Malawi vs Uganda

Malawi vs Uganda: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 22.2 °C in Malawi and 23.8 °C in Uganda, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Uganda, by 1.6 °C, or 1.07 times that in Malawi.

°C · ERA5

Malawi vs Uganda: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 22.2 °C in Malawi and 23.8 °C in Uganda, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Uganda, by 1.6 °C, or 1.07 times that in Malawi.
MalawiUgandaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Uganda has been higher since 1963, when it overtook Malawi.
  • In 2025, Malawi ranked 130 and Uganda ranked 114 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Malawi at 24.8 °C and Uganda at 25.4 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearMalawiMalawi: CMIP6 historical run, model medianUgandaUganda: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202522.222.923.823.7
202422.82324.223.9
202322.722.92423.6
20222222.923.523.6
202122.322.723.623.6
202022.522.823.123.7
201922.422.823.523.5
201822.322.723.223.6
201722.422.823.723.6
201622.722.624.123.4
201522.622.823.623.6
201422.322.623.423.4
201322.222.62323.3
201222.122.62323.4
201122.222.522.923.4
201022.322.423.123.3
200921.922.323.523.2
200821.622.422.823.2
200721.922.52323.1
200621.922.32323.2
200522.422.323.523.2
200421.622.423.223.2
200321.922.423.223.2
20022222.423.123.2
20012222.422.623.2
200021.622.222.923.1
199921.622.122.623.1
199822.322.223.323
199721.922.123.123
19962222.122.723
199522.4222322.9
19942221.922.722.8
19932221.722.922.7
199222.421.822.722.8
199121.82222.522.9
199022.122.122.623
198921.52222.423
198821.922.122.622.9
198722.321.92322.9
198621.32222.323
198521.221.822.122.8
198421.621.822.422.8
198322.421.922.822.8
198221.521.822.422.8
198121.421.922.522.9
198021.521.922.722.9
197921.621.922.522.8
197821.521.722.122.7
197721.921.922.122.8
197621.221.82222.8
197521.421.821.922.8
197421.121.92222.8
197321.721.822.422.8
197221.421.821.922.8
197121.221.821.722.7
197021.721.92222.7
196921.821.822.322.7
196821.421.721.722.7
196721.421.621.822.6
196621.721.722.122.6
196520.921.82222.6
196421.321.621.622.5
196321.321.521.422.6
196221.521.821.222.7
196121.421.821.922.7
196021.421.922.122.8
195921.521.922.322.8
195821.721.922.522.7
195721.421.822.222.8
195621.221.721.422.8
19552121.821.422.7
195421.521.821.422.8
195321.121.821.122.7
195221.621.821.522.7
19512221.721.322.8
19502121.721.122.7
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearMalawiMalawi: CMIP6 historical run, model medianUgandaUganda: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–22.922.2–23.6–23.723.1–24.3
2027–23.122.5–23.6–23.723.3–24.2
2028–23.122.5–23.6–23.823.2–24.2
2029–23.322.5–23.7–23.923.4–24.3
2030–23.122.6–23.6–23.823.3–24.4
2031–23.222.9–23.7–2423.6–24.4
2032–23.222.6–23.9–23.923.6–24.4
2033–23.322.7–23.8–2423.4–24.7
2034–23.322.6–24.1–2423.6–24.7
2035–23.422.7–24–2423.5–24.5
2036–23.322.5–23.8–2423.6–24.6
2037–23.422.8–24.1–24.123.6–24.7
2038–23.623.1–24.1–24.223.6–24.7
2039–23.422.8–24.1–24.223.5–24.6
2040–23.322.9–24–24.223.6–24.7
2041–23.422.7–24.1–24.223.8–24.7
2042–23.522.8–24.2–24.323.7–24.8
2043–23.522.8–24.3–24.223.5–24.7
2044–23.522.9–24.4–24.223.6–24.7
2045–23.423–24.2–24.323.8–24.9
2046–23.822.8–24.4–24.523.6–25.2
2047–23.823–24.6–24.423.9–25.1
2048–23.823.3–24.5–24.523.9–25.1
2049–23.723.1–24.5–24.523.8–25.2
2050–23.923.3–24.5–24.423.8–25.3
2051–23.923.3–24.8–24.523.9–25.1
2052–23.923.4–24.7–24.523.9–25.1
2053–23.822.8–24.5–24.623.9–25.1
2054–2423.1–24.9–24.624–25.2
2055–2423.2–24.9–24.623.9–25.3
2056–2423.2–24.9–24.523.9–25.5
2057–23.923.2–24.7–24.624.1–25.5
2058–24.123.4–24.8–24.923.9–25.4
2059–2423.5–25–24.824.1–25.5
2060–24.223.1–24.8–24.823.9–25.6
2061–23.923.3–25–24.824–25.7
2062–24.123.4–25.2–24.724–25.8
2063–24.123.2–25–24.724.1–25.3
2064–24.223.2–24.9–24.924–25.5
2065–24.123.4–25.4–24.824.3–25.6
2066–24.423.5–25.2–24.724.2–25.6
2067–24.123.2–25.2–24.724.1–25.7
2068–24.323.4–25.3–24.924.2–25.7
2069–24.423.4–25.1–24.824.1–25.8
2070–24.323.3–25.3–24.924.2–25.8
2071–24.423.4–25.5–24.924.2–25.9
2072–24.523.7–25.2–2524.3–25.8
2073–24.523.4–25.6–25.124.5–26
2074–24.323.6–25.3–24.924.2–25.8
2075–24.323.6–25.3–24.924.1–25.9
2076–24.323.3–25.2–25.124.3–26
2077–24.523.6–25.5–25.124.4–26
2078–24.523.5–25.4–2524.4–25.9
2079–24.523.7–25.4–25.224.3–25.8
2080–24.623.7–25.4–25.224.2–26.1
2081–24.423.6–25.4–25.124.4–26
2082–24.523.7–25.2–25.124.4–26.1
2083–24.523.5–25.5–25.224.4–26.4
2084–24.523.7–25.5–25.224.5–26.2
2085–24.723.6–25.6–25.324.4–26.1
2086–24.323.7–25.6–25.224.4–26.2
2087–24.523.7–25.5–25.324.4–26.2
2088–24.823.5–25.7–25.224.5–26.2
2089–24.823.8–25.5–25.124.6–26.1
2090–24.823.5–25.8–25.224.5–26.4
2091–24.923.7–25.9–25.524.4–26.4
2092–24.823.6–25.8–25.324.6–26.4
2093–24.823.6–25.7–25.324.7–26.2
2094–24.923.6–25.8–25.424.6–26.4
2095–24.923.9–25.7–25.424.7–26.6
2096–24.723.8–25.9–25.324.5–26.4
2097–24.623.7–25.8–25.324.5–26.3
2098–24.823.8–25.8–25.224.6–26.4
2099–2523.7–25.9–25.424.5–26.5
2100–24.823.7–25.8–25.424.5–26.5

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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