Tanzania vs Zambia: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 1.7 days in Tanzania and 9.7 days in Zambia, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Zambia, by 8 days, or 5.76 times that in Tanzania.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

TanzaniaZambiaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Zambia has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Tanzania at 16.1 days and Zambia at 45 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Tanzania	Zambia
2014	1.7	9.7
2013	1.7	10.6
2012	1.6	9.9
2011	1.9	8.8
2010	1.6	9.9
2009	1.4	8.5
2008	1.3	8.4
2007	1.6	8.2
2006	1.3	7.6
2005	1.3	8.2
2004	1.4	10.2
2003	1.4	8.8
2002	1.5	8.8
2001	1.7	9.5
2000	1.1	9
1999	1.1	7.6
1998	1.4	7.8
1997	1.2	6.6
1996	1.1	5.6
1995	0.9	6.2
1994	0.8	5.8
1993	0.7	4.1
1992	0.8	4.7
1991	0.9	4.9
1990	0.9	6
1989	1	6.2
1988	1.1	6.4
1987	1	6.5
1986	1.1	6.3
1985	0.9	4.9
1984	0.8	5.1
1983	0.8	5
1982	0.9	4.8
1981	0.8	5.8
1980	0.8	5.6
1979	1	5.3
1978	0.6	5
1977	0.7	5.4
1976	0.5	4.1
1975	0.7	4.8
1974	0.8	5.7
1973	0.6	5.7
1972	0.6	4.1
1971	0.7	4.7
1970	0.8	5.1
1969	0.7	5.1
1968	0.6	4.6
1967	0.6	4.1
1966	0.6	3.7
1965	0.6	4.8
1964	0.5	3.4
1963	0.6	3.4
1962	0.9	5
1961	0.9	5.3
1960	1	5.2
1959	0.8	5.5
1958	0.8	5.2
1957	0.6	5.4
1956	0.6	4.2
1955	0.7	5.4
1954	0.7	5.2
1953	0.7	4.8
1952	0.6	5.8
1951	0.6	4.2
1950	0.7	5.3

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Tanzania	Zambia
2015	2.50.8–5.7	12.45.1–21
2016	1.90.6–5.5	114.9–19.9
2017	2.30.5–6	115.1–18.3
2018	2.50.8–5.9	11.44.9–21.2
2019	2.50.8–6.2	12.16.3–19.3
2020	3.21.3–7.5	14.37.2–23.4
2021	3.10.8–8	12.65.9–22.1
2022	2.80.8–9	15.37–23.7
2023	3.51.1–8.4	17.510.3–26.3
2024	3.81.2–7.9	15.88.7–24.8
2025	3.31–8.2	14.76.5–26.2
2026	3.20.8–9.3	169.1–25.4
2027	3.51–7.8	17.78.9–29.2
2028	3.21–7.3	16.28.1–27.4
2029	3.51–9.7	18.69.5–28.9
2030	3.71.2–8.9	17.310–31.1
2031	41.4–10.1	16.97.7–30.4
2032	3.61.1–8.4	16.78.3–28.7
2033	4.61.6–11.5	209.5–32.1
2034	4.81.6–11.1	22.69.4–38.5
2035	4.41.7–11.8	19.310.1–35.5
2036	4.61.5–11.5	18.88.7–32.8
2037	4.91.4–10.9	20.79.8–34.6
2038	4.31.5–10.5	20.311.6–36.7
2039	4.91.8–10.6	19.310.6–32
2040	5.41.7–12.1	18.89.3–34.6
2041	5.61.5–13.8	22.310.6–36.6
2042	5.61.9–11.7	22.113.1–34.8
2043	4.31.5–10.9	239.6–38.3
2044	4.91.7–13.1	21.910.3–36.4
2045	6.32.4–12.7	22.310.5–35.5
2046	6.92–15	25.912.8–39.6
2047	72.7–15.9	24.314.1–39.3
2048	7.22.8–17.2	26.414.1–40.8
2049	6.32.2–15.1	25.212.7–41
2050	6.92.3–17.9	29.514.9–44
2051	8.53.4–18.4	29.715.7–46.8
2052	7.43.3–17.2	29.116.4–47.8
2053	6.81.5–16.2	27.713.4–42.1
2054	8.33–17.8	31.514–51.7
2055	8.73.3–19.2	31.314.6–46.2
2056	8.52.4–20.4	28.914–46.4
2057	8.92.3–20.4	28.414.3–50.5
2058	9.83.2–18.7	3014–47.4
2059	10.33.6–21.9	34.319–50.7
2060	10.82.8–22.6	32.614.6–53.4
2061	10.52.9–22.7	33.215.2–53.9
2062	10.43.7–24.8	31.917–51.6
2063	103.1–21.5	30.715.7–50
2064	10.83.9–22.7	32.716.6–49.6
2065	11.13.3–27	34.217–58.2
2066	11.23.5–25.4	34.715.5–56.6
2067	10.83.2–25.6	30.417.4–53.3
2068	10.23.5–26.2	32.117.6–49.7
2069	11.43.3–24.2	35.916.2–53.5
2070	11.54.2–26.5	34.719.7–57
2071	12.43.6–24.9	3618.1–56.3
2072	12.54.8–25.9	34.920–53.3
2073	13.34.6–29.5	4121.4–63.3
2074	10.63.5–24	34.820.5–59.6
2075	11.74.4–24.4	33.117.4–55.1
2076	12.74.2–28.7	36.317.9–62.2
2077	12.34.7–26.7	3720.5–59.7
2078	134.8–25.9	38.819.7–59.6
2079	144–27.6	39.420.8–63.6
2080	13.34–28.4	3820.3–64.5
2081	14.23.5–28.5	36.921–63.8
2082	13.94.8–27.1	36.522.8–61.1
2083	15.26.1–31.9	40.819.1–63.3
2084	16.45.2–30.7	41.121–60.8
2085	15.96.6–31.5	44.827.6–70.2
2086	15.45.3–31.1	36.821.5–66
2087	14.94.7–29.5	4321.7–67.6
2088	16.54.6–31.4	44.521.8–68.5
2089	15.65.7–28.3	45.726.7–62.3
2090	165.3–32.8	4423.3–67.1
2091	18.56.3–35.4	41.922.7–72.7
2092	17.26.3–35.2	44.824.2–68.9
2093	17.36.7–32.3	41.921.7–68.5
2094	19.45.1–34.5	46.826–69.9
2095	17.56.5–34.6	4425.8–65.7
2096	166.2–33.4	4221.1–67.9
2097	16.35.5–32.4	40.420–65.5
2098	16.45.6–35.3	42.823.4–67.6
2099	16.94.3–33.2	44.621.7–77
2100	16.15.8–35	4523.4–66

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Tanzania vs Zambia: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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