Uganda vs Zambia: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 5.6 days in Uganda and 9.7 days in Zambia, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Zambia, by 4.1 days, or 1.73 times that in Uganda.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

UgandaZambiaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Zambia has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Uganda at 18.5 days and Zambia at 45 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Uganda	Zambia
2014	5.6	9.7
2013	4.8	10.6
2012	6	9.9
2011	5.4	8.8
2010	5	9.9
2009	4	8.5
2008	4.7	8.4
2007	3.8	8.2
2006	4.4	7.6
2005	4.5	8.2
2004	4	10.2
2003	4.4	8.8
2002	4.6	8.8
2001	4.9	9.5
2000	3.2	9
1999	4.1	7.6
1998	4.2	7.8
1997	3.3	6.6
1996	3.5	5.6
1995	2.9	6.2
1994	3.1	5.8
1993	2.4	4.1
1992	2.4	4.7
1991	4.1	4.9
1990	3	6
1989	3.5	6.2
1988	3.2	6.4
1987	3.4	6.5
1986	4.1	6.3
1985	2.6	4.9
1984	3.1	5.1
1983	2.7	5
1982	2.7	4.8
1981	3.3	5.8
1980	3.4	5.6
1979	2.8	5.3
1978	2.7	5
1977	3.3	5.4
1976	2.5	4.1
1975	2.6	4.8
1974	2.8	5.7
1973	2.4	5.7
1972	2.3	4.1
1971	2.1	4.7
1970	2.3	5.1
1969	2.9	5.1
1968	2	4.6
1967	2.3	4.1
1966	1.9	3.7
1965	2	4.8
1964	1.4	3.4
1963	2.5	3.4
1962	3	5
1961	2	5.3
1960	2.6	5.2
1959	3.1	5.5
1958	2	5.2
1957	2.6	5.4
1956	2.3	4.2
1955	2.5	5.4
1954	3.6	5.2
1953	2.7	4.8
1952	2.9	5.8
1951	2.7	4.2
1950	2.2	5.3

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Uganda	Zambia
2015	6.61.3–12	12.45.1–21
2016	4.41–9.3	114.9–19.9
2017	5.40.8–10.2	115.1–18.3
2018	5.71.5–11.1	11.44.9–21.2
2019	5.31.6–11.9	12.16.3–19.3
2020	6.81.5–12.9	14.37.2–23.4
2021	6.31.5–11.7	12.65.9–22.1
2022	6.11.6–11.4	15.37–23.7
2023	4.61.4–12	17.510.3–26.3
2024	6.32.4–13.1	15.88.7–24.8
2025	73.2–12.9	14.76.5–26.2
2026	7.31.3–14.4	169.1–25.4
2027	6.81.9–15.8	17.78.9–29.2
2028	5.51.7–12.9	16.28.1–27.4
2029	8.21.9–15.7	18.69.5–28.9
2030	7.11.6–13.6	17.310–31.1
2031	7.13.3–15.1	16.97.7–30.4
2032	7.12.8–14.6	16.78.3–28.7
2033	6.63.2–16.4	209.5–32.1
2034	7.32.8–14.2	22.69.4–38.5
2035	8.72.7–15.4	19.310.1–35.5
2036	5.72.3–14.8	18.88.7–32.8
2037	7.12.7–14.4	20.79.8–34.6
2038	8.73.4–16.6	20.311.6–36.7
2039	7.83.6–15.1	19.310.6–32
2040	7.52.5–14.3	18.89.3–34.6
2041	9.73.3–18	22.310.6–36.6
2042	103.9–19	22.113.1–34.8
2043	82–14.5	239.6–38.3
2044	92.2–17.1	21.910.3–36.4
2045	9.13.4–16.5	22.310.5–35.5
2046	11.93.3–21.6	25.912.8–39.6
2047	11.13.9–21.9	24.314.1–39.3
2048	10.64.5–18.3	26.414.1–40.8
2049	10.84–20.3	25.212.7–41
2050	9.53.3–20.9	29.514.9–44
2051	11.95.2–20.9	29.715.7–46.8
2052	10.53.7–19	29.116.4–47.8
2053	10.63.3–20.4	27.713.4–42.1
2054	10.92.6–18.3	31.514–51.7
2055	11.12.9–24.4	31.314.6–46.2
2056	10.93.4–23.9	28.914–46.4
2057	11.74.3–27.7	28.414.3–50.5
2058	14.24.5–23.3	3014–47.4
2059	143.7–24.9	34.319–50.7
2060	113.7–28	32.614.6–53.4
2061	13.44–26.4	33.215.2–53.9
2062	13.44.1–27.1	31.917–51.6
2063	12.55.1–20.6	30.715.7–50
2064	12.55.1–26.5	32.716.6–49.6
2065	14.25–29	34.217–58.2
2066	11.65.1–23.2	34.715.5–56.6
2067	12.93.9–25.4	30.417.4–53.3
2068	13.14.8–26	32.117.6–49.7
2069	12.34.3–24.3	35.916.2–53.5
2070	12.95.2–28.3	34.719.7–57
2071	14.15.2–25.8	3618.1–56.3
2072	14.84.9–24.5	34.920–53.3
2073	13.84.7–28.6	4121.4–63.3
2074	12.95.9–24.6	34.820.5–59.6
2075	12.95–26.8	33.117.4–55.1
2076	16.94.9–31	36.317.9–62.2
2077	16.36.2–34.2	3720.5–59.7
2078	13.75.9–28.7	38.819.7–59.6
2079	15.76.9–26.1	39.420.8–63.6
2080	15.15–30.5	3820.3–64.5
2081	17.16.1–33.7	36.921–63.8
2082	15.45.2–28.9	36.522.8–61.1
2083	17.16.8–34.4	40.819.1–63.3
2084	155.1–32.8	41.121–60.8
2085	16.85.3–32.7	44.827.6–70.2
2086	14.96.8–33.3	36.821.5–66
2087	16.95.4–30.1	4321.7–67.6
2088	17.75.3–30.3	44.521.8–68.5
2089	15.75.4–28.1	45.726.7–62.3
2090	17.45.4–34	4423.3–67.1
2091	18.57.4–36.8	41.922.7–72.7
2092	17.26.3–36.5	44.824.2–68.9
2093	17.78.1–33.5	41.921.7–68.5
2094	19.87.7–35.2	46.826–69.9
2095	19.66.7–37	4425.8–65.7
2096	165.4–31.5	4221.1–67.9
2097	19.47–36.7	40.420–65.5
2098	17.76.9–35.6	42.823.4–67.6
2099	18.29.3–40.9	44.621.7–77
2100	18.55.8–34.9	4523.4–66

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Uganda vs Zambia: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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