South Africa vs Spain: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 18.3 °C in South Africa and 15.1 °C in Spain, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in South Africa, by 3.2 °C, or 1.21 times that in Spain.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

South AfricaSpainCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

South Africa has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
In 2025, South Africa ranked 155 and Spain ranked 166 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts South Africa at 20.7 °C and Spain at 16.6 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

Year	South Africa	South Africa: CMIP6 historical run, model median	Spain	Spain: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025	18.3	18.8	15.1	14.8
2024	18.9	19	15.1	14.8
2023	18.2	18.8	15.3	14.8
2022	18.1	18.9	15.5	14.9
2021	17.8	18.8	14.3	14.8
2020	18.2	18.7	14.7	14.7
2019	19.1	18.7	14.6	14.8
2018	18.3	18.7	14.2	14.6
2017	18.2	18.7	15.1	14.6
2016	18.8	18.5	14.6	14.6
2015	18.8	18.6	14.9	14.6
2014	17.9	18.6	14.7	14.2
2013	17.8	18.7	13.8	14.3
2012	17.7	18.6	14.2	14.1
2011	17.3	18.3	14.7	14.2
2010	18.2	18.4	13.7	14.2
2009	17.7	18.4	14.5	14.2
2008	17.9	18.3	13.7	14.3
2007	17.8	18.2	13.8	14.1
2006	17.4	18.4	14.7	14.2
2005	18.1	18.4	13.9	14.1
2004	18	18.4	14	14.2
2003	18.1	18.3	14.6	14.1
2002	17.7	18.3	14.3	14
2001	17.6	18.2	14.2	14.1
2000	17.2	18.3	14.1	14
1999	18.3	18.1	14	13.9
1998	17.8	18.1	14.1	13.8
1997	17.2	18.1	14.7	13.7
1996	16.8	18	13.7	13.7
1995	17.5	17.9	14.8	13.6
1994	17.4	17.9	14.3	13.6
1993	18	17.7	12.9	13.5
1992	18	17.5	13.3	13.2
1991	17.5	18.2	13.4	13.8
1990	17.5	18.1	14.1	13.9
1989	17.2	17.9	14.4	13.6
1988	17.4	18.1	13.6	13.6
1987	17.9	18	13.9	13.7
1986	17.8	17.9	13.3	13.2
1985	17.9	17.8	13.6	13.4
1984	17.8	17.8	12.7	13.4
1983	18	17.7	13.7	13.3
1982	17.5	17.9	13.6	13.5
1981	16.9	17.9	13.7	13.5
1980	17.5	18	13	13.5
1979	17.4	17.8	13	13.4
1978	17.1	17.8	12.7	13.4
1977	17.3	17.9	12.9	13.3
1976	16.5	17.8	12.7	13.1
1975	16.7	17.7	12.7	13.4
1974	16.7	17.8	12.7	13.3
1973	17.2	17.8	12.8	13.2
1972	17.4	17.6	12.1	13.4
1971	17	17.7	12.4	13.1
1970	17.5	17.7	13.2	13.1
1969	17.4	17.7	12.5	13.2
1968	16.6	17.7	13.3	13.1
1967	17	17.6	13	13.3
1966	17.6	17.7	13	13.2
1965	17.2	17.5	12.7	13
1964	17	17.3	13.1	13.3
1963	17.2	17.3	12.3	13.3
1962	17.6	17.8	13	13.4
1961	17.2	17.9	13.9	13.3
1960	17.2	17.7	12.9	13.2
1959	17.2	17.7	13.1	13.5
1958	17.4	17.8	13.1	13.3
1957	17.2	17.9	12.7	13.2
1956	16.9	17.6	11.8	13.4
1955	16.4	17.9	13.7	13.5
1954	16.7	17.7	12.7	13.3
1953	17.8	17.6	13	13.3
1952	17.5	17.9	12.8	13.3
1951	17.4	17.7	12.5	13.3
1950	17.4	17.7	13.5	13.5

