South Africa vs Zambia

South Africa vs Zambia: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 18.3 °C in South Africa and 22 °C in Zambia, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Zambia, by 3.7 °C, or 1.2 times that in South Africa.

°C · ERA5

South Africa vs Zambia: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 18.3 °C in South Africa and 22 °C in Zambia, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Zambia, by 3.7 °C, or 1.2 times that in South Africa.
South AfricaZambiaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Zambia has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, South Africa ranked 155 and Zambia ranked 131 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts South Africa at 20.7 °C and Zambia at 25 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearSouth AfricaSouth Africa: CMIP6 historical run, model medianZambiaZambia: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202518.318.82223
202418.91922.823.1
202318.218.822.723.1
202218.118.921.923
202117.818.822.122.9
202018.218.722.222.9
201919.118.722.622.8
201818.318.722.322.8
201718.218.72222.8
201618.818.522.522.6
201518.818.622.422.8
201417.918.622.322.6
201317.818.722.222.6
201217.718.621.922.6
201117.318.321.722.5
201018.218.422.122.4
200917.718.421.622.4
200817.918.321.622.5
200717.818.221.922.4
200617.418.421.722.3
200518.118.422.622.4
20041818.421.622.5
200318.118.32222.4
200217.718.322.122.4
200117.618.221.722.5
200017.218.321.722.3
199918.318.121.722.2
199817.818.122.422.4
199717.218.121.922.2
199616.81822.122.1
199517.517.922.522.1
199417.417.921.922
19931817.721.721.8
19921817.522.221.7
199117.518.221.622.1
199017.518.121.922.2
198917.217.921.522.1
198817.418.121.822.1
198717.91822.422
198617.817.921.122
198517.917.821.221.8
198417.817.821.621.9
19831817.722.321.9
198217.517.921.521.9
198116.917.921.322
198017.51821.421.9
197917.417.82121.9
197817.117.821.121.8
197717.317.921.621.9
197616.517.820.721.8
197516.717.721.121.8
197416.717.820.721.9
197317.217.821.621.9
197217.417.621.221.8
19711717.721.121.8
197017.517.721.521.9
196917.417.721.321.8
196816.617.721.421.7
19671717.621.321.6
196617.617.721.721.6
196517.217.521.221.7
19641717.321.321.5
196317.217.321.221.5
196217.617.821.321.9
196117.217.92121.8
196017.217.721.121.9
195917.217.721.221.9
195817.417.821.121.9
195717.217.921.121.9
195616.917.620.821.7
195516.417.920.921.9
195416.717.722.121.8
195317.817.620.921.7
195217.517.921.721.8
195117.417.72221.8
195017.417.720.921.8
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearSouth AfricaSouth Africa: CMIP6 historical run, model medianZambiaZambia: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–1918.2–19.9–23.122.4–23.7
2027–1918.3–19.8–23.222.6–23.8
2028–1918.2–19.6–23.222.6–23.7
2029–19.218.6–19.9–23.422.6–23.8
2030–19.218.4–19.9–23.222.7–23.7
2031–19.218.4–20.1–23.322.8–23.9
2032–19.218.5–19.9–23.322.7–24
2033–19.218.4–19.9–23.322.8–24
2034–19.218.6–20–23.322.6–24.5
2035–19.118.3–19.8–23.522.8–24.1
2036–19.218.5–19.8–23.422.6–24
2037–19.418.7–20.2–23.622.8–24.3
2038–19.518.8–20.2–23.623–24.2
2039–19.418.5–20.1–23.422.8–24.3
2040–19.418.7–20.2–23.322.9–24.1
2041–19.518.7–20.2–23.622.9–24.4
2042–19.718.7–20.4–23.722.9–24.4
2043–19.718.8–20.4–23.622.9–24.3
2044–19.518.7–20.6–23.623–24.4
2045–19.518.7–20.4–23.522.9–24.4
2046–19.819–20.6–23.923.1–24.6
2047–19.918.9–20.6–23.923.1–24.7
2048–19.919–20.6–23.923.1–24.7
2049–19.919.1–20.8–23.923–24.7
2050–19.819–20.8–2423.3–24.8
2051–19.919–20.7–2423.4–24.8
2052–2019–20.9–24.223.2–25
2053–19.919.1–20.7–2423.1–24.7
2054–2019–21–24.123.2–25.1
2055–2019.1–21–24.123.3–25
2056–2018.9–20.9–24.123.3–25.2
2057–20.118.9–21.3–2423.4–25.1
2058–2019.1–20.8–24.323.4–25
2059–20.219.1–20.9–24.323.5–25.3
2060–20.219.3–21.1–24.323.2–25.2
2061–20.219.3–21.1–24.123.3–25.4
2062–2019–21.1–24.323.4–25.3
2063–20.119.2–21.3–24.423.4–25.1
2064–20.119.3–21–24.323.3–25
2065–20.119.1–21.2–24.123.5–25.6
2066–20.319.3–21.4–24.423.6–25.4
2067–20.119–21.1–24.223.3–25.4
2068–20.319.2–21.2–24.423.6–25.4
2069–20.319.3–21.2–24.423.6–25.3
2070–20.219.4–21.3–24.423.6–25.5
2071–20.419.5–21.6–24.523.6–25.7
2072–20.419.5–21.3–24.623.7–25.4
2073–20.719.8–21.5–24.623.7–25.9
2074–20.419.4–21.5–24.523.7–25.5
2075–20.419.4–21.4–24.423.6–25.6
2076–20.519.5–21.4–24.423.6–25.6
2077–20.619.6–21.7–24.723.7–25.6
2078–20.419.5–21.6–24.723.7–25.6
2079–20.619.4–21.6–24.623.8–25.7
2080–20.719.6–21.7–24.723.7–25.7
2081–20.519.6–21.6–24.623.7–25.8
2082–20.619.6–21.5–24.723.8–25.5
2083–20.719.6–21.6–24.523.6–25.8
2084–20.719.4–21.6–24.823.8–25.7
2085–20.719.6–22–2523.9–25.9
2086–20.619.8–22–24.523.8–25.9
2087–20.519.7–21.7–24.823.9–25.8
2088–20.819.7–21.9–2523.9–25.8
2089–20.719.7–21.6–2524.1–25.8
2090–20.819.6–21.9–24.923.9–26
2091–20.819.7–21.9–2523.8–26.1
2092–20.919.9–21.9–25.123.8–25.9
2093–20.619.6–21.8–24.923.7–26
2094–20.619.8–22–25.123.9–26
2095–2119.6–22.3–25.124.1–26.1
2096–20.819.7–22.1–24.824–26.1
2097–20.619.5–21.9–24.723.9–25.9
2098–20.919.8–22.3–2523.8–26.1
2099–20.819.7–22–25.123.9–26.3
2100–20.719.6–21.9–2523.9–26.1

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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