Nigeria vs Zambia

Nigeria vs Zambia: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 107.4 days in Nigeria and 9.7 days in Zambia, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Nigeria, by 97.7 days, or 11 times that in Zambia.

Nigeria vs Zambia: Days above 35 °CDays above 35 °C in 2014: 107.4 days in Nigeria and 9.7 days in Zambia, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Nigeria, by 97.7 days, or 11 times that in Zambia.
NigeriaZambia

Latest figures

days a year · CMIP6

CountryLatest10 years beforeProjected
Nigeria107.4 201499.2163.6 2100
Zambia9.7 201410.245 2100

What the numbers say

  • Nigeria has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Nigeria at 163.6 days and Zambia at 45 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

YearNigeriaZambia
2014107.49.7
2013104.310.6
2012104.49.9
2011103.78.8
2010101.19.9
200999.48.5
200898.68.4
200797.48.2
200697.97.6
200597.28.2
200499.210.2
200398.28.8
200298.38.8
2001102.29.5
200096.39
199992.37.6
199891.67.8
199795.26.6
199689.55.6
199590.26.2
199486.15.8
199383.54.1
199281.34.7
199194.24.9
1990956
198989.36.2
198893.46.4
198790.46.5
198693.26.3
1985874.9
198489.55.1
198388.55
198289.64.8
198191.95.8
198089.55.6
197989.85.3
1978885
197788.45.4
197683.64.1
197587.34.8
197484.95.7
197388.35.7
197287.14.1
197184.54.7
197087.35.1
196987.15.1
196884.94.6
196784.84.1
196685.73.7
196585.74.8
196477.73.4
196381.73.4
196289.35
196191.65.3
196091.45.2
195988.35.5
195889.95.2
195791.25.4
195684.64.2
195588.45.4
195488.85.2
195391.74.8
195287.95.8
195192.14.2
195088.95.3
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearNigeriaZambia
2015105.581.2–130.112.45.1–21
2016101.478.2–120.6114.9–19.9
201710680.5–130.9115.1–18.3
2018105.177.2–12911.44.9–21.2
2019104.378.3–130.312.16.3–19.3
2020104.778.2–130.214.37.2–23.4
2021104.885.2–128.612.65.9–22.1
2022111.184.4–135.515.37–23.7
2023106.585.6–130.617.510.3–26.3
2024114.493.3–136.415.88.7–24.8
2025112.191.1–13214.76.5–26.2
2026108.574.8–133.8169.1–25.4
2027114.581.7–136.417.78.9–29.2
2028113.487.6–141.816.28.1–27.4
2029116.591.5–14118.69.5–28.9
2030117.785.5–145.317.310–31.1
2031116.388.2–141.716.97.7–30.4
2032118.785.8–144.216.78.3–28.7
2033118.490.6–146209.5–32.1
2034117.689–144.422.69.4–38.5
203512087.5–144.319.310.1–35.5
2036116.889.2–143.518.88.7–32.8
2037124.790.9–151.620.79.8–34.6
2038126.696.2–152.620.311.6–36.7
2039122.697–147.419.310.6–32
2040121.193.5–153.718.89.3–34.6
2041127.599.5–154.222.310.6–36.6
204212896.1–152.522.113.1–34.8
2043124.298.9–149.7239.6–38.3
2044125.496.3–152.821.910.3–36.4
2045129.499.4–156.422.310.5–35.5
2046135.999.9–158.525.912.8–39.6
2047135.299–159.524.314.1–39.3
2048133.1103.7–160.326.414.1–40.8
2049135.4104.4–161.825.212.7–41
2050131.3102–166.429.514.9–44
2051131.6106.2–166.529.715.7–46.8
2052139.6101.6–171.129.116.4–47.8
2053135.1105–166.827.713.4–42.1
2054139102.4–172.231.514–51.7
2055140113.8–172.231.314.6–46.2
2056141.8102.8–177.828.914–46.4
2057148.8113.3–178.328.414.3–50.5
2058140112–171.93014–47.4
2059142.3114.3–176.634.319–50.7
2060144.3110.6–176.532.614.6–53.4
2061145109.2–180.333.215.2–53.9
2062146111.1–181.831.917–51.6
2063147.1114.5–182.630.715.7–50
2064146.4112.8–179.932.716.6–49.6
2065149.2116.8–17934.217–58.2
2066148.8117.8–185.334.715.5–56.6
2067142.6114.9–185.130.417.4–53.3
2068152.4114.1–187.832.117.6–49.7
2069148.2114.1–185.435.916.2–53.5
2070151.6111–187.834.719.7–57
2071155.2117.6–192.83618.1–56.3
2072155.2118.4–190.634.920–53.3
2073154.8115.7–196.84121.4–63.3
2074151.6114.2–195.834.820.5–59.6
2075158.4117.9–190.233.117.4–55.1
2076154.5120–193.136.317.9–62.2
2077164121.3–203.73720.5–59.7
2078158.9117–196.938.819.7–59.6
2079157.6123.7–192.539.420.8–63.6
2080161.3118.7–197.43820.3–64.5
2081158.9119.1–200.536.921–63.8
2082156.9118.5–201.536.522.8–61.1
2083160.4121.6–203.240.819.1–63.3
2084157.7118.3–198.541.121–60.8
2085165.1122.6–201.944.827.6–70.2
2086160.4122–201.336.821.5–66
2087164.1121.4–199.14321.7–67.6
2088162.3124.7–205.844.521.8–68.5
2089157.8122.5–206.245.726.7–62.3
2090163124.3–204.54423.3–67.1
2091167.5124.5–204.541.922.7–72.7
2092173.2125.1–206.744.824.2–68.9
2093166.1126.9–212.141.921.7–68.5
2094167.8130.5–205.146.826–69.9
2095173.9123–212.74425.8–65.7
2096164.5127.5–2134221.1–67.9
2097161.2123.5–206.840.420–65.5
2098167.8128.2–206.242.823.4–67.6
2099171129.1–212.544.621.7–77
2100163.6126.1–210.44523.4–66

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time