Nigeria vs Zambia: Fertility rate

Fertility rate in 2023: 4.48 births per woman in Nigeria and 4.1 births per woman in Zambia, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in Nigeria, by 0.38 births per woman, or 1.09 times that in Zambia.

NigeriaZambia

Watch it change on the map

births per woman · UN

All years Since 1990 Since 2010

Values Change

Linear Log

World Projection

NigeriaZambiaWorld

Latest figures

births per woman · UN

Country	Latest	10 years before	Rank in 2023	Projected
Nigeria	4.48 2023	5.69	15 of 229	1.91 2100
Zambia	4.1 2023	5.01	24 of 229	2.08 2100
World	2.25 2023	2.57		1.84 2100

What the numbers say

Nigeria has been higher since 1992, when it overtook Zambia.
In 2023, Nigeria ranked 15 and Zambia ranked 24 of 229 countries, counting from the highest.
The UN projection (medium variant) puts Nigeria at 1.91 births per woman and Zambia at 2.08 births per woman in 2100.
The world as a whole: 2.25 births per woman in 2023.

Every year

births per woman · UN

Year	Nigeria	Zambia	World
2023	4.48	4.1	2.25
2022	4.55	4.18	2.27
2021	4.64	4.25	2.29
2020	4.7	4.32	2.32
2019	4.86	4.42	2.4
2018	5.02	4.49	2.44
2017	5.18	4.57	2.5
2016	5.34	4.67	2.54
2015	5.5	4.78	2.54
2014	5.62	4.89	2.56
2013	5.69	5.01	2.57
2012	5.8	5.14	2.61
2011	5.89	5.26	2.59
2010	5.95	5.36	2.6
2009	5.99	5.45	2.62
2008	6.02	5.53	2.63
2007	6.03	5.61	2.62
2006	6.05	5.68	2.63
2005	6.06	5.7	2.63
2004	6.09	5.7	2.65
2003	6.1	5.71	2.66
2002	6.12	5.77	2.68
2001	6.13	5.85	2.71
2000	6.12	5.92	2.75
1999	6.08	6	2.75
1998	6.07	6.07	2.78
1997	6.14	6.12	2.81
1996	6.22	6.18	2.85
1995	6.27	6.23	2.89
1994	6.32	6.26	2.93
1993	6.35	6.3	2.98
1992	6.39	6.35	3.04
1991	6.43	6.46	3.13
1990	6.46	6.57	3.31
1989	6.49	6.64	3.35
1988	6.5	6.7	3.39
1987	6.5	6.8	3.48
1986	6.56	6.87	3.5
1985	6.62	6.93	3.51
1984	6.7	6.97	3.55
1983	6.78	7.01	3.58
1982	6.8	7.04	3.71
1981	6.82	7.07	3.71
1980	6.85	7.14	3.74
1979	6.89	7.22	3.77
1978	6.92	7.29	3.79
1977	6.86	7.35	3.85
1976	6.81	7.39	3.97
1975	6.77	7.42	4.08
1974	6.7	7.36	4.26
1973	6.63	7.34	4.42
1972	6.58	7.3	4.55
1971	6.53	7.26	4.68
1970	6.47	7.22	4.83
1969	6.44	7.18	4.87
1968	6.42	7.18	4.96
1967	6.4	7.15	4.85
1966	6.39	7.14	4.96
1965	6.37	7.12	5.07
1964	6.36	7.09	5.12
1963	6.35	7.06	5.31
1962	6.36	7.01	5.02
1961	6.35	6.98	4.57
1960	6.36	6.95	4.7
1959	6.38	6.9	4.74
1958	6.39	6.86	4.93
1957	6.4	6.83	5.07
1956	6.41	6.81	4.93
1955	6.4	6.8	5
1954	6.4	6.8	5
1953	6.4	6.79	4.92
1952	6.39	6.77	5
1951	6.42	6.77	4.82
1950	6.42	6.78	4.85

