Somalia vs Zambia: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 58 days in Somalia and 9.7 days in Zambia, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Somalia, by 48.4 days, or 6 times that in Zambia.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

SomaliaZambiaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Somalia has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Somalia at 132.6 days and Zambia at 45 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Somalia	Zambia
2014	58	9.7
2013	58.1	10.6
2012	56	9.9
2011	57.6	8.8
2010	57	9.9
2009	53	8.5
2008	51.3	8.4
2007	51.1	8.2
2006	51.2	7.6
2005	51.9	8.2
2004	52.6	10.2
2003	53	8.8
2002	51.4	8.8
2001	51.7	9.5
2000	51.6	9
1999	50	7.6
1998	49.2	7.8
1997	48.2	6.6
1996	44.7	5.6
1995	44.3	6.2
1994	42.8	5.8
1993	39	4.1
1992	36.2	4.7
1991	46.9	4.9
1990	45.5	6
1989	43.4	6.2
1988	44.2	6.4
1987	44.2	6.5
1986	44.3	6.3
1985	40.6	4.9
1984	42.6	5.1
1983	39.7	5
1982	43.5	4.8
1981	44.6	5.8
1980	44.8	5.6
1979	43.5	5.3
1978	42.4	5
1977	42.1	5.4
1976	38.3	4.1
1975	39.4	4.8
1974	41.9	5.7
1973	40.8	5.7
1972	40.5	4.1
1971	38.4	4.7
1970	38.2	5.1
1969	39.6	5.1
1968	36.3	4.6
1967	35.4	4.1
1966	38.9	3.7
1965	35.3	4.8
1964	34.1	3.4
1963	35.8	3.4
1962	39.6	5
1961	42.1	5.3
1960	41	5.2
1959	40.6	5.5
1958	39.4	5.2
1957	40.9	5.4
1956	39	4.2
1955	40.6	5.4
1954	38.5	5.2
1953	40.3	4.8
1952	40.7	5.8
1951	41.3	4.2
1950	40.4	5.3

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Somalia	Zambia
2015	61.244–78.5	12.45.1–21
2016	60.241.9–78.7	114.9–19.9
2017	63.439.6–81.2	115.1–18.3
2018	6245.5–79.9	11.44.9–21.2
2019	62.444.6–82.9	12.16.3–19.3
2020	65.944–86.1	14.37.2–23.4
2021	64.146.7–83.1	12.65.9–22.1
2022	67.847.3–88.5	15.37–23.7
2023	70.948.3–92.1	17.510.3–26.3
2024	72.751.4–92.7	15.88.7–24.8
2025	67.148.6–93.9	14.76.5–26.2
2026	66.543.9–99.9	169.1–25.4
2027	67.147.5–96.2	17.78.9–29.2
2028	69.949.2–95.5	16.28.1–27.4
2029	74.150.6–96	18.69.5–28.9
2030	72.553.5–97.1	17.310–31.1
2031	7655.6–99.9	16.97.7–30.4
2032	74.752.3–98.3	16.78.3–28.7
2033	79.656.7–101.7	209.5–32.1
2034	76.456.7–102.6	22.69.4–38.5
2035	77.552.5–105.2	19.310.1–35.5
2036	76.753.9–100.7	18.88.7–32.8
2037	80.456.2–107.2	20.79.8–34.6
2038	80.359.3–108.7	20.311.6–36.7
2039	82.258.9–108.7	19.310.6–32
2040	81.357.4–113.8	18.89.3–34.6
2041	84.860.6–118.5	22.310.6–36.6
2042	8556.5–118.5	22.113.1–34.8
2043	83.660.2–115.7	239.6–38.3
2044	86.862.5–117.6	21.910.3–36.4
2045	86.961.3–121.1	22.310.5–35.5
2046	92.160.2–126.6	25.912.8–39.6
2047	95.564.1–127.6	24.314.1–39.3
2048	95.969.2–124.6	26.414.1–40.8
2049	96.966.8–131.6	25.212.7–41
2050	93.366.5–129.9	29.514.9–44
2051	96.666.3–137.2	29.715.7–46.8
2052	98.867.9–126.4	29.116.4–47.8
2053	96.765.5–130.9	27.713.4–42.1
2054	91.563.1–130.8	31.514–51.7
2055	10168.8–131.1	31.314.6–46.2
2056	99.267.2–140.6	28.914–46.4
2057	98.171.7–135.6	28.414.3–50.5
2058	100.566.1–140.3	3014–47.4
2059	10371.1–144.1	34.319–50.7
2060	109.573.1–143.8	32.614.6–53.4
2061	105.575.3–142.2	33.215.2–53.9
2062	106.769.6–147.9	31.917–51.6
2063	11075.4–143.5	30.715.7–50
2064	108.368.2–139.7	32.716.6–49.6
2065	103.571.4–150.4	34.217–58.2
2066	110.373.5–142.6	34.715.5–56.6
2067	110.571.3–148.5	30.417.4–53.3
2068	106.373.1–150.5	32.117.6–49.7
2069	112.378.2–147.4	35.916.2–53.5
2070	107.971.2–150.8	34.719.7–57
2071	116.976–161.6	3618.1–56.3
2072	11774–152.9	34.920–53.3
2073	118.283.9–157.3	4121.4–63.3
2074	112.577.8–162.7	34.820.5–59.6
2075	11778.6–160.3	33.117.4–55.1
2076	12184.8–156.5	36.317.9–62.2
2077	124.478.7–167.9	3720.5–59.7
2078	118.683–162	38.819.7–59.6
2079	121.379.2–161	39.420.8–63.6
2080	124.781.5–169.5	3820.3–64.5
2081	127.587.6–172.7	36.921–63.8
2082	126.584.2–165.4	36.522.8–61.1
2083	126.386.8–173.9	40.819.1–63.3
2084	128.184.6–170.5	41.121–60.8
2085	126.884.7–167.3	44.827.6–70.2
2086	13283.7–173	36.821.5–66
2087	127.683.8–170.6	4321.7–67.6
2088	131.180.1–167.8	44.521.8–68.5
2089	128.383.8–169.7	45.726.7–62.3
2090	134.390.9–176.1	4423.3–67.1
2091	130.987.6–178.4	41.922.7–72.7
2092	133.685.4–169	44.824.2–68.9
2093	133.794.2–185.6	41.921.7–68.5
2094	130.490.9–173.8	46.826–69.9
2095	132.593.5–175.3	4425.8–65.7
2096	136.290.3–181	4221.1–67.9
2097	129.288.6–176.1	40.420–65.5
2098	129.984.9–182.6	42.823.4–67.6
2099	134.685.5–175.8	44.621.7–77
2100	132.688.7–171.3	4523.4–66

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Somalia vs Zambia: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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