.090.07–2.39	0.73-0.31–2.26	0.17
2069	1.060.03–2.38	0.71-0.35–2.25	0.16
2070	1.03-0.01–2.39	0.68-0.39–2.21	0.15
2071	1.01-0.03–2.37	0.65-0.4–2.19	0.14
2072	0.99-0.06–2.39	0.63-0.45–2.14	0.13
2073	0.96-0.12–2.35	0.6-0.44–2.08	0.12
2074	0.94-0.15–2.34	0.57-0.48–2.11	0.1
2075	0.91-0.16–2.33	0.55-0.56–2.08	0.09
2076	0.89-0.2–2.33	0.52-0.65–2.02	0.08
2077	0.87-0.21–2.34	0.5-0.65–2.02	0.07
2078	0.84-0.27–2.28	0.47-0.68–1.94	0.06
2079	0.82-0.32–2.28	0.45-0.71–1.93	0.05
2080	0.8-0.34–2.3	0.42-0.74–1.92	0.04
2081	0.78-0.37–2.26	0.39-0.8–1.88	0.03
2082	0.75-0.42–2.23	0.37-0.84–1.92	0.02
2083	0.74-0.41–2.27	0.35-0.85–1.94	0.01
2084	0.72-0.44–2.27	0.32-0.89–1.92	-0
2085	0.7-0.47–2.25	0.3-0.93–1.93	-0.01
2086	0.68-0.51–2.24	0.28-0.94–1.9	-0.02
2087	0.67-0.56–2.2	0.25-1–1.88	-0.03
2088	0.65-0.59–2.21	0.23-1.06–1.85	-0.04
2089	0.63-0.66–2.18	0.21-1.12–1.84	-0.05
2090	0.61-0.62–2.19	0.19-1.12–1.86	-0.05
2091	0.59-0.66–2.13	0.17-1.16–1.88	-0.06
2092	0.58-0.75–2.15	0.15-1.19–1.82	-0.07
2093	0.56-0.73–2.11	0.13-1.24–1.86	-0.07
2094	0.54-0.78–2.07	0.11-1.29–1.79	-0.08
2095	0.52-0.79–2.06	0.1-1.32–1.82	-0.09
2096	0.51-0.82–2.06	0.09-1.35–1.79	-0.1
2097	0.49-0.83–2.07	0.07-1.35–1.8	-0.11
2098	0.47-0.87–2.05	0.06-1.35–1.8	-0.11
2099	0.45-0.91–2.06	0.04-1.35–1.79	-0.12
2100	0.44-0.94–2.03	0.02-1.36–1.8	-0.13

Each country on its own

Good to know

How fast the population grew or shrank in a year: births minus deaths, plus people moving in minus people moving out.
Source: UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024.
The dashed line is the UN projection (medium variant), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its 95% prediction interval.
Ranks count the 229 countries with a value in 2023, highest first.
The faint line is the world as a whole, as the same source counts it.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Madagascar vs Nigeria: Population growth

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

Good to know

Madagascar vs Nigeria

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