Mexico vs United States

Mexico vs United States: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 21.7 °C in Mexico and 10.5 °C in United States, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Mexico, by 11.2 °C, or 2.06 times that in United States.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

Mexico vs United States: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 21.7 °C in Mexico and 10.5 °C in United States, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Mexico, by 11.2 °C, or 2.06 times that in United States.
MexicoUnited StatesCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Mexico has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Mexico ranked 134 and United States ranked 197 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Mexico at 23.7 °C and United States at 13.3 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearMexicoMexico: CMIP6 historical run, model medianUnited StatesUnited States: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202521.72210.511.2
20242221.910.811
202321.721.910.511
20222121.91011.2
202121.321.910.311.1
202021.621.910.310.9
201921.421.91010.9
201821.121.810.210.9
201721.421.710.510.7
201621.221.610.910.7
201521.121.610.510.7
20142121.49.610.8
201320.821.59.310.5
201221.221.410.410.5
201121.321.49.610.5
201020.521.49.610.6
200921.221.49.210.4
200820.721.3910.3
200720.721.21010.3
20062121.21010.3
20052121.39.910.4
200420.421.39.610.3
200320.921.29.710.3
200220.821.29.710.2
200120.721.29.610.2
200020.821.29.510.1
199920.721.19.410.1
199821219.99.9
199720.421.199.9
199620.820.98.79.8
19952120.99.49.7
19942120.89.49.6
199320.520.78.99.4
199220.120.699.3
199120.220.99.59.7
199020.4219.69.8
198920.420.98.99.6
198820.220.99.39.6
198719.820.99.69.7
198620.120.89.59.5
19852020.78.69.5
198419.920.68.79.3
19832020.58.99.2
198220.520.68.59.5
198120.120.89.79.5
198020.520.79.19.4
197920.120.88.69.6
197820.120.78.79.4
197720.220.79.29.4
197619.420.78.69.2
197519.820.68.49.4
197419.920.68.89.3
197319.620.68.99.2
197220.220.68.39.2
197119.920.68.49.4
197019.920.68.69.4
196920.220.68.79.2
196819.620.68.49
19672020.68.89.2
196619.520.68.49.3
196519.820.58.59
196419.720.48.48.9
19632020.699.2
196220.220.68.89.3
196119.820.78.59.4
196019.820.78.69.4
195919.720.78.89.4
195819.920.78.99.5
195720.420.79.19.4
195619.920.78.69.6
195519.920.68.59.4
195420.320.69.39.4
195320.120.69.59.4
195219.920.58.99.3
195120.320.78.49.6
195020.320.68.69.4
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearMexicoMexico: CMIP6 historical run, model medianUnited StatesUnited States: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–2221.4–22.6–11.110–12.3
2027–2221.4–22.7–11.310–12.7
2028–22.121.5–22.7–11.210.1–12.5
2029–22.121.6–22.7–11.410.2–12.5
2030–22.221.4–22.7–11.410.2–12.5
2031–22.121.5–22.8–11.410.1–12.6
2032–22.221.5–22.7–11.310.2–12.5
2033–22.321.6–22.9–11.410.4–12.6
2034–22.221.7–22.9–11.510.5–12.6
2035–22.221.5–22.9–11.610.2–12.7
2036–22.321.8–22.8–11.610.5–12.8
2037–22.421.5–23–11.510.3–12.8
2038–22.421.7–23.1–11.810.5–12.9
2039–22.521.8–23.2–11.810.6–12.9
2040–22.521.9–23.1–11.810.7–12.8
2041–22.521.7–23.1–11.810.6–13
2042–22.621.9–23.2–11.810.6–13.1
2043–22.622–23.2–11.910.6–13.1
2044–22.521.9–23.1–1210.7–13.2
2045–22.621.9–23.3–1210.9–13.4
2046–22.622–23.3–12.110.7–13.4
2047–22.722.1–23.5–1210.7–13.5
2048–22.722.1–23.4–1210.8–13.4
2049–22.822.1–23.5–12.211–13.4
2050–22.822.1–23.5–12.210.9–13.6
2051–22.922.2–23.5–12.211–13.4
2052–22.822.1–23.5–12.110.8–13.5
2053–22.922.1–23.7–12.210.9–13.5
2054–2322.2–23.6–12.211–13.5
2055–2322.2–23.7–12.310.8–13.6
2056–22.922.2–23.7–12.410.9–13.7
2057–2322.1–23.7–12.410.9–13.8
2058–22.922.2–23.6–12.511.3–13.7
2059–22.922.3–23.7–12.511.2–13.6
2060–2322.3–23.7–12.311.2–13.8
2061–2322.4–23.7–12.611.3–13.9
2062–2322.1–23.9–12.511.1–14
2063–23.122.4–23.9–12.611.3–14
2064–23.122.5–23.9–12.411.1–13.7
2065–23.222.3–23.9–12.511.2–14
2066–23.222.4–23.9–12.711.3–13.9
2067–23.222.5–24–12.611.5–14.1
2068–23.222.4–24–12.811.3–14.1
2069–23.222.3–24–12.711.2–14.1
2070–23.322.4–24.1–12.811.4–14.4
2071–23.422.5–24.2–12.711.2–14.2
2072–23.422.5–24.1–12.811.5–14.2
2073–23.422.4–24.2–12.911.2–14.5
2074–23.322.6–24.1–12.811.5–14.4
2075–23.422.4–24.1–12.811.1–14.4
2076–23.322.4–24.3–12.811.5–14.4
2077–23.422.4–24.1–12.911.5–14.4
2078–23.522.6–24.3–1311.6–14.4
2079–23.522.6–24.4–1311.6–14.4
2080–23.522.6–24.5–1311.7–14.5
2081–23.522.7–24.3–12.911.6–14.4
2082–23.522.6–24.3–13.111.7–14.6
2083–23.522.5–24.5–1311.5–14.6
2084–23.522.7–24.5–1311.6–14.7
2085–23.522.7–24.3–13.111.7–14.6
2086–23.522.6–24.4–13.211.8–14.6
2087–23.522.6–24.4–13.311.9–14.8
2088–23.622.7–24.3–13.111.6–14.5
2089–23.622.6–24.5–13.111.6–14.7
2090–23.622.6–24.5–13.311.7–14.7
2091–23.722.7–24.6–13.311.9–14.8
2092–23.622.7–24.4–13.211.6–14.7
2093–23.622.7–24.6–13.311.8–14.9
2094–23.722.9–24.6–13.311.9–14.8
2095–23.823–24.6–13.512–14.9
2096–23.722.8–24.6–13.411.9–15
2097–23.622.7–24.7–13.311.7–15.2
2098–23.822.9–24.6–13.311.8–14.9
2099–23.722.7–24.6–13.311.9–14.8
2100–23.722.8–24.5–13.311.9–15.1

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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