Malawi

Days above 35 °C in Malawi

Days above 35 °C in Malawi: 2.2 days in 1950 and 3.7 days in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
3.7 days
Modelled
Since 1950
+1.6 days
Projected, 2100
16.3 days
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

Days above 35 °C in MalawiDays above 35 °C in Malawi: 2.2 days in 1950 and 3.7 days in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 16.3 days in 2100, between 6.6 days and 32.1 days (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 16.3 days in 2100, between 6.6 days and 32.1 days (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 4.3 days in 2013, the lowest 1.4 days in 1964.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

YearMalawi
20143.7
20134.3
20123.5
20113.1
20103.4
20093.2
20083.2
20073.5
20063.1
20053
20043.4
20033.7
20023.5
20013.6
20003.2
19992.7
19983.1
19972.8
19962.7
19952.3
19942.3
19931.7
19922.3
19912.3
19902.5
19892.5
19882.6
19872.4
19862.5
19852
19842.2
19832.5
19822.2
19812.3
19802.4
19792.3
19782.1
19772.4
19762
19752.4
19742.5
19732.1
19722
19712
19702.3
19692.3
19682
19672
19661.7
19652.4
19641.4
19632
19622.2
19612.3
19602.5
19592.6
19582.6
19572.2
19562
19552.3
19542.5
19531.9
19522.1
19511.9
19502.2
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearMalawi
20154.62.2–8.3
20164.22.1–8.2
20174.12.3–7.6
20184.22.2–7.4
20194.32.4–7.7
20204.82–8.5
20213.72.1–6.7
20224.82.5–8.6
20235.52.5–9
20244.72.7–7.7
20254.71.4–9.6
20264.82.7–9.2
202762.9–13
20285.32.7–8.9
20295.32.4–10.7
20305.42.5–13.1
20315.53.1–9.9
20325.72.9–11
203372.9–12.9
20346.73.3–13
20356.73.1–13.6
20365.52.8–11.8
20377.13.6–13.7
20387.34.2–13.7
20396.33.2–13.5
20406.33.1–12.1
204172.9–13.3
20426.83.8–12.4
20436.53.5–16.7
20446.92.8–15.2
20457.13.9–12.2
20467.83.8–14.2
20478.34–17.8
20489.14.7–17.3
20497.33.8–15
20509.54.7–18.2
205110.64.5–23.3
2052105–21
20538.72.4–19.7
20549.93.7–23.4
205510.64.6–20.7
205610.33.7–22.2
205710.54.6–21.4
205811.35.9–20.5
205911.55.6–21.2
206010.84.1–22.7
206111.34.8–22.1
206211.35.1–22.7
206310.15.2–23.7
206411.85–20.3
206512.85.1–26.9
2066126–29.8
206710.44.9–22.7
206811.45–23.2
206913.15.1–24.7
207012.15.2–23.4
207113.75–26.6
207214.36.3–26.1
207314.85.2–31
207411.45.2–26.8
207511.65.5–26.2
207613.35.3–28.2
207713.56.6–25.7
207813.95–24.9
207914.37–26.2
208013.56.3–29.4
208113.94.7–26.2
208212.46.4–28.7
208314.47.5–27.7
208414.76.5–27.6
208515.77.8–31.7
2086136.6–27.8
208713.96.4–30.6
208817.15.9–35.2
208915.67–28.8
209017.34.8–37.7
209117.95.2–35.8
209216.76.7–34.9
209315.95.8–32.8
209418.86–34.8
209516.77.4–29.2
209616.36.4–31.6
2097145.6–30.8
209815.77.8–29.3
209918.37.2–39.1
210016.36.6–32.1

Good to know

  • Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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