Philippines vs South Africa: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 331.5 nights in Philippines and 27.1 nights in South Africa, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Philippines, by 304.4 nights, or 12 times that in South Africa.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

PhilippinesSouth AfricaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Philippines has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Philippines at 351.3 nights and South Africa at 58.7 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Philippines	South Africa
2014	331.5	27.1
2013	330.9	28.3
2012	331.1	27.9
2011	329.8	26.1
2010	330.6	26
2009	329	25.8
2008	327.5	24.8
2007	327.8	24.7
2006	328.7	25.5
2005	329.7	25.3
2004	329.4	25.8
2003	327.1	25.1
2002	328.9	25
2001	327.8	24.5
2000	326.8	23.3
1999	327.5	23
1998	326.5	23.4
1997	325.4	22.5
1996	324.6	20.4
1995	324.2	19.3
1994	321.5	20
1993	319.5	18.1
1992	318.4	18.1
1991	324.1	22.3
1990	323.5	22.7
1989	322.5	22
1988	324	21.2
1987	323.1	21.9
1986	322.1	21
1985	321.4	18.9
1984	321.7	20
1983	319.4	19
1982	320.5	20.3
1981	320.4	20
1980	322.7	21.2
1979	321.2	19.9
1978	320.6	19.8
1977	319.8	19.2
1976	319.6	19.2
1975	319.6	18.8
1974	320	19.7
1973	319.4	19.6
1972	318.9	19
1971	318.8	19.1
1970	319	18.6
1969	318.7	18.7
1968	317.2	17.8
1967	317.4	17.5
1966	318.8	17.8
1965	317.2	17.2
1964	314.9	14.9
1963	317.2	16.5
1962	318.6	19.6
1961	319.3	19.7
1960	318.6	19.8
1959	320.5	18.5
1958	321.8	19.3
1957	319.4	19.4
1956	320	18
1955	319.3	19.5
1954	317.7	18.4
1953	320	18.4
1952	319	19.3
1951	319.8	18.9
1950	320.4	18.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Philippines	South Africa
2015	333319.8–339.5	28.620–39.5
2016	334.2322.8–340.7	26.817.8–37.9
2017	333.4319.7–339.8	28.919.6–37.8
2018	333.2320.1–340.1	29.620.6–40.6
2019	334.1323.4–341.2	29.820.8–41.5
2020	334.6322.6–341.8	29.518.9–39.1
2021	335.6323.3–341.1	31.121.4–42.9
2022	335.7323.3–342.1	3223.7–43.1
2023	336.7324.8–343.2	31.922.9–41.8
2024	337.2325.7–343.9	3324–45.6
2025	336.3326.2–342.8	31.920.7–44.5
2026	336.5322.9–343	34.521.9–46.9
2027	336.2325.7–342.3	34.423–47.7
2028	337.1325.5–343.8	33.522.9–46
2029	338.1327.2–344.6	36.226.5–48.3
2030	337.7326.2–344.4	36.124.9–49
2031	337.1325.6–343.8	36.324.5–50.3
2032	339.4329.5–346.1	36.424.5–49.2
2033	339.7329.6–345.5	36.924.5–48.3
2034	338.8328.8–345	37.626.4–51.8
2035	338.6327.5–346.4	37.625.2–49.5
2036	339.6327.8–346.9	3826.5–50.5
2037	339.8329.1–345.5	39.928.2–53.4
2038	341.9330.7–347.7	41.528.4–54.2
2039	341.2330.4–346.9	39.227–52.9
2040	340.4328.1–347.6	38.125.6–55.6
2041	341.1329.1–346.7	40.227.4–54.3
2042	342331.4–347.7	4229–56.4
2043	341.3329–348.1	42.128.2–58.4
2044	342.8329.9–349.8	41.929.5–57.8
2045	343.4333.8–348.7	42.728.2–59
2046	342.7330.2–348.7	44.130–59.5
2047	343.2331.7–350.6	44.630.7–61.2
2048	343.3332.7–350.6	4531.9–61.5
2049	343.2332.5–349.5	45.632.3–61.4
2050	344.3332.6–349.9	46.931–63.6
2051	344.4334.9–350.8	47.532–65
2052	344.1333.5–350.9	48.332.7–64.3
2053	344.3333.6–350.3	45.733.7–62.1
2054	343.4332–349.9	4833.3–64.3
2055	344.3334.4–350.5	46.833–68.4
2056	345334.6–352.6	47.933.2–64.8
2057	345.5335.1–351.5	50.232.6–68.9
2058	345.8334.3–351.3	47.934–66.4
2059	345.5333.7–351.6	51.333.1–66.9
2060	346.8335.5–353.5	51.936–69.9
2061	345.9335–351.8	50.534.8–71.3
2062	346335.2–353.5	50.532.7–71
2063	346.6336.2–352.8	50.434.3–69.7
2064	346.9335.3–353	5134.1–67.7
2065	346.1335.9–351.9	50.433.6–70.2
2066	346.5335.4–352.4	5335.7–72.4
2067	346.1335.4–352	50.634.8–70.4
2068	347.1335.1–354.1	54.837.8–72.5
2069	347333.8–353.6	54.339.1–73.4
2070	346.7336.1–352.7	54.337.2–73.3
2071	347.6336.2–353.9	55.837.9–76.9
2072	347334.4–353.8	5639.4–78.6
2073	348.4336.7–355	60.443.4–80.3
2074	348.6337–354.9	57.439.1–75.3
2075	347.9337.2–354	56.137.7–76
2076	348.4337–355.1	58.538.4–75.3
2077	348.7337–354.8	57.341–80.5
2078	348.4338.2–354.7	5639.5–79
2079	348.8337.6–354.7	57.639.3–78
2080	349.1338.4–355.9	59.540.3–80.9
2081	348.8336.9–355.1	5841.5–79.6
2082	349.6338–354.9	58.839.7–77.7
2083	349.9337.9–356.1	60.839.1–82.9
2084	349.5336.7–356.4	62.540.4–82.9
2085	349.1338.2–355.4	60.741.3–87.6
2086	349.4337.5–354.9	60.542.1–83.3
2087	349.7338.7–356	57.941–82.9
2088	349.9338.9–356.1	64.243.4–85.3
2089	350.2339.8–355.2	61.541.3–81.2
2090	350.1339.7–355.9	61.641.5–86.8
2091	349.5339.5–356.3	63.341.6–86.3
2092	350.5339.3–356.1	63.144.9–84.8
2093	350.4337.9–356.5	62.443.2–86.1
2094	350.5338.4–355.9	63.145.6–87.4
2095	350.5338.3–355.7	65.342.6–91.7
2096	351.1339–358	6142.7–90.1
2097	350.2339.3–355.6	58.841.2–84.6
2098	350.3337.4–355.2	65.143.8–89.8
2099	350.6339.3–356.4	64.345–87
2100	351.3340.2–356.3	58.742–88.2

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time