South Africa vs Tanzania

South Africa vs Tanzania: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 13.2 days in South Africa and 1.7 days in Tanzania, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in South Africa, by 11.5 days, or 7.84 times that in Tanzania.

South AfricaTanzania
Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

All yearsSince 1990Since 2010
ValuesChange
LinearLog
Projection
South Africa vs Tanzania: Days above 35 °CDays above 35 °C in 2014: 13.2 days in South Africa and 1.7 days in Tanzania, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in South Africa, by 11.5 days, or 7.84 times that in Tanzania.
South AfricaTanzaniaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

Latest figures

days a year · CMIP6

CountryLatest10 years beforeProjected
South Africa13.2 201413.940 2100
Tanzania1.7 20141.416.1 2100

What the numbers say

  • South Africa has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts South Africa at 40 days and Tanzania at 16.1 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

YearSouth AfricaTanzania
201413.21.7
201315.21.7
201214.31.6
201111.71.9
201012.51.6
200913.21.4
200812.31.3
2007121.6
200611.91.3
200513.31.3
200413.91.4
200312.61.4
200212.61.5
200111.11.7
200011.81.1
1999111.1
199812.11.4
199711.31.2
19969.41.1
19958.30.9
19948.50.8
19937.80.7
19927.10.8
199111.10.9
199010.10.9
198911.51
19889.41.1
198711.51
198610.21.1
19858.70.9
19848.70.8
19838.60.8
198210.50.9
19819.70.8
198010.30.8
19799.41
19789.50.6
19779.30.7
197690.5
19759.30.7
19748.80.8
19739.50.6
19728.40.6
19718.70.7
19708.20.8
19698.90.7
19688.40.6
19676.90.6
19667.80.6
19657.90.6
19646.40.5
196370.6
19628.90.9
196110.50.9
19609.71
19598.90.8
19589.30.8
195710.30.6
19567.90.6
195510.30.7
19549.10.7
19537.80.7
195290.6
19518.40.6
19508.70.7
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearSouth AfricaTanzania
201514.76.8–242.50.8–5.7
201613.46.3–22.21.90.6–5.5
201715.27.7–24.62.30.5–6
2018179.7–282.50.8–5.9
201914.67.1–24.52.50.8–6.2
202015.77.4–23.53.21.3–7.5
202117.99.4–273.10.8–8
2022189.8–292.80.8–9
202318.69.9–27.13.51.1–8.4
202417.89.8–283.81.2–7.9
202516.57.5–29.63.31–8.2
202620.19.3–29.43.20.8–9.3
202719.910.5–32.83.51–7.8
202819.110.6–33.23.21–7.3
202921.412.9–33.63.51–9.7
203021.19.6–33.93.71.2–8.9
203120.79.9–35.441.4–10.1
20322110.9–34.83.61.1–8.4
203322.612.2–34.24.61.6–11.5
203424.615–35.14.81.6–11.1
203520.911.7–31.34.41.7–11.8
203621.111.9–32.24.61.5–11.5
203723.412.6–35.24.91.4–10.9
203826.216–36.74.31.5–10.5
203922.611.4–35.94.91.8–10.6
204021.510.9–35.45.41.7–12.1
204123.213.2–35.85.61.5–13.8
204225.214.3–39.65.61.9–11.7
204325.613.4–39.94.31.5–10.9
204426.113.1–41.64.91.7–13.1
204526.813.1–40.36.32.4–12.7
204625.914.5–40.86.92–15
204726.713.7–41.472.7–15.9
204829.215.6–45.47.22.8–17.2
204929.117.3–44.76.32.2–15.1
205029.815.7–48.66.92.3–17.9
205127.913.6–45.28.53.4–18.4
205231.918.3–46.87.43.3–17.2
205328.318.6–43.26.81.5–16.2
205430.717.3–50.18.33–17.8
20552917.8–488.73.3–19.2
205629.916–45.38.52.4–20.4
20573117.4–50.18.92.3–20.4
205831.115.7–469.83.2–18.7
20593216.1–49.910.33.6–21.9
206033.419.8–49.710.82.8–22.6
206132.718.1–51.110.52.9–22.7
206231.317.7–52.610.43.7–24.8
206332.317.4–50.7103.1–21.5
206431.817.7–47.610.83.9–22.7
206531.716.2–50.711.13.3–27
206634.318.4–55.311.23.5–25.4
206732.617.2–52.410.83.2–25.6
206833.819.2–54.310.23.5–26.2
206934.621.3–52.411.43.3–24.2
207032.819.3–51.111.54.2–26.5
207135.320.8–55.812.43.6–24.9
207237.820.3–54.612.54.8–25.9
20734425.6–62.113.34.6–29.5
207438.320.7–55.810.63.5–24
207534.218.7–53.111.74.4–24.4
207638.822.9–57.512.74.2–28.7
207739.124.2–60.312.34.7–26.7
207835.521.6–53.4134.8–25.9
207940.522.9–59.7144–27.6
208040.523.4–5913.34–28.4
208138.523.8–59.914.23.5–28.5
208238.622.5–58.213.94.8–27.1
208338.518.7–62.915.26.1–31.9
208439.720.6–58.416.45.2–30.7
20854021.5–65.815.96.6–31.5
208640.823–63.715.45.3–31.1
208738.324.6–58.614.94.7–29.5
208842.222.6–66.316.54.6–31.4
208941.624.2–59.115.65.7–28.3
209042.326.1–66.4165.3–32.8
209143.324.2–63.618.56.3–35.4
209243.928–61.617.26.3–35.2
209337.521.3–63.417.36.7–32.3
209441.325.4–65.919.45.1–34.5
209543.522.9–70.217.56.5–34.6
209641.224.1–66.8166.2–33.4
209737.723.7–60.916.35.5–32.4
209846.425.1–71.416.45.6–35.3
209942.525.1–64.816.94.3–33.2
21004022.2–64.516.15.8–35

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time