UN projection (medium variant) · 2024–2100

Year	Nigeria	Zambia	World
2024	4.383.58–5.11	4.042.98–4.95	2.25
2025	4.33.43–5.1	3.972.86–4.92	2.24
2026	4.213.22–5.06	3.912.73–4.91	2.23
2027	4.13.07–5.06	3.852.62–4.87	2.22
2028	4.012.9–5.04	3.772.48–4.87	2.21
2029	3.922.73–5.01	3.722.4–4.83	2.2
2030	3.822.59–5	3.672.31–4.85	2.2
2031	3.732.47–4.99	3.612.24–4.85	2.19
2032	3.652.32–4.97	3.562.18–4.83	2.18
2033	3.562.25–4.97	3.52.09–4.83	2.17
2034	3.482.15–4.89	3.452.07–4.8	2.16
2035	3.412.08–4.89	3.42.03–4.78	2.15
2036	3.342.03–4.83	3.351.97–4.73	2.15
2037	3.271.95–4.77	3.31.92–4.69	2.14
2038	3.211.9–4.75	3.251.85–4.7	2.13
2039	3.161.87–4.72	3.191.81–4.68	2.13
2040	3.11.81–4.69	3.151.8–4.67	2.13
2041	3.041.76–4.68	3.111.77–4.65	2.12
2042	2.991.73–4.65	3.071.73–4.65	2.12
2043	2.941.7–4.62	3.031.68–4.68	2.12
2044	2.891.65–4.62	31.67–4.62	2.12
2045	2.851.61–4.53	2.961.64–4.62	2.12
2046	2.81.61–4.5	2.931.6–4.59	2.11
2047	2.761.59–4.44	2.91.59–4.56	2.11
2048	2.731.58–4.43	2.871.57–4.53	2.11
2049	2.691.55–4.38	2.841.56–4.51	2.1
2050	2.661.54–4.36	2.811.52–4.54	2.1
2051	2.631.53–4.32	2.791.47–4.49	2.09
2052	2.61.51–4.28	2.761.46–4.48	2.09
2053	2.571.49–4.26	2.741.44–4.47	2.08
2054	2.541.46–4.21	2.721.44–4.41	2.07
2055	2.511.44–4.13	2.691.44–4.42	2.07
2056	2.491.42–4.14	2.671.44–4.37	2.06
2057	2.461.38–4.12	2.651.43–4.35	2.05
2058	2.441.38–4.11	2.631.43–4.32	2.04
2059	2.411.35–4.08	2.611.41–4.3	2.04
2060	2.391.36–4.05	2.591.41–4.27	2.03
2061	2.371.35–4.05	2.571.41–4.25	2.02
2062	2.351.34–4.04	2.551.4–4.24	2.02
2063	2.321.31–3.99	2.531.36–4.19	2.01
2064	2.31.31–3.99	2.511.37–4.13	2
2065	2.281.3–3.97	2.491.34–4.11	2
2066	2.261.3–3.97	2.471.33–4.08	1.99
2067	2.251.29–3.88	2.461.32–4.13	1.98
2068	2.231.26–3.83	2.441.32–4.12	1.98
2069	2.221.26–3.82	2.431.31–4.12	1.97
2070	2.21.24–3.79	2.411.3–4.12	1.97
2071	2.191.22–3.83	2.41.29–4.08	1.96
2072	2.171.23–3.76	2.381.29–4.06	1.96
2073	2.161.23–3.71	2.371.29–4.04	1.95
2074	2.151.23–3.7	2.351.29–4.01	1.95
2075	2.131.22–3.7	2.341.29–3.99	1.94
2076	2.121.22–3.64	2.331.27–3.99	1.94
2077	2.111.21–3.66	2.321.28–3.99	1.94
2078	2.11.19–3.6	2.31.27–4.01	1.93
2079	2.091.2–3.61	2.291.25–3.97	1.93
2080	2.071.18–3.58	2.281.26–3.89	1.92
2081	2.061.16–3.56	2.271.26–3.99	1.92
2082	2.051.16–3.51	2.261.23–3.98	1.91
2083	2.041.15–3.54	2.251.22–3.93	1.91
2084	2.031.15–3.54	2.241.22–3.91	1.91
2085	2.021.15–3.49	2.231.22–3.89	1.9
2086	2.021.15–3.48	2.221.23–3.83	1.9
2087	2.011.13–3.48	2.21.22–3.82	1.89
2088	21.12–3.5	2.191.24–3.83	1.89
2089	1.991.12–3.48	2.181.23–3.82	1.88
2090	1.981.11–3.46	2.171.21–3.8	1.88
2091	1.971.11–3.41	2.161.22–3.82	1.88
2092	1.961.11–3.36	2.161.23–3.81	1.87
2093	1.961.11–3.39	2.151.2–3.86	1.87
2094	1.951.08–3.39	2.141.2–3.79	1.86
2095	1.951.09–3.37	2.131.18–3.79	1.86
2096	1.941.08–3.36	2.121.18–3.79	1.85
2097	1.931.08–3.38	2.111.19–3.78	1.85
2098	1.931.07–3.36	2.11.14–3.77	1.85
2099	1.921.09–3.36	2.091.17–3.76	1.84
2100	1.911.08–3.36	2.081.15–3.78	1.84

Each country on its own

Good to know

The children a woman would have over her life at the year’s birth rates for each age.
Source: UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024.
The dashed line is the UN projection (medium variant), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its 95% prediction interval.
Ranks count the 229 countries with a value in 2023, highest first.
The faint line is the world as a whole, as the same source counts it.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time