Papua New Guinea vs Thailand: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 250 nights in Papua New Guinea and 286.4 nights in Thailand, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Thailand, by 36.4 nights, or 1.15 times that in Papua New Guinea.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Papua New GuineaThailandCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Thailand has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Papua New Guinea at 276.3 nights and Thailand at 320.8 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Papua New Guinea	Thailand
2014	250	286.4
2013	250.3	289.1
2012	248.7	286.6
2011	247	286.4
2010	249.1	286
2009	247.8	286.9
2008	246.9	284.8
2007	246.6	283.2
2006	247	284.3
2005	247.2	281.7
2004	247	287.5
2003	245.9	279.3
2002	245.6	280
2001	246.5	285.5
2000	245.9	283.4
1999	244.8	282.5
1998	243.9	282.7
1997	243	284.8
1996	241.9	279.8
1995	241.6	278.7
1994	239.6	280.8
1993	236.8	275.6
1992	235	268.8
1991	242.1	276.7
1990	242.7	279.2
1989	240.3	278.4
1988	241.3	279.6
1987	240.8	277.9
1986	241.1	277.5
1985	238.2	276
1984	238.3	277.9
1983	236	273.9
1982	239.7	275.7
1981	239.4	277.8
1980	239.4	277.9
1979	238.9	278
1978	237.6	276
1977	238.1	277.3
1976	235.2	275.6
1975	237.6	274.4
1974	236.9	276
1973	238.1	280.6
1972	236.3	273.9
1971	236.9	273.2
1970	234.7	276
1969	235.9	274.8
1968	235.4	277
1967	234.7	270.3
1966	235.3	274.4
1965	233.5	275.8
1964	232	271.9
1963	232.3	274.7
1962	237.1	275.4
1961	237.7	278.5
1960	238.1	276.2
1959	237.5	274.4
1958	238.5	278.7
1957	236.1	277.4
1956	236.9	277
1955	237.6	274.6
1954	235.9	275
1953	236.5	275.4
1952	237.1	275.1
1951	237.2	277.5
1950	236.6	276.2

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Papua New Guinea	Thailand
2015	251.6240.9–257.9	290.6272.2–305
2016	250.8241.6–258.7	287.1269.8–306.2
2017	251.6240–258.6	290273.8–302.8
2018	252240.2–258.8	292.6275.1–308.7
2019	252.2242–259.7	291.2272.8–306.7
2020	253.8242.9–261.3	292.4272.2–307.8
2021	253242.7–259.2	294.2276.3–308.5
2022	254.2242.9–261.3	294.8277.2–311.9
2023	254243.4–262	296.1281.9–310.2
2024	256246.5–263.4	291.7275.5–307.8
2025	254.9244.4–263.6	294276.7–306.3
2026	255.8245–263.7	296278–309.3
2027	255.6245.6–262.9	295.8276.3–311.1
2028	256.2246.5–264.2	297279.3–315.1
2029	257.9248.1–265.4	300.3278.7–315
2030	256.8246.2–264.3	297.7280.2–312.5
2031	256.4246–263.8	300.8282.8–317.1
2032	258.6247.9–267.7	297.2280.9–311.4
2033	259.5248.8–266.1	300281.9–315.8
2034	257.9248.2–265.2	300.8279–318.4
2035	259.4250–270	298.6281.5–317.8
2036	259.6249.8–268.4	300.4279.9–316.9
2037	259.4249.3–267.6	299.8280–315.1
2038	261.1251.9–268.7	304.8286.6–319.3
2039	261.6251.5–268.3	300.9281.9–317
2040	260.6250–271.3	301.6284.5–315.7
2041	262.1250.9–271.1	303.1285.1–318.8
2042	261.7251.3–271.2	303.8290–318.3
2043	261.4250.7–270.1	302285.8–317.9
2044	263.5253.3–271.6	304.3286.3–318.8
2045	263.7252.3–272.6	307.1287.7–324.2
2046	264251.2–272.4	305.9285.2–321
2047	264.7253.1–274.1	306.6289.5–321.5
2048	263.6253.4–273.3	309.4288.9–325.7
2049	265.6254.3–275.8	308.1287.2–324.1
2050	266.3254.6–275.6	307.5291–321.5
2051	265254–276.5	312.8294.8–326
2052	266.5255.1–275.9	310.9291.2–323.4
2053	265.5254.3–277.2	308.3289.5–323.3
2054	265.6255–277.3	308.8292.8–322.3
2055	266.9255.8–278.4	308.6290.6–325.1
2056	267.6256.1–278.5	311.3294.9–326.3
2057	267.1254.9–278	308.5286.7–326.4
2058	267.4255.2–278.8	308291.1–325.1
2059	267.5255.8–278.8	312.7295.8–325.3
2060	270.4257.3–280.1	313.1294.6–328.6
2061	268.7257–278.3	314.4289.5–331.1
2062	268.3254.5–281.2	311.4293.4–330.3
2063	268.6256.4–281.7	314.8296.9–327.3
2064	269.5257–281.3	312.5295.4–330
2065	269.1257.2–280.5	309.6293.1–329.3
2066	270258.8–282.1	312.1292.6–328
2067	270256.7–281.9	311.2289.6–329.4
2068	271.1256.2–283.4	310.8292.4–330.6
2069	271.8258.6–282.9	315.5296.1–329.5
2070	270.7257–281.1	314.2292.9–330.7
2071	273.3258.5–284.9	313.8296.4–330.8
2072	271.3257.7–282.6	314.8296–329.6
2073	272.6259.4–284	316.5299.9–332.1
2074	272.8258.8–285.6	317.2295–333.8
2075	273.1258.5–284.4	317.2295.3–331.4
2076	272.6258.9–282.9	317.4299.8–335
2077	273.4259.5–285.8	317.5297.3–335.9
2078	273.5260.4–284.1	315.9297.1–331.6
2079	273.1259.6–285.6	318.5300.5–332.3
2080	274.1260.6–286.6	319.8297.4–337.5
2081	274.1260.6–286.9	317.7299.5–334.9
2082	274.2259.8–283.7	317.9294.8–333
2083	275.7261.4–286.9	315297.8–332.9
2084	275.1261.3–286.7	316295.5–330
2085	275260.2–287.9	322.6300.8–334.7
2086	275.4262.7–287.1	319.4295.2–335.2
2087	273.4261–287.5	320.2302.2–334.7
2088	276.5262.7–287	321.4299.8–334.8
2089	275.4261.5–288.4	318.9296.4–338.1
2090	274.9261.9–288.4	317.6304–337.4
2091	276.8260.9–289.4	320.1299.8–336.1
2092	276.8262.1–288.4	316.3298–336.4
2093	275.4262.9–290.1	316.1297.7–333.7
2094	276.9262.2–288.1	323.4301.8–337.3
2095	277261.9–287.5	322.9302.4–338.9
2096	276261.9–293	319.6302.8–336.7
2097	274.9261.5–288.8	319.8299.1–336
2098	276.6261.6–289.1	320.5303.9–336
2099	276.9261.8–290.6	319.9303.1–334.4
2100	276.3261.4–287.1	320.8301.1–336.7

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time