12.3Projected

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100

Year	South Africa	South Africa: CMIP6 historical run, model median	Spain	Spain: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026	–	1918.2–19.9	–	14.814.3–15.9
2027	–	1918.3–19.8	–	1514.4–15.9
2028	–	1918.2–19.6	–	1514–16.1
2029	–	19.218.6–19.9	–	14.914.1–15.8
2030	–	19.218.4–19.9	–	1514–15.8
2031	–	19.218.4–20.1	–	1514.2–15.7
2032	–	19.218.5–19.9	–	15.314.3–15.9
2033	–	19.218.4–19.9	–	15.114.3–15.9
2034	–	19.218.6–20	–	15.214.5–16.1
2035	–	19.118.3–19.8	–	15.314.3–16.1
2036	–	19.218.5–19.8	–	15.314.6–16.3
2037	–	19.418.7–20.2	–	15.314.5–15.9
2038	–	19.518.8–20.2	–	15.414.8–16.1
2039	–	19.418.5–20.1	–	15.314.5–16.1
2040	–	19.418.7–20.2	–	15.214.4–16.3
2041	–	19.518.7–20.2	–	15.314.4–16
2042	–	19.718.7–20.4	–	15.214.6–16.2
2043	–	19.718.8–20.4	–	15.414.2–16.4
2044	–	19.518.7–20.6	–	15.314.6–16.3
2045	–	19.518.7–20.4	–	15.514.8–16.2
2046	–	19.819–20.6	–	15.414.5–16.3
2047	–	19.918.9–20.6	–	15.614.6–16.3
2048	–	19.919–20.6	–	15.414.8–16.4
2049	–	19.919.1–20.8	–	15.714.7–16.9
2050	–	19.819–20.8	–	15.714.9–16.6
2051	–	19.919–20.7	–	15.614.6–16.7
2052	–	2019–20.9	–	15.614.9–16.6
2053	–	19.919.1–20.7	–	15.714.7–16.8
2054	–	2019–21	–	15.814.7–16.7
2055	–	2019.1–21	–	15.814.9–16.7
2056	–	2018.9–20.9	–	15.714.9–16.7
2057	–	20.118.9–21.3	–	15.914.7–16.9
2058	–	2019.1–20.8	–	15.914.9–17.1
2059	–	20.219.1–20.9	–	15.814.9–17
2060	–	20.219.3–21.1	–	15.915.3–16.8
2061	–	20.219.3–21.1	–	16.215.1–17.1
2062	–	2019–21.1	–	16.114.7–17
2063	–	20.119.2–21.3	–	16.315.1–17
2064	–	20.119.3–21	–	15.814.8–17
2065	–	20.119.1–21.2	–	15.914.7–17.2
2066	–	20.319.3–21.4	–	1615–16.9
2067	–	20.119–21.1	–	1615–17.1
2068	–	20.319.2–21.2	–	1615.3–17.2
2069	–	20.319.3–21.2	–	16.415.2–17.1
2070	–	20.219.4–21.3	–	16.215.1–17.4
2071	–	20.419.5–21.6	–	16.315.2–17.3
2072	–	20.419.5–21.3	–	16.215.1–17.4
2073	–	20.719.8–21.5	–	16.415.1–17.4
2074	–	20.419.4–21.5	–	16.315.2–17.5
2075	–	20.419.4–21.4	–	16.115.1–17.3
2076	–	20.519.5–21.4	–	16.315.2–17.5
2077	–	20.619.6–21.7	–	16.114.9–17.4
2078	–	20.419.5–21.6	–	16.115.1–17.6
2079	–	20.619.4–21.6	–	16.115.2–17.6
2080	–	20.719.6–21.7	–	16.315.3–17.4
2081	–	20.519.6–21.6	–	16.115.2–17.6
2082	–	20.619.6–21.5	–	16.315.3–17.5
2083	–	20.719.6–21.6	–	16.515.4–17.5
2084	–	20.719.4–21.6	–	16.415.5–17.5
2085	–	20.719.6–22	–	16.515.6–17.6
2086	–	20.619.8–22	–	16.415.4–17.7
2087	–	20.519.7–21.7	–	16.715.8–18
2088	–	20.819.7–21.9	–	16.715.7–18.2
2089	–	20.719.7–21.6	–	16.515.6–17.6
2090	–	20.819.6–21.9	–	16.815.6–17.8
2091	–	20.819.7–21.9	–	16.715.4–17.8
2092	–	20.919.9–21.9	–	16.515.4–17.6
2093	–	20.619.6–21.8	–	16.515.5–17.6
2094	–	20.619.8–22	–	16.415.2–17.9
2095	–	2119.6–22.3	–	16.615.3–17.8
2096	–	20.819.7–22.1	–	16.815–18
2097	–	20.619.5–21.9	–	16.615.5–17.9
2098	–	20.919.8–22.3	–	16.715.4–17.8
2099	–	20.819.7–22	–	16.715.6–17.9
2100	–	20.719.6–21.9	–	16.615.3–17.8

Each country on its own

Good to know

The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

South Africa vs Spain: Temperature

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

Good to know

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