Namibia vs South Africa: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 25.9 days in Namibia and 13.2 days in South Africa, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Namibia, by 12.8 days, or 1.97 times that in South Africa.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

NamibiaSouth AfricaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Namibia has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Namibia at 86.2 days and South Africa at 40 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Namibia	South Africa
2014	25.9	13.2
2013	27.6	15.2
2012	28.1	14.3
2011	23.8	11.7
2010	25.1	12.5
2009	25.1	13.2
2008	21.8	12.3
2007	23	12
2006	21.7	11.9
2005	23.7	13.3
2004	27	13.9
2003	24.6	12.6
2002	23.6	12.6
2001	22	11.1
2000	21.9	11.8
1999	19.8	11
1998	21.9	12.1
1997	19.2	11.3
1996	16	9.4
1995	15.9	8.3
1994	15.3	8.5
1993	13.3	7.8
1992	12	7.1
1991	18.9	11.1
1990	18.9	10.1
1989	19.2	11.5
1988	15.5	9.4
1987	18.6	11.5
1986	18	10.2
1985	15	8.7
1984	14.4	8.7
1983	14	8.6
1982	17	10.5
1981	15.9	9.7
1980	16.3	10.3
1979	14	9.4
1978	14	9.5
1977	13.5	9.3
1976	13.7	9
1975	15.2	9.3
1974	14	8.8
1973	16.2	9.5
1972	13.8	8.4
1971	13.8	8.7
1970	13	8.2
1969	15.2	8.9
1968	12.2	8.4
1967	11	6.9
1966	13	7.8
1965	12.2	7.9
1964	10.2	6.4
1963	9.5	7
1962	14.9	8.9
1961	15.5	10.5
1960	15.2	9.7
1959	15.1	8.9
1958	14.3	9.3
1957	16.8	10.3
1956	11.9	7.9
1955	15.4	10.3
1954	13.8	9.1
1953	12.3	7.8
1952	14.4	9
1951	13.6	8.4
1950	13.2	8.7

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Namibia	South Africa
2015	31.413.4–51.2	14.76.8–24
2016	26.913.5–45.6	13.46.3–22.2
2017	28.512.8–50	15.27.7–24.6
2018	3417.2–52.4	179.7–28
2019	29.911.5–48.3	14.67.1–24.5
2020	34.715.7–51	15.77.4–23.5
2021	36.120.4–55.1	17.99.4–27
2022	37.121.6–58.5	189.8–29
2023	42.323.3–60.4	18.69.9–27.1
2024	36.619.7–53.9	17.89.8–28
2025	36.216.1–64.5	16.57.5–29.6
2026	45.321.4–64.4	20.19.3–29.4
2027	43.525.4–63.5	19.910.5–32.8
2028	43.423.6–63.3	19.110.6–33.2
2029	46.929.8–70.8	21.412.9–33.6
2030	44.222.6–65.2	21.19.6–33.9
2031	4622.5–71.6	20.79.9–35.4
2032	47.727.5–70	2110.9–34.8
2033	50.829.4–74	22.612.2–34.2
2034	51.130.6–79.6	24.615–35.1
2035	45.822.9–67.5	20.911.7–31.3
2036	44.423.7–70.2	21.111.9–32.2
2037	49.829.9–75.8	23.412.6–35.2
2038	52.434.8–77.7	26.216–36.7
2039	46.522–76.8	22.611.4–35.9
2040	4924–73.4	21.510.9–35.4
2041	53.231.8–77.8	23.213.2–35.8
2042	53.734.2–86.8	25.214.3–39.6
2043	52.529.3–77.5	25.613.4–39.9
2044	55.525.3–83.8	26.113.1–41.6
2045	53.630.1–80	26.813.1–40.3
2046	58.335.7–90.7	25.914.5–40.8
2047	60.234–85.3	26.713.7–41.4
2048	62.536.6–93.5	29.215.6–45.4
2049	62.641.2–89.9	29.117.3–44.7
2050	63.838.7–98.5	29.815.7–48.6
2051	57.733.8–94.4	27.913.6–45.2
2052	65.537.9–104	31.918.3–46.8
2053	63.444.4–94.2	28.318.6–43.2
2054	68.538.7–110	30.717.3–50.1
2055	64.842.6–100.9	2917.8–48
2056	63.839.8–93.4	29.916–45.3
2057	72.443.6–105.2	3117.4–50.1
2058	66.337.2–96.8	31.115.7–46
2059	75.139–109.8	3216.1–49.9
2060	68.946.3–107.5	33.419.8–49.7
2061	74.337.7–107.4	32.718.1–51.1
2062	70.642.1–111.7	31.317.7–52.6
2063	67.338.8–108.7	32.317.4–50.7
2064	72.844.8–100.3	31.817.7–47.6
2065	73.741–114.7	31.716.2–50.7
2066	74.446–115.3	34.318.4–55.3
2067	70.841.5–103.8	32.617.2–52.4
2068	73.847.8–101.2	33.819.2–54.3
2069	72.647.6–103.3	34.621.3–52.4
2070	69.839.6–114.2	32.819.3–51.1
2071	77.349.9–119	35.320.8–55.8
2072	8050.9–109.2	37.820.3–54.6
2073	88.458.6–121.7	4425.6–62.1
2074	77.246.3–127.7	38.320.7–55.8
2075	70.440–105.6	34.218.7–53.1
2076	84.948.6–118.5	38.822.9–57.5
2077	8055.7–112.2	39.124.2–60.3
2078	77.850.7–113	35.521.6–53.4
2079	88.147.4–122.5	40.522.9–59.7
2080	84.954–114	40.523.4–59
2081	84.455–120.8	38.523.8–59.9
2082	84.255.6–121.2	38.622.5–58.2
2083	79.641.3–119.5	38.518.7–62.9
2084	84.550.9–117.5	39.720.6–58.4
2085	90.447.1–129.4	4021.5–65.8
2086	85.352.1–136.8	40.823–63.7
2087	82.755.6–119.4	38.324.6–58.6
2088	84.747.8–132.4	42.222.6–66.3
2089	87.560.6–117.8	41.624.2–59.1
2090	85.662.8–128.2	42.326.1–66.4
2091	90.853.5–137.7	43.324.2–63.6
2092	89.361.1–127.8	43.928–61.6
2093	81.855.5–123.1	37.521.3–63.4
2094	86.860.4–126.5	41.325.4–65.9
2095	94.454–129.8	43.522.9–70.2
2096	88.657.1–127.8	41.224.1–66.8
2097	80.954.6–124.3	37.723.7–60.9
2098	91.352.5–140	46.425.1–71.4
2099	87.755.8–141.5	42.525.1–64.8
2100	86.252.1–122.8	4022.2–64.5

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Namibia vs South Africa: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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Namibia vs South Africa

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