Philippines vs South Africa: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 1.2 days in Philippines and 13.2 days in South Africa, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in South Africa, by 11.9 days, or 11 times that in Philippines.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

PhilippinesSouth AfricaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

South Africa has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Philippines at 8.8 days and South Africa at 40 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Philippines	South Africa
2014	1.2	13.2
2013	1.4	15.2
2012	1.3	14.3
2011	1.2	11.7
2010	1.5	12.5
2009	1.3	13.2
2008	1.1	12.3
2007	1.1	12
2006	1.2	11.9
2005	1.1	13.3
2004	1.1	13.9
2003	1	12.6
2002	1	12.6
2001	1.1	11.1
2000	0.9	11.8
1999	0.9	11
1998	1.1	12.1
1997	0.8	11.3
1996	0.7	9.4
1995	0.7	8.3
1994	0.7	8.5
1993	0.7	7.8
1992	0.5	7.1
1991	0.8	11.1
1990	1	10.1
1989	0.7	11.5
1988	0.7	9.4
1987	0.7	11.5
1986	0.8	10.2
1985	0.6	8.7
1984	0.7	8.7
1983	0.5	8.6
1982	0.8	10.5
1981	0.7	9.7
1980	0.7	10.3
1979	0.8	9.4
1978	0.5	9.5
1977	0.7	9.3
1976	0.6	9
1975	0.4	9.3
1974	0.5	8.8
1973	0.6	9.5
1972	0.6	8.4
1971	0.6	8.7
1970	0.4	8.2
1969	0.6	8.9
1968	0.5	8.4
1967	0.5	6.9
1966	0.5	7.8
1965	0.5	7.9
1964	0.5	6.4
1963	0.5	7
1962	0.7	8.9
1961	0.7	10.5
1960	0.7	9.7
1959	0.5	8.9
1958	0.7	9.3
1957	0.7	10.3
1956	0.5	7.9
1955	0.8	10.3
1954	0.6	9.1
1953	0.5	7.8
1952	0.6	9
1951	0.6	8.4
1950	0.5	8.7

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Philippines	South Africa
2015	1.70.6–3.5	14.76.8–24
2016	1.30.5–3.2	13.46.3–22.2
2017	1.60.7–3.4	15.27.7–24.6
2018	1.70.6–3.9	179.7–28
2019	1.60.5–4.2	14.67.1–24.5
2020	1.60.4–4	15.77.4–23.5
2021	20.7–3.8	17.99.4–27
2022	2.20.9–4.3	189.8–29
2023	20.6–4.1	18.69.9–27.1
2024	2.31–4.3	17.89.8–28
2025	2.11–4.8	16.57.5–29.6
2026	2.30.7–5.3	20.19.3–29.4
2027	2.30.9–4.5	19.910.5–32.8
2028	2.40.9–4.4	19.110.6–33.2
2029	2.91.2–6.3	21.412.9–33.6
2030	2.41.3–4.5	21.19.6–33.9
2031	2.31.1–4.9	20.79.9–35.4
2032	2.61–6.4	2110.9–34.8
2033	2.81.4–5	22.612.2–34.2
2034	2.40.9–5	24.615–35.1
2035	2.41–5.8	20.911.7–31.3
2036	2.61.1–5.4	21.111.9–32.2
2037	31.4–5.8	23.412.6–35.2
2038	3.31.6–6.7	26.216–36.7
2039	31.4–5.9	22.611.4–35.9
2040	3.31.3–7.2	21.510.9–35.4
2041	3.41.5–6.9	23.213.2–35.8
2042	2.81.2–6.8	25.214.3–39.6
2043	31.1–6.2	25.613.4–39.9
2044	3.41.5–7.3	26.113.1–41.6
2045	3.41.2–6.5	26.813.1–40.3
2046	3.91.6–8.2	25.914.5–40.8
2047	3.91.6–8.6	26.713.7–41.4
2048	41.8–8.4	29.215.6–45.4
2049	4.21.9–8	29.117.3–44.7
2050	4.22.3–8.4	29.815.7–48.6
2051	41.8–9	27.913.6–45.2
2052	4.72.2–8.9	31.918.3–46.8
2053	4.31.9–8.5	28.318.6–43.2
2054	4.52.3–11.5	30.717.3–50.1
2055	4.52–9	2917.8–48
2056	4.52.2–10.4	29.916–45.3
2057	5.12.2–9.2	3117.4–50.1
2058	4.71.9–10.9	31.115.7–46
2059	5.42.1–11.7	3216.1–49.9
2060	6.32.3–10.8	33.419.8–49.7
2061	5.42–10.7	32.718.1–51.1
2062	5.31.5–13.1	31.317.7–52.6
2063	5.72.1–12.5	32.317.4–50.7
2064	5.11.8–10.3	31.817.7–47.6
2065	5.12.5–11.6	31.716.2–50.7
2066	6.12.7–12.2	34.318.4–55.3
2067	4.82–11.1	32.617.2–52.4
2068	6.32.5–12.4	33.819.2–54.3
2069	5.62.6–13.3	34.621.3–52.4
2070	4.92.5–11.7	32.819.3–51.1
2071	6.42.6–13.3	35.320.8–55.8
2072	6.52.2–12.7	37.820.3–54.6
2073	7.22.9–16	4425.6–62.1
2074	6.32.8–14.3	38.320.7–55.8
2075	6.42.3–13.7	34.218.7–53.1
2076	6.62.6–12.8	38.822.9–57.5
2077	7.72.8–16.5	39.124.2–60.3
2078	6.53.4–17.4	35.521.6–53.4
2079	6.82.6–15.7	40.522.9–59.7
2080	7.62.7–17.5	40.523.4–59
2081	7.33.2–17.8	38.523.8–59.9
2082	7.52.8–14.9	38.622.5–58.2
2083	7.62.9–18.8	38.518.7–62.9
2084	7.52.3–15.2	39.720.6–58.4
2085	83.2–17.4	4021.5–65.8
2086	8.32.6–17	40.823–63.7
2087	7.83.1–16.5	38.324.6–58.6
2088	7.73.3–19.2	42.222.6–66.3
2089	8.23–17.9	41.624.2–59.1
2090	7.43.3–19.9	42.326.1–66.4
2091	83.2–20.9	43.324.2–63.6
2092	8.23.3–18	43.928–61.6
2093	7.83.3–23.5	37.521.3–63.4
2094	8.43.3–18.7	41.325.4–65.9
2095	9.73–19.4	43.522.9–70.2
2096	8.72.9–23	41.224.1–66.8
2097	83.4–16.7	37.723.7–60.9
2098	8.33.2–21.6	46.425.1–71.4
2099	7.53–20.4	42.525.1–64.8
2100	8.83.5–17	4022.2–64.5

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time