Malawi vs Niger: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 3.7 days in Malawi and 209.1 days in Niger, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Niger, by 205.4 days, or 56 times that in Malawi.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

MalawiNigerCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Niger has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Malawi at 16.3 days and Niger at 242.2 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Malawi	Niger
2014	3.7	209.1
2013	4.3	205.4
2012	3.5	206
2011	3.1	207.1
2010	3.4	205.9
2009	3.2	204.2
2008	3.2	204.4
2007	3.5	201.3
2006	3.1	198.7
2005	3	200.6
2004	3.4	199.3
2003	3.7	201.3
2002	3.5	202.4
2001	3.6	201.1
2000	3.2	197.9
1999	2.7	196.9
1998	3.1	192.7
1997	2.8	197.8
1996	2.7	194.5
1995	2.3	193.7
1994	2.3	193.1
1993	1.7	186.1
1992	2.3	187.1
1991	2.3	195.9
1990	2.5	192.7
1989	2.5	192.9
1988	2.6	190.4
1987	2.4	190.2
1986	2.5	196.3
1985	2	189.1
1984	2.2	189.6
1983	2.5	189.7
1982	2.2	187.5
1981	2.3	190.9
1980	2.4	191.8
1979	2.3	189.1
1978	2.1	186.3
1977	2.4	190.8
1976	2	189.5
1975	2.4	185
1974	2.5	184.8
1973	2.1	192.4
1972	2	189.8
1971	2	186.7
1970	2.3	188.9
1969	2.3	184.3
1968	2	188.6
1967	2	183.6
1966	1.7	185.4
1965	2.4	185.7
1964	1.4	181.4
1963	2	179.4
1962	2.2	189
1961	2.3	186.5
1960	2.5	194.1
1959	2.6	190.2
1958	2.6	186.8
1957	2.2	194
1956	2	188.3
1955	2.3	188.8
1954	2.5	189
1953	1.9	188.3
1952	2.1	188.4
1951	1.9	190.5
1950	2.2	189.6

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Malawi	Niger
2015	4.62.2–8.3	205.1180.6–228.1
2016	4.22.1–8.2	204.2180.2–222.1
2017	4.12.3–7.6	210.9185.3–233.6
2018	4.22.2–7.4	206183.2–227.4
2019	4.32.4–7.7	206.7178.9–231.2
2020	4.82–8.5	207.9183.1–226.7
2021	3.72.1–6.7	209189.8–228
2022	4.82.5–8.6	213190.1–231
2023	5.52.5–9	207186.6–229.1
2024	4.72.7–7.7	216.5197.3–234.6
2025	4.71.4–9.6	214.6195.3–232
2026	4.82.7–9.2	210.3178.5–235.6
2027	62.9–13	216.5188.8–235.6
2028	5.32.7–8.9	217188.5–233.4
2029	5.32.4–10.7	218.1194.8–237.8
2030	5.42.5–13.1	217.1191.5–237
2031	5.53.1–9.9	215195.1–239.7
2032	5.72.9–11	213.2192.1–232
2033	72.9–12.9	217.2196.1–237
2034	6.73.3–13	216.7191–240
2035	6.73.1–13.6	219.7195.8–235.8
2036	5.52.8–11.8	216.2196–236.1
2037	7.13.6–13.7	222.3199.9–240.2
2038	7.34.2–13.7	219.5198.9–243.8
2039	6.33.2–13.5	218.3195.6–242.5
2040	6.33.1–12.1	218.7200.4–240.1
2041	72.9–13.3	222.2200.4–245
2042	6.83.8–12.4	222201.7–244.6
2043	6.53.5–16.7	220.5198.6–236.4
2044	6.92.8–15.2	218.2198.9–241.6
2045	7.13.9–12.2	222202–242
2046	7.83.8–14.2	225.1198–243
2047	8.34–17.8	229.1204.3–245.7
2048	9.14.7–17.3	225.8200.7–247.3
2049	7.33.8–15	222.4197.3–242.8
2050	9.54.7–18.2	224.7203.3–246.8
2051	10.64.5–23.3	224.6203.8–242.1
2052	105–21	229.7204.6–252.7
2053	8.72.4–19.7	225.2204.6–248.6
2054	9.93.7–23.4	229199.7–252.3
2055	10.64.6–20.7	230.7210.5–249.6
2056	10.33.7–22.2	229.8199.3–254.5
2057	10.54.6–21.4	231.1205.6–251.8
2058	11.35.9–20.5	226.7203.5–249.9
2059	11.55.6–21.2	233.3210.7–256
2060	10.84.1–22.7	230.9206.7–251.3
2061	11.34.8–22.1	232.3207.4–256.9
2062	11.35.1–22.7	233211.8–254.7
2063	10.15.2–23.7	228.8206.1–248.5
2064	11.85–20.3	232.3207.9–252.9
2065	12.85.1–26.9	233.4211.8–253.6
2066	126–29.8	236.5212.7–261.5
2067	10.44.9–22.7	229.1206.5–253.3
2068	11.45–23.2	233.9210.6–259.9
2069	13.15.1–24.7	233.2210.6–253.7
2070	12.15.2–23.4	235.8209.1–254.8
2071	13.75–26.6	237.9218.7–258.9
2072	14.36.3–26.1	237.9218–259.8
2073	14.85.2–31	235.1210–259.4
2074	11.45.2–26.8	235.2212.8–261.3
2075	11.65.5–26.2	239.3212.9–259.7
2076	13.35.3–28.2	238.9215.3–262.6
2077	13.56.6–25.7	242218.1–264
2078	13.95–24.9	241.4216.1–262.3
2079	14.37–26.2	235.6213.1–259.6
2080	13.56.3–29.4	238.2215.8–263.6
2081	13.94.7–26.2	240.1217.1–267.5
2082	12.46.4–28.7	238215.5–261.3
2083	14.47.5–27.7	242.5216.2–264
2084	14.76.5–27.6	239.2214.3–261.4
2085	15.77.8–31.7	241.7216.6–264.8
2086	136.6–27.8	240.9220–270.6
2087	13.96.4–30.6	236.9208.4–262.9
2088	17.15.9–35.2	236.9216.5–271.3
2089	15.67–28.8	242.4215.5–267.5
2090	17.34.8–37.7	242.1213.6–262.2
2091	17.95.2–35.8	241.3218.9–266.5
2092	16.76.7–34.9	245217.6–266.3
2093	15.95.8–32.8	242.2219.3–262.9
2094	18.86–34.8	245.1220.3–263.4
2095	16.77.4–29.2	244.1218.8–266.6
2096	16.36.4–31.6	241.9225.1–264.5
2097	145.6–30.8	241.4218–265.6
2098	15.77.8–29.3	240.8215.3–263.5
2099	18.37.2–39.1	247.1221.7–265.4
2100	16.36.6–32.1	242.2221.3–266.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Malawi vs Niger: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

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