Poland vs Portugal

Poland vs Portugal: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 9.6 °C in Poland and 16.2 °C in Portugal, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Portugal, by 6.6 °C, or 1.69 times that in Poland.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

Poland vs Portugal: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 9.6 °C in Poland and 16.2 °C in Portugal, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Portugal, by 6.6 °C, or 1.69 times that in Poland.
PolandPortugalCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Portugal has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Poland at 11.4 °C and Portugal at 17.6 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearPolandPoland: CMIP6 historical run, model medianPortugalPortugal: CMIP6 historical run, model median
20259.69.416.216.2
2024119.116.116
202310.29.216.316.1
20229.69.916.416.1
20218.79.615.416
2020109.615.916
201910.39.115.416.1
20189.98.915.115.9
201798.916.116
20169.2915.616
20159.99.115.715.9
20149.78.915.315.6
20138.6915.115.7
20128.68.914.915.5
201198.815.715.5
20107.68.915.315.5
20098.68.915.615.6
20089.58.914.815.5
20079.48.714.915.4
20068.88.915.715.5
20058.4915.315.5
20048.48.415.215.6
20038.48.615.515.5
20029.28.515.215.6
20018.38.415.215.5
20009.68.515.115.4
199998.31515.5
19988.38.515.415.2
199788.31615.1
19966.78.41515.1
19958.27.816.215.1
19948.98.115.114.9
19937.87.614.214.9
19928.77.314.814.7
19917.97.815.115.1
19909.18.115.515.3
19899.48.115.915.2
19888.37.914.915.1
19876.57.915.515.1
19867.57.714.514.7
19856.781514.8
19847.87.614.414.8
198397.514.714.8
19828.47.614.814.9
19817.87.515.314.9
19806.57.514.614.9
19797.37.714.414.9
19787.17.812.914.9
197787.614.114.8
19767.17.514.314.6
197597.414.114.9
19748.37.914.214.9
19737.97.614.414.6
19727.87.313.614.8
19718.27.613.914.6
19707.17.214.514.7
19696.97.314.214.6
196887.414.814.6
19678.87.314.414.7
19668.17.314.814.6
19656.87.414.614.5
19647.37.514.714.8
19636.97.614.514.8
19626.97.414.814.8
19618.37.615.614.8
19607.87.814.614.6
19598.37.614.814.8
19587.67.614.614.8
19578.17.314.614.6
19566.17.713.514.8
19557.27.615.614.9
19546.97.314.414.7
19538.37.71514.7
19527.27.614.414.8
19518.47.414.314.7
19508.17.814.914.9
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearPolandPoland: CMIP6 historical run, model medianPortugalPortugal: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–9.88.8–10.4–16.115.6–17
2027–9.58.7–10.2–16.515.7–17.1
2028–9.78.8–10.7–16.215.3–17.3
2029–9.58.9–10.8–16.215.2–17
2030–9.68.7–10.6–16.215.3–17
2031–9.47.9–11.2–16.215.5–16.9
2032–108.5–11–16.515.6–17.1
2033–9.79.1–11.1–16.315.7–17
2034–9.88.6–11.1–16.515.9–17.1
2035–9.88.6–11–16.415.5–17.1
2036–108.8–11.5–16.515.7–17.4
2037–9.78.6–10.9–16.515.8–17.2
2038–9.88.5–11.5–16.516–17.1
2039–9.98.6–11–16.515.8–17.2
2040–10.18.9–11.3–16.315.4–17.4
2041–9.98.9–10.9–16.515.8–17.2
2042–108.6–11–16.415.7–17.4
2043–10.38.5–11.4–16.615.5–17.4
2044–9.98.3–11.3–16.615.8–17.4
2045–9.98.8–11.4–16.716–17.2
2046–9.98.6–11.1–16.615.9–17.6
2047–10.39.1–11.4–16.716–17.6
2048–10.69.6–11.5–16.816–17.4
2049–10.48.9–11.6–16.916.1–17.9
2050–10.29.2–11.4–16.916–17.8
2051–10.18.8–12–16.715.7–17.7
2052–10.58.8–12–16.715.9–17.5
2053–10.49.3–11.4–16.916–17.8
2054–10.29.1–11.6–1716–17.7
2055–10.19–11.7–1716.1–17.6
2056–10.59.3–11.6–16.716–17.6
2057–10.49.4–12.1–1715.9–18
2058–10.99.4–12.1–17.116–18.2
2059–10.49.2–12–16.916.2–18
2060–10.59.3–11.6–1716.6–17.8
2061–10.69.4–11.5–17.316.3–18.2
2062–10.79.6–12.2–17.315.8–18
2063–10.79.2–12.3–17.316.2–18
2064–10.79.5–11.5–16.916.2–18.1
2065–10.59–11.9–16.915.7–18.4
2066–10.79–11.8–17.216.2–18.1
2067–10.69.5–11.9–17.116.2–18.1
2068–10.69.5–12.3–1716.1–18.3
2069–10.99.5–12.2–17.416.2–18.2
2070–10.69.1–12.2–17.316.4–18.4
2071–10.78.9–12.3–17.316.3–18.1
2072–119.7–12–17.316.1–18.3
2073–10.89.5–12.1–17.516.5–18.5
2074–10.89.6–12.1–17.416.5–18.3
2075–10.49.2–12.3–17.216.2–18
2076–10.79.5–12.7–17.316.4–18.4
2077–10.79.8–12.1–17.316.1–18.4
2078–10.89.7–12.3–17.116.3–18.5
2079–10.79.5–12.5–17.216.3–18.5
2080–10.99.6–12.4–17.316.5–18.4
2081–10.99.7–12.3–17.216.4–18.5
2082–10.99.8–12.7–17.316.5–18.4
2083–10.69.3–12.6–17.516.8–18.5
2084–10.99.4–12.5–17.416.7–18.4
2085–11.19.7–12.6–17.516.8–18.6
2086–11.19.9–12.8–17.616.6–18.8
2087–11.29.7–12.9–17.716.9–18.8
2088–11.29.7–12.5–17.716.9–19.1
2089–119.6–12.3–17.416.6–18.5
2090–11.39.3–12.7–17.716.8–18.7
2091–11.29.5–12.9–17.716.6–18.6
2092–11.59.7–12.7–17.516.6–18.6
2093–11.19.6–12.9–17.616.7–18.4
2094–119.6–12.8–17.416.3–18.8
2095–11.19.7–12.5–17.616.3–18.9
2096–11.29.3–12.7–17.916.2–18.7
2097–119.9–12.9–17.516.5–18.7
2098–11.29.7–12.5–17.816.4–18.6
2099–11.49.7–12.5–17.616.8–18.9
2100–11.49.8–12.3–17.616.7–18.9

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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