Nigeria vs Sudan

Nigeria vs Sudan: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 107.4 days in Nigeria and 184 days in Sudan, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Sudan, by 76.6 days, or 1.71 times that in Nigeria.

days a year · CMIP6

Nigeria vs Sudan: Days above 35 °CDays above 35 °C in 2014: 107.4 days in Nigeria and 184 days in Sudan, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Sudan, by 76.6 days, or 1.71 times that in Nigeria.
NigeriaSudanCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Sudan has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Nigeria at 163.6 days and Sudan at 230.7 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

YearNigeriaSudan
2014107.4184
2013104.3179.8
2012104.4180.9
2011103.7183.5
2010101.1181.3
200999.4175.7
200898.6173.9
200797.4171.9
200697.9171.2
200597.2169.5
200499.2171.6
200398.2172.7
200298.3173.6
2001102.2177.8
200096.3170.3
199992.3170.7
199891.6166
199795.2169.3
199689.5165.5
199590.2165.1
199486.1162.2
199383.5154.5
199281.3154.3
199194.2165.3
199095166.6
198989.3164.1
198893.4164.2
198790.4163.3
198693.2166.1
198587159.7
198489.5158
198388.5157
198289.6155.1
198191.9162.1
198089.5161.1
197989.8160.4
197888155.5
197788.4157.9
197683.6157.3
197587.3153.9
197484.9155.3
197388.3161.4
197287.1156.2
197184.5153.4
197087.3156.8
196987.1153.8
196884.9154.6
196784.8148.4
196685.7153
196585.7154.2
196477.7148.7
196381.7146.1
196289.3155.9
196191.6158.5
196091.4161.3
195988.3158.4
195889.9156.7
195791.2159.4
195684.6157.7
195588.4154.7
195488.8158.7
195391.7156.3
195287.9156.1
195192.1158.9
195088.9155.1
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearNigeriaSudan
2015105.581.2–130.1183.4158.5–201.6
2016101.478.2–120.6179.1156.3–200.8
201710680.5–130.9184.1159.3–204.4
2018105.177.2–129178.9156–204.1
2019104.378.3–130.3181.9158.3–204.8
2020104.778.2–130.2182.3159.2–205.5
2021104.885.2–128.6183.1159.4–206.8
2022111.184.4–135.5187.9165.4–207.6
2023106.585.6–130.6185.3162.7–207.9
2024114.493.3–136.4192.2168–211.3
2025112.191.1–132188.6166.8–209.3
2026108.574.8–133.8188.5157.9–211.8
2027114.581.7–136.4189.2157–211.6
2028113.487.6–141.8189.6162.9–211.3
2029116.591.5–141190.4166.6–209.3
2030117.785.5–145.3191.6170.8–214.6
2031116.388.2–141.7192.2167.3–218
2032118.785.8–144.2191.2169.9–210.3
2033118.490.6–146195.3172.4–216.8
2034117.689–144.4197.1168.8–222.4
203512087.5–144.3196.4168.7–221.2
2036116.889.2–143.5191.3171.4–213.6
2037124.790.9–151.6198173.5–220.2
2038126.696.2–152.6200.4179.8–221.2
2039122.697–147.4199.5171.5–218.6
2040121.193.5–153.7196.3172.7–217.9
2041127.599.5–154.2202.2174.1–221.8
204212896.1–152.5201.6175.8–224.1
2043124.298.9–149.7198.7169.7–224.3
2044125.496.3–152.8198.3173.4–222.2
2045129.499.4–156.4203.4179.1–224.6
2046135.999.9–158.5210.2177.8–229.9
2047135.299–159.5206.2180.9–228.4
2048133.1103.7–160.3204.6180–231.3
2049135.4104.4–161.8204.3178.2–227.3
2050131.3102–166.4205.3180.8–234.5
2051131.6106.2–166.5206.2186–229.8
2052139.6101.6–171.1209182–231.9
2053135.1105–166.8208.7181.2–230.7
2054139102.4–172.2211180.1–231.4
2055140113.8–172.2212.3184–233.5
2056141.8102.8–177.8208.5182.4–235.7
2057148.8113.3–178.3213.2186.4–240.1
2058140112–171.9213.4183–233.4
2059142.3114.3–176.6214.6189.2–242.4
2060144.3110.6–176.5213.7189.1–241.7
2061145109.2–180.3214.5186.1–239.4
2062146111.1–181.8214.4187–241.2
2063147.1114.5–182.6212.5181.1–235.9
2064146.4112.8–179.9214.9189.9–242.2
2065149.2116.8–179217.2195.4–238.5
2066148.8117.8–185.3217.1190.9–246.3
2067142.6114.9–185.1216.5188.1–243.9
2068152.4114.1–187.8216.7193.9–247.6
2069148.2114.1–185.4216.1187.6–243.2
2070151.6111–187.8219.4189.5–241.3
2071155.2117.6–192.8224.1190.5–247.8
2072155.2118.4–190.6222.3196.2–245.1
2073154.8115.7–196.8221.8196.1–246.8
2074151.6114.2–195.8218.1183.5–249
2075158.4117.9–190.2221.9188.6–243.6
2076154.5120–193.1222.4196.4–250.8
2077164121.3–203.7225.8194.6–252.8
2078158.9117–196.9224.1196.8–250.7
2079157.6123.7–192.5220.7194.1–245.3
2080161.3118.7–197.4225.9191.3–250
2081158.9119.1–200.5225.1197.7–250.3
2082156.9118.5–201.5222.6195.3–249.8
2083160.4121.6–203.2228.1199.6–251.9
2084157.7118.3–198.5224.5194.9–252.9
2085165.1122.6–201.9226.3199.3–251.5
2086160.4122–201.3225.2193.1–258.3
2087164.1121.4–199.1222.9190.2–250.1
2088162.3124.7–205.8220.4194.2–256.8
2089157.8122.5–206.2227195.7–249.8
2090163124.3–204.5229198.7–254.5
2091167.5124.5–204.5227196.4–254.1
2092173.2125.1–206.7227.2200.5–253.1
2093166.1126.9–212.1227.5203–252.1
2094167.8130.5–205.1231.9201.3–256
2095173.9123–212.7228.4202.1–255
2096164.5127.5–213226.4198.4–255.9
2097161.2123.5–206.8225.9196.5–255.7
2098167.8128.2–206.2227.8194.4–253.4
2099171129.1–212.5229.5200.7–257.4
2100163.6126.1–210.4230.7199.7–256.7

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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