Papua New Guinea

Tropical nights in Papua New Guinea

Tropical nights in Papua New Guinea: 236.6 nights in 1950 and 250 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
250 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+13.4 nights
Projected, 2100
276.3 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in Papua New GuineaTropical nights in Papua New Guinea: 236.6 nights in 1950 and 250 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 276.3 nights in 2100, between 261.4 nights and 287.1 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 276.3 nights in 2100, between 261.4 nights and 287.1 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 250.3 nights in 2013, the lowest 232 nights in 1964.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearPapua New Guinea
2014250
2013250.3
2012248.7
2011247
2010249.1
2009247.8
2008246.9
2007246.6
2006247
2005247.2
2004247
2003245.9
2002245.6
2001246.5
2000245.9
1999244.8
1998243.9
1997243
1996241.9
1995241.6
1994239.6
1993236.8
1992235
1991242.1
1990242.7
1989240.3
1988241.3
1987240.8
1986241.1
1985238.2
1984238.3
1983236
1982239.7
1981239.4
1980239.4
1979238.9
1978237.6
1977238.1
1976235.2
1975237.6
1974236.9
1973238.1
1972236.3
1971236.9
1970234.7
1969235.9
1968235.4
1967234.7
1966235.3
1965233.5
1964232
1963232.3
1962237.1
1961237.7
1960238.1
1959237.5
1958238.5
1957236.1
1956236.9
1955237.6
1954235.9
1953236.5
1952237.1
1951237.2
1950236.6
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearPapua New Guinea
2015251.6240.9–257.9
2016250.8241.6–258.7
2017251.6240–258.6
2018252240.2–258.8
2019252.2242–259.7
2020253.8242.9–261.3
2021253242.7–259.2
2022254.2242.9–261.3
2023254243.4–262
2024256246.5–263.4
2025254.9244.4–263.6
2026255.8245–263.7
2027255.6245.6–262.9
2028256.2246.5–264.2
2029257.9248.1–265.4
2030256.8246.2–264.3
2031256.4246–263.8
2032258.6247.9–267.7
2033259.5248.8–266.1
2034257.9248.2–265.2
2035259.4250–270
2036259.6249.8–268.4
2037259.4249.3–267.6
2038261.1251.9–268.7
2039261.6251.5–268.3
2040260.6250–271.3
2041262.1250.9–271.1
2042261.7251.3–271.2
2043261.4250.7–270.1
2044263.5253.3–271.6
2045263.7252.3–272.6
2046264251.2–272.4
2047264.7253.1–274.1
2048263.6253.4–273.3
2049265.6254.3–275.8
2050266.3254.6–275.6
2051265254–276.5
2052266.5255.1–275.9
2053265.5254.3–277.2
2054265.6255–277.3
2055266.9255.8–278.4
2056267.6256.1–278.5
2057267.1254.9–278
2058267.4255.2–278.8
2059267.5255.8–278.8
2060270.4257.3–280.1
2061268.7257–278.3
2062268.3254.5–281.2
2063268.6256.4–281.7
2064269.5257–281.3
2065269.1257.2–280.5
2066270258.8–282.1
2067270256.7–281.9
2068271.1256.2–283.4
2069271.8258.6–282.9
2070270.7257–281.1
2071273.3258.5–284.9
2072271.3257.7–282.6
2073272.6259.4–284
2074272.8258.8–285.6
2075273.1258.5–284.4
2076272.6258.9–282.9
2077273.4259.5–285.8
2078273.5260.4–284.1
2079273.1259.6–285.6
2080274.1260.6–286.6
2081274.1260.6–286.9
2082274.2259.8–283.7
2083275.7261.4–286.9
2084275.1261.3–286.7
2085275260.2–287.9
2086275.4262.7–287.1
2087273.4261–287.5
2088276.5262.7–287
2089275.4261.5–288.4
2090274.9261.9–288.4
2091276.8260.9–289.4
2092276.8262.1–288.4
2093275.4262.9–290.1
2094276.9262.2–288.1
2095277261.9–287.5
2096276261.9–293
2097274.9261.5–288.8
2098276.6261.6–289.1
2099276.9261.8–290.6
2100276.3261.4–287.1

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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