Poland vs Thailand: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 0 days in Poland and 39.9 days in Thailand, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Thailand, by 39.9 days, or 2,000 times that in Poland.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

PolandThailandCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Thailand has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Poland at 0.8 days and Thailand at 95.9 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Poland	Thailand
2014	0	39.9
2013	0	42.1
2012	0	40.1
2011	0	39.9
2010	0	39.8
2009	0	37.9
2008	0	36
2007	0	33
2006	0	39.2
2005	0	34.9
2004	0	39.4
2003	0	34.1
2002	0	36.3
2001	0	37.8
2000	0	32.5
1999	0	29.7
1998	0	33.3
1997	0	33.7
1996	0	31.3
1995	0	33.5
1994	0	33.5
1993	0	30.4
1992	0	25.5
1991	0	35.4
1990	0	37.7
1989	0	29.3
1988	0	30.6
1987	0	31.2
1986	0	34.3
1985	0	29.3
1984	0	32.4
1983	0	30.4
1982	0	33.1
1981	0	29.5
1980	0	28.8
1979	0	32.4
1978	0	26.1
1977	0	31.5
1976	0	29.7
1975	0	25
1974	0	31.5
1973	0	34.5
1972	0	30.3
1971	0	27.1
1970	0	28.7
1969	0	29.9
1968	0	29.4
1967	0	28.3
1966	0	25.4
1965	0	27.1
1964	0	26.6
1963	0	26
1962	0	28.7
1961	0	31.1
1960	0	32.9
1959	0	24.4
1958	0	33
1957	0	27.8
1956	0	27.1
1955	0	31.2
1954	0	30.3
1953	0	28.2
1952	0	34.1
1951	0	33
1950	0	28.5

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Poland	Thailand
2015	00–0.3	41.123.5–66.3
2016	00–0.8	38.915.7–61.2
2017	00–1.1	41.420.8–64.9
2018	00–0.8	43.521.7–65.5
2019	00–0.9	40.916.5–61.9
2020	00–1	45.617.3–66.6
2021	00–0.5	43.720.7–70.7
2022	00–1	47.826.4–73.3
2023	00–1.8	41.822.3–67.2
2024	00–1.1	44.726.9–70.9
2025	00–2.2	50.227.3–77
2026	00–1.3	44.425.2–80.5
2027	00–0.7	47.126.2–75.6
2028	00–1.3	51.123.1–73.3
2029	00–2	56.733.9–84.7
2030	00–0.8	50.726.1–78.9
2031	00–1	50.531.5–81.2
2032	00–1.9	49.823.6–85.7
2033	00–1.2	53.432–73.7
2034	0.10–2.1	51.531.6–83.4
2035	00–1.6	52.228.9–89.2
2036	00–2.6	53.335.2–77.4
2037	00–2.3	57.632–82.5
2038	00–3.3	62.238.5–91.5
2039	0.20–2.4	55.127.8–78.8
2040	0.10–1.9	53.728.4–91.3
2041	00–1.1	6337.5–86.6
2042	00–2.3	54.826.4–94.7
2043	00–3.2	57.129.8–85.3
2044	0.10–2.6	57.336.7–95.7
2045	00–2.5	54.934.2–90.2
2046	0.10–2.6	62.736.4–102.1
2047	0.30–3	63.635–98.5
2048	0.10–3.6	72.237.4–110.4
2049	0.30–3.6	66.240.8–98.3
2050	0.40–2.4	64.536.9–95.3
2051	0.20–3.1	66.135.5–97.1
2052	00–3.2	74.339.3–108.1
2053	0.20–2.7	64.635–106.7
2054	0.20–3.3	69.144.2–112.1
2055	0.10–4.1	71.445.3–107.6
2056	0.20–3.8	70.536.5–117.7
2057	0.10–5.4	7240–104.6
2058	0.50–5	73.140.6–107.3
2059	0.40–5.4	77.251.2–121.4
2060	0.20–2.5	80.946–117
2061	0.60–3.7	77.335.3–117.8
2062	0.30–3.8	73.535.5–125.8
2063	0.50–5.9	83.640.3–122.6
2064	0.70–4.9	74.746.9–111.8
2065	0.40–4.5	69.939.5–124.8
2066	0.60–4	80.250.7–122.7
2067	0.50–5.9	69.437.9–116
2068	0.50–3.1	76.445.8–131.7
2069	0.80–4.4	77.747.4–128.7
2070	0.70–5.6	73.839.2–129.5
2071	0.20–5.5	80.642.2–131.6
2072	1.10–4.4	81.347.5–135.3
2073	0.60–3.9	88.854.2–133.4
2074	0.50–4.1	8444.3–128.1
2075	0.70–6.6	82.838.3–123.9
2076	1.20–6.2	82.937.1–132.9
2077	0.40–7.1	8849.4–132.4
2078	1.20–7	91.252–137
2079	0.80–9.2	85.749.5–144.4
2080	0.70–3.5	88.552.7–143.6
2081	0.70–5.9	87.150.9–135.1
2082	10–10.4	89.953.5–133.6
2083	0.40–5.3	87.145.8–149.7
2084	0.70–4.5	8447.7–131
2085	0.90–5.7	93.853.8–141.8
2086	0.80–7.2	87.745.8–139.2
2087	1.20–7.5	86.447.4–139.2
2088	1.60–6.4	90.441.7–153.2
2089	1.10–9.4	90.149–151.2
2090	10–7.2	87.853.3–154.1
2091	20–6.7	8648.2–148.6
2092	0.80–7.4	92.650.2–149.9
2093	0.40–4.2	89.854.6–159
2094	1.40–7.1	95.549.6–143.6
2095	1.40–6.9	103.458.2–156.3
2096	0.80–4.2	89.951.3–155.4
2097	0.50–6	94.550.2–142.6
2098	1.10–6.9	89.851.6–149.6
2099	0.70–7.3	88.244.7–147.4
2100	0.80–6.8	95.951.1–153.3

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Poland vs Thailand: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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