Russia vs Saudi Arabia: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 1.4 nights in Russia and 181.5 nights in Saudi Arabia, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Saudi Arabia, by 180.1 nights, or 130 times that in Russia.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

RussiaSaudi ArabiaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Saudi Arabia has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Russia at 5.9 nights and Saudi Arabia at 218.7 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Russia	Saudi Arabia
2014	1.4	181.5
2013	1.2	180.4
2012	1.1	182.8
2011	1.1	182.7
2010	1.2	179.2
2009	1	177.1
2008	1.1	180.3
2007	1	178.9
2006	1.1	177.5
2005	1.2	177.9
2004	1	177.6
2003	1	177.4
2002	0.9	175.6
2001	1	178.1
2000	0.9	176.4
1999	0.8	173.2
1998	0.8	173.4
1997	0.9	173.8
1996	0.7	172
1995	0.7	169.2
1994	0.6	170.4
1993	0.5	164.6
1992	0.4	165.9
1991	0.6	169.2
1990	0.6	172.7
1989	0.6	168.9
1988	0.5	166.8
1987	0.6	167.3
1986	0.6	169.4
1985	0.6	166
1984	0.4	165
1983	0.3	163.5
1982	0.5	164.7
1981	0.5	168.9
1980	0.5	166.8
1979	0.5	165.3
1978	0.5	164.8
1977	0.5	165.6
1976	0.5	165.9
1975	0.4	161.2
1974	0.5	162.9
1973	0.5	163.7
1972	0.4	163.7
1971	0.5	160.4
1970	0.4	162.5
1969	0.4	161.3
1968	0.6	162.7
1967	0.5	159.5
1966	0.4	159.5
1965	0.5	159.5
1964	0.4	159.9
1963	0.5	160.2
1962	0.4	163.2
1961	0.5	163.7
1960	0.5	165.7
1959	0.5	164.4
1958	0.5	164.1
1957	0.5	165.5
1956	0.5	163.6
1955	0.5	162
1954	0.5	161.2
1953	0.6	162.5
1952	0.5	163.4
1951	0.5	161.2
1950	0.5	161.6

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Russia	Saudi Arabia
2015	1.60.6–3.9	184.9169.4–198.7
2016	1.30.6–3.5	183167.7–195.7
2017	1.40.5–3.6	182.6168.1–196.7
2018	1.70.6–4.1	186.8173.1–199.4
2019	1.50.7–3.9	184.1168.8–199.1
2020	1.50.7–3.6	185.3171.8–198.9
2021	1.40.6–3.6	188.6173.6–202.8
2022	1.80.6–4.4	187.6170.7–202
2023	1.80.6–4.5	188.6173–203.8
2024	1.70.7–4.1	187.1172.9–203.9
2025	20.7–5.2	191.5176–206.1
2026	1.70.7–4.4	191.8177.1–205.5
2027	1.90.8–4.7	191.2176.6–206.8
2028	1.70.8–4.4	191.9175.5–205.1
2029	20.9–5.3	192.2176.6–205.7
2030	1.80.6–4.8	193.3178.4–206.3
2031	2.11–5.1	194.7179.1–207.6
2032	2.20.9–5.8	192.2175.2–206
2033	2.11.1–5.4	192.6177.5–206.9
2034	1.90.8–4.9	196.7181.6–213
2035	2.21–5.8	196.5179.9–211.6
2036	2.41.1–5.9	194.1180–209.7
2037	2.31–6.1	197183.7–209.9
2038	2.51.1–5.8	198.4182.3–213.3
2039	2.71.2–6.8	198184.4–213.6
2040	2.50.9–5.8	199.2182.1–212.7
2041	2.61.1–6.6	197.7181.4–211.7
2042	2.61–6.8	198.3181.2–217
2043	2.81.4–7	198.2182.3–215.3
2044	2.81–7.5	199.2185.5–213.5
2045	2.61.1–7.1	202187.1–216.8
2046	2.81.1–7.5	204.1185.3–219.4
2047	2.91.1–8.3	204.1187.4–220
2048	3.41.1–7.9	206.1190.7–220
2049	3.21.4–8	201.6187.7–216.2
2050	3.51.3–8.2	205.7190.2–219.3
2051	3.41.3–8.9	204.3188.8–222.1
2052	31.2–8.1	203.8189.6–218
2053	3.11.3–7.5	203.8186.3–218.8
2054	3.21.1–7.7	207.6188.3–222.3
2055	3.31.2–9	207.8190.8–221
2056	3.51.3–8.8	203.7186.6–220.1
2057	3.71.5–9.1	207.5188.8–224.2
2058	3.61.5–10.2	205.9189.2–221.4
2059	3.81.5–9.3	207.3191.6–226.9
2060	3.41.4–8.9	206.9192.7–222.8
2061	3.91.5–9.3	206.5190.4–220.9
2062	3.71.4–10.1	208.1189.4–228.3
2063	4.11.4–10.3	210.4193–227.1
2064	3.61.2–10.1	207.5191.9–223.3
2065	4.21.4–10.4	208.9193.9–226.1
2066	41.4–10.5	210.3194.9–228
2067	3.91.3–9.9	210.9193.1–228.6
2068	4.21.4–10.3	209.8194.6–228.6
2069	4.61.7–11.6	208.9194.5–226.3
2070	3.81.3–11.8	211.2191.2–229
2071	41.4–11.5	215.1196.3–233.3
2072	4.51.8–10.9	213.6195.3–229.3
2073	4.61.5–11.7	213.7194.1–231.6
2074	4.41.7–11.7	210.5191.9–229.3
2075	4.31.6–11.3	212.1196.6–231.8
2076	4.91.8–12	212.8194.8–230.3
2077	4.81.9–10.9	215.1196.6–233.9
2078	4.92.1–12	215.5197.6–230.7
2079	5.42–12.7	213.6197–229
2080	4.91.8–12.5	213.6197.1–233.9
2081	5.12.1–12.5	214.7194.4–231.6
2082	51.9–13.9	214198.9–230.9
2083	5.42.2–13.2	214.2198.5–238
2084	5.42–12.2	217.4197.4–233.1
2085	5.21.7–13.3	217.4199.6–237.9
2086	5.31.8–14.1	217197.4–237.4
2087	5.31.9–13.6	217.3199.7–238.7
2088	5.51.9–13.6	216.1198.2–243.1
2089	5.22.2–12.5	217.6199.5–239
2090	5.42–12	217.3198.5–239.2
2091	5.91.9–15.4	218.5202.8–238.4
2092	5.92–13.2	218.5198.5–241.6
2093	5.61.8–14	216.6197.8–236.3
2094	6.12.2–15.1	218.8202–236.9
2095	5.62.1–14.7	219.4204.2–237.4
2096	6.22.2–14.9	219.9197.7–239.6
2097	6.21.9–14.7	216.7196.8–239.7
2098	6.12.1–14.3	219.7199.6–241.3
2099	5.61.8–14.7	216.8200.8–236.8
2100	5.92.2–14.8	218.7202.3–241

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Russia vs Saudi Arabia: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

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