Days above 35 °C in Zambia

Days above 35 °C in Zambia: 5.3 days in 1950 and 9.7 days in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014: 9.7 days; Modelled
Since 1950: +4.4 days
Projected, 2100: 45 days; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 45 days in 2100, between 23.4 days and 66 days (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 10.6 days in 2013, the lowest 3.4 days in 1964.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Zambia
2014	9.7
2013	10.6
2012	9.9
2011	8.8
2010	9.9
2009	8.5
2008	8.4
2007	8.2
2006	7.6
2005	8.2
2004	10.2
2003	8.8
2002	8.8
2001	9.5
2000	9
1999	7.6
1998	7.8
1997	6.6
1996	5.6
1995	6.2
1994	5.8
1993	4.1
1992	4.7
1991	4.9
1990	6
1989	6.2
1988	6.4
1987	6.5
1986	6.3
1985	4.9
1984	5.1
1983	5
1982	4.8
1981	5.8
1980	5.6
1979	5.3
1978	5
1977	5.4
1976	4.1
1975	4.8
1974	5.7
1973	5.7
1972	4.1
1971	4.7
1970	5.1
1969	5.1
1968	4.6
1967	4.1
1966	3.7
1965	4.8
1964	3.4
1963	3.4
1962	5
1961	5.3
1960	5.2
1959	5.5
1958	5.2
1957	5.4
1956	4.2
1955	5.4
1954	5.2
1953	4.8
1952	5.8
1951	4.2
1950	5.3

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Zambia
2015	12.45.1–21
2016	114.9–19.9
2017	115.1–18.3
2018	11.44.9–21.2
2019	12.16.3–19.3
2020	14.37.2–23.4
2021	12.65.9–22.1
2022	15.37–23.7
2023	17.510.3–26.3
2024	15.88.7–24.8
2025	14.76.5–26.2
2026	169.1–25.4
2027	17.78.9–29.2
2028	16.28.1–27.4
2029	18.69.5–28.9
2030	17.310–31.1
2031	16.97.7–30.4
2032	16.78.3–28.7
2033	209.5–32.1
2034	22.69.4–38.5
2035	19.310.1–35.5
2036	18.88.7–32.8
2037	20.79.8–34.6
2038	20.311.6–36.7
2039	19.310.6–32
2040	18.89.3–34.6
2041	22.310.6–36.6
2042	22.113.1–34.8
2043	239.6–38.3
2044	21.910.3–36.4
2045	22.310.5–35.5
2046	25.912.8–39.6
2047	24.314.1–39.3
2048	26.414.1–40.8
2049	25.212.7–41
2050	29.514.9–44
2051	29.715.7–46.8
2052	29.116.4–47.8
2053	27.713.4–42.1
2054	31.514–51.7
2055	31.314.6–46.2
2056	28.914–46.4
2057	28.414.3–50.5
2058	3014–47.4
2059	34.319–50.7
2060	32.614.6–53.4
2061	33.215.2–53.9
2062	31.917–51.6
2063	30.715.7–50
2064	32.716.6–49.6
2065	34.217–58.2
2066	34.715.5–56.6
2067	30.417.4–53.3
2068	32.117.6–49.7
2069	35.916.2–53.5
2070	34.719.7–57
2071	3618.1–56.3
2072	34.920–53.3
2073	4121.4–63.3
2074	34.820.5–59.6
2075	33.117.4–55.1
2076	36.317.9–62.2
2077	3720.5–59.7
2078	38.819.7–59.6
2079	39.420.8–63.6
2080	3820.3–64.5
2081	36.921–63.8
2082	36.522.8–61.1
2083	40.819.1–63.3
2084	41.121–60.8
2085	44.827.6–70.2
2086	36.821.5–66
2087	4321.7–67.6
2088	44.521.8–68.5
2089	45.726.7–62.3
2090	4423.3–67.1
2091	41.922.7–72.7
2092	44.824.2–68.9
2093	41.921.7–68.5
2094	46.826–69.9
2095	4425.8–65.7
2096	4221.1–67.9
2097	40.420–65.5
2098	42.823.4–67.6
2099	44.621.7–77
2100	4523.4–66

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Days above 35 °C in Zambia

What the numbers say

Every year

Good to know

Zambia in numbers

Health

People

Economy

Education

Politics

Conflict

Military

Climate

Technology and environment