Temperature in Zambia

Temperature in Zambia: 20.9 °C in 1950 and 22 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations.

Latest, 2025: 22 °C
Since 1950: +1.1 °C
Rank, 2025: 131 of 233; counting from the highest
Projected, 2100: 25 °C; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

°C · ERA5

Observed, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 25 °C in 2100, between 23.9 °C and 26.1 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 22.8 °C in 2024, the lowest 20.7 °C in 1976.

Every year

°C · ERA5

Year	Observed, ERA5	CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025	22	23
2024	22.8	23.1
2023	22.7	23.1
2022	21.9	23
2021	22.1	22.9
2020	22.2	22.9
2019	22.6	22.8
2018	22.3	22.8
2017	22	22.8
2016	22.5	22.6
2015	22.4	22.8
2014	22.3	22.6
2013	22.2	22.6
2012	21.9	22.6
2011	21.7	22.5
2010	22.1	22.4
2009	21.6	22.4
2008	21.6	22.5
2007	21.9	22.4
2006	21.7	22.3
2005	22.6	22.4
2004	21.6	22.5
2003	22	22.4
2002	22.1	22.4
2001	21.7	22.5
2000	21.7	22.3
1999	21.7	22.2
1998	22.4	22.4
1997	21.9	22.2
1996	22.1	22.1
1995	22.5	22.1
1994	21.9	22
1993	21.7	21.8
1992	22.2	21.7
1991	21.6	22.1
1990	21.9	22.2
1989	21.5	22.1
1988	21.8	22.1
1987	22.4	22
1986	21.1	22
1985	21.2	21.8
1984	21.6	21.9
1983	22.3	21.9
1982	21.5	21.9
1981	21.3	22
1980	21.4	21.9
1979	21	21.9
1978	21.1	21.8
1977	21.6	21.9
1976	20.7	21.8
1975	21.1	21.8
1974	20.7	21.9
1973	21.6	21.9
1972	21.2	21.8
1971	21.1	21.8
1970	21.5	21.9
1969	21.3	21.8
1968	21.4	21.7
1967	21.3	21.6
1966	21.7	21.6
1965	21.2	21.7
1964	21.3	21.5
1963	21.2	21.5
1962	21.3	21.9
1961	21	21.8
1960	21.1	21.9
1959	21.2	21.9
1958	21.1	21.9
1957	21.1	21.9
1956	20.8	21.7
1955	20.9	21.9
1954	22.1	21.8
1953	20.9	21.7
1952	21.7	21.8
1951	22	21.8
1950	20.9	21.8

12.3Projected

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100

Year	Observed, ERA5	CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026	–	23.122.4–23.7
2027	–	23.222.6–23.8
2028	–	23.222.6–23.7
2029	–	23.422.6–23.8
2030	–	23.222.7–23.7
2031	–	23.322.8–23.9
2032	–	23.322.7–24
2033	–	23.322.8–24
2034	–	23.322.6–24.5
2035	–	23.522.8–24.1
2036	–	23.422.6–24
2037	–	23.622.8–24.3
2038	–	23.623–24.2
2039	–	23.422.8–24.3
2040	–	23.322.9–24.1
2041	–	23.622.9–24.4
2042	–	23.722.9–24.4
2043	–	23.622.9–24.3
2044	–	23.623–24.4
2045	–	23.522.9–24.4
2046	–	23.923.1–24.6
2047	–	23.923.1–24.7
2048	–	23.923.1–24.7
2049	–	23.923–24.7
2050	–	2423.3–24.8
2051	–	2423.4–24.8
2052	–	24.223.2–25
2053	–	2423.1–24.7
2054	–	24.123.2–25.1
2055	–	24.123.3–25
2056	–	24.123.3–25.2
2057	–	2423.4–25.1
2058	–	24.323.4–25
2059	–	24.323.5–25.3
2060	–	24.323.2–25.2
2061	–	24.123.3–25.4
2062	–	24.323.4–25.3
2063	–	24.423.4–25.1
2064	–	24.323.3–25
2065	–	24.123.5–25.6
2066	–	24.423.6–25.4
2067	–	24.223.3–25.4
2068	–	24.423.6–25.4
2069	–	24.423.6–25.3
2070	–	24.423.6–25.5
2071	–	24.523.6–25.7
2072	–	24.623.7–25.4
2073	–	24.623.7–25.9
2074	–	24.523.7–25.5
2075	–	24.423.6–25.6
2076	–	24.423.6–25.6
2077	–	24.723.7–25.6
2078	–	24.723.7–25.6
2079	–	24.623.8–25.7
2080	–	24.723.7–25.7
2081	–	24.623.7–25.8
2082	–	24.723.8–25.5
2083	–	24.523.6–25.8
2084	–	24.823.8–25.7
2085	–	2523.9–25.9
2086	–	24.523.8–25.9
2087	–	24.823.9–25.8
2088	–	2523.9–25.8
2089	–	2524.1–25.8
2090	–	24.923.9–26
2091	–	2523.8–26.1
2092	–	25.123.8–25.9
2093	–	24.923.7–26
2094	–	25.123.9–26
2095	–	25.124.1–26.1
2096	–	24.824–26.1
2097	–	24.723.9–25.9
2098	–	2523.8–26.1
2099	–	25.123.9–26.3
2100	–	2523.9–26.1

Good to know

The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Temperature in Zambia

What the numbers say

Every year

Good to know

Zambia in numbers

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