Malawi

Tropical nights in Malawi

Tropical nights in Malawi: 112.8 nights in 1950 and 138.1 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
138.1 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+25.3 nights
Projected, 2100
213.3 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in MalawiTropical nights in Malawi: 112.8 nights in 1950 and 138.1 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 213.3 nights in 2100, between 181.5 nights and 246.3 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 213.3 nights in 2100, between 181.5 nights and 246.3 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 138.9 nights in 2013, the lowest 106.3 nights in 1964.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearMalawi
2014138.1
2013138.9
2012137.4
2011136.6
2010132.4
2009131.4
2008130.8
2007132.8
2006129.8
2005129.5
2004133.4
2003132.5
2002130.3
2001134
2000126.6
1999124.8
1998127.1
1997124.2
1996121.3
1995120.9
1994118.4
1993113.8
1992114.1
1991120.9
1990123.8
1989120.5
1988120.8
1987118.8
1986121.1
1985115.7
1984116.2
1983115.5
1982115.1
1981119
1980116.9
1979117.7
1978114.8
1977117.2
1976114
1975114
1974115.2
1973114.7
1972113.8
1971114.1
1970115.8
1969114.3
1968110
1967109.8
1966111
1965111.5
1964106.3
1963107.5
1962114.7
1961116
1960117.4
1959115.6
1958116.4
1957114.6
1956111.4
1955115.2
1954113.9
1953113
1952113.5
1951113.5
1950112.8
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearMalawi
2015145.7126.7–164.3
2016139.8122.6–157.4
2017143.6127–161.8
2018143.1124.6–162.6
2019143.8128.3–161.4
2020145127.3–165.8
2021145.3128–163.6
2022151130.1–169.1
2023149.2129.5–171.2
2024152.4130–172.6
2025151.1129.7–170.4
2026151.1126.2–173.8
2027154.4135.1–173.1
2028155.5134.6–174
2029159.8139.2–178.5
2030155.6138.7–174.5
2031161.1143.4–177.6
2032160.8141.3–181.3
2033161.3135.6–179.2
2034160.9138.9–185
2035164.3140.4–189.5
2036163.8137.6–182.5
2037166.9144.6–189.2
2038172.2148.4–191.2
2039164.8147.3–188.2
2040164.4146.4–189.7
2041169.3143.7–192.5
2042169.8146.3–197.8
2043167.5147.1–193.2
2044172.6148.3–197
2045170.4153.1–194.7
2046176.3151.2–203.1
2047178.7157.8–200.9
2048180.7158.9–204.1
2049176.7154–205.4
2050180.4155.2–204.9
2051182.9162.1–207.4
2052184.9163.2–209.6
2053177.2149.6–207.4
2054185.1157.1–208
2055186.1159.2–212.6
2056184.6158.5–214.3
2057184.7159.3–212.3
2058188.5163.8–214.7
2059189.8166.9–218.5
2060192.6163.4–218.1
2061186.4158.8–216.8
2062192.3163.9–218.6
2063189.2165.2–220.3
2064197161.3–218
2065193.1165.8–225.2
2066201170.1–224.7
2067193.1164.2–223.7
2068198.6163.7–227.1
2069199.4165.8–225
2070198.7168–226.7
2071199.3167.9–233.5
2072202.3173.2–226.2
2073205.4168.2–233.4
2074198.2175.4–227.7
2075199.6168.9–228.3
2076198.8169.8–225.2
2077202172.2–231.2
2078203.5175.8–232.1
2079203.6172.2–236.1
2080204.7172.2–234.3
2081202.2174.9–231.3
2082204.3178.3–228.6
2083205.8170.7–238.3
2084208.1175.9–235.6
2085211.1179.4–241
2086203.3175.4–237
2087205.3181.2–237.7
2088211.6174.7–240.6
2089208.9180.5–237.8
2090209.4173.4–243
2091214.3179.7–244.8
2092213.2176.8–242.3
2093212.5177.8–242.2
2094211.8179.7–241.5
2095216.9185–243.8
2096213.1182–247.6
2097210.8174.9–242.1
2098214.4181.5–242.2
2099213.5181.9–244.1
2100213.3181.5–246.3

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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