Tunisia vs United Arab Emirates: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 110.5 nights in Tunisia and 215.2 nights in United Arab Emirates, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in United Arab Emirates, by 104.7 nights, or 1.95 times that in Tunisia.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

TunisiaUnited Arab EmiratesCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

United Arab Emirates has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Tunisia at 143.8 nights and United Arab Emirates at 252 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Tunisia	United Arab Emirates
2014	110.5	215.2
2013	110.7	215.5
2012	110	219.6
2011	108.9	218
2010	109.6	213.7
2009	106.1	212
2008	108.6	214.8
2007	106.6	215.8
2006	107.6	215.4
2005	105.6	212.2
2004	105	212.4
2003	105.5	213.4
2002	103.8	211.6
2001	101.8	211.6
2000	104.5	212.5
1999	100.1	211.7
1998	100.1	209.4
1997	100.1	210.8
1996	99.1	207.8
1995	95.9	206.6
1994	95	206.8
1993	91.3	204.2
1992	89.9	204.3
1991	98.2	206.7
1990	98.6	208.5
1989	94.7	205.9
1988	94.2	204
1987	92.7	203.6
1986	93.7	206.2
1985	90.6	204.1
1984	91.8	202.6
1983	90	200.4
1982	93.9	203.2
1981	93.3	205.1
1980	92.5	202.8
1979	93.8	203.2
1978	90.2	201.5
1977	88.3	202.2
1976	90.5	202.3
1975	88.6	199.3
1974	88.3	202
1973	90.5	200.9
1972	91	199.4
1971	88.8	197
1970	87.3	201.3
1969	90.1	199.8
1968	88.9	202.3
1967	87.6	197.7
1966	87.5	198
1965	84.5	200.5
1964	85.7	199.6
1963	88	197.9
1962	92.7	201.1
1961	88.3	200.6
1960	90.7	204.3
1959	92.2	202.6
1958	91.8	202.7
1957	92.3	203.2
1956	90	202.6
1955	92.7	201
1954	89.9	200.2
1953	89.4	200
1952	91.8	200.2
1951	91.6	198.9
1950	89.6	201.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Tunisia	United Arab Emirates
2015	110.796.9–126.1	221.6206.4–232
2016	111.596.6–130.1	218.7207.6–229.7
2017	116.5102.4–131.8	218.3203.9–232.7
2018	115.999.4–131.9	221.4209.2–237.6
2019	116.598.5–129.5	218.7202.8–232.2
2020	113.899.9–130.1	221.7206.9–233.5
2021	117.4104.1–129.3	224.6210.5–236.3
2022	119.7103–137.3	225.3206.9–235.7
2023	118.7102.2–131.9	225209.1–236.4
2024	121107.5–132.6	223.8205.2–240
2025	120.2100–134	226.3210.1–245
2026	122.1110.1–134.5	227.7214.2–244.9
2027	119103.6–134.1	227.6208.2–241.5
2028	121.1104.5–135.4	229.9210.9–241.3
2029	121.5110.2–135.8	225.1211–240
2030	121.6104–133.4	227.6216.2–240.9
2031	121.8105.7–134.9	229.3215.4–238.4
2032	125.2111.6–138.9	225.5211.9–240.5
2033	124.7107.6–137.5	224.2211.4–241.3
2034	124.6107–141.7	230.4213–245
2035	126.3115.5–142.6	231.6214.2–246.5
2036	126112.5–141.9	230217.2–247.1
2037	126.5110–140	232.6220.2–244.5
2038	126.2111.1–139.1	233.6213.5–248.4
2039	127112.5–142.3	231.4218.1–245.6
2040	127.5112.8–144.3	232.5214–246.4
2041	125.5109.1–140.4	230.4214.9–244.7
2042	129.9114.8–145.8	232.6213.3–249.6
2043	129.1111.6–142	233.9220.3–250.1
2044	127.1112.8–141.8	236.3223.3–250
2045	128.5113.8–140.8	236217.2–252
2046	128.3109.9–144	237.5219.3–255
2047	131.2113.6–147.5	240.9222.1–253
2048	129.9114.9–142.3	241.8226.1–256.9
2049	130115.4–143.5	233.7215.7–249.4
2050	132.3117.6–147.6	240.1226.8–250.9
2051	130.1112.6–148.6	240.9227.2–254.5
2052	132.7116.8–146.7	239.2228.3–256.1
2053	132.5119.5–149.8	241.4221.7–257.4
2054	135.2118.4–148.8	241.3223.5–256.1
2055	135.1119.2–151.6	240.5223.3–259.3
2056	134.8119.6–149.5	239.3220.5–258.9
2057	131.9118.5–148.6	242.2226.6–260.2
2058	137.8122.5–156.5	238.9224.7–255.4
2059	134.9117.1–152.5	244.2226.6–262.6
2060	136.2120.5–150.1	241227.4–255.2
2061	139119.4–154	239.9227.9–253.1
2062	134.9119.1–155.9	243.2227.3–264.4
2063	138.6119.2–152.5	245.3229.1–264.6
2064	134.9121.1–152.7	241.1225.2–258.6
2065	137.1123.3–150.5	244.3225.3–260.5
2066	136.6119.2–155.1	246230.8–261.7
2067	138.9124.4–154.3	245.4223–265.8
2068	141.7124.8–159.2	245.4232.6–266.7
2069	140.3123.5–154.1	244.6227.4–262.2
2070	137123.6–155.3	248.1225.9–266.5
2071	140.5123.1–156.1	248.6231–266
2072	142.6128–154.3	247.9230.2–267
2073	139.3124.7–154.6	247.9227.6–261.8
2074	140.1123–156.5	247.5227.3–270.8
2075	139.6124.5–157.1	251.8234.3–269.8
2076	143.4125.2–158.8	247.5228.7–266.1
2077	141.3119.1–158.3	252.9233.3–269.1
2078	143127.2–155.9	249.9234.1–264.7
2079	144.7123.9–158.5	247.6227.4–265.8
2080	143.6123.6–158.7	248232–267.9
2081	139.9126.3–158.8	250.7231–267.6
2082	145.5125.9–158.1	248.9235.3–266.8
2083	143.4124.3–158.7	248.6234.2–273.1
2084	144.8129.6–159.7	248.9228.9–268.2
2085	145.3124.7–159.5	253236.8–270.7
2086	144.7129.5–162.7	253.4234.9–273.3
2087	144125.7–159.2	252.9236.9–274.1
2088	147.3127.2–165.4	252.1231.1–276.1
2089	142.7125.3–164.8	253.4234.1–271.9
2090	145.2126.3–165.1	251.9236.4–274.5
2091	144.9127.4–164.4	254.8240.7–274.4
2092	148.2126.3–161.1	254.6232.1–275.1
2093	146.9127.2–165.6	250.9233.5–268.9
2094	145.7126.8–160.4	251.6236.6–270.8
2095	145.5125.4–161.5	252.4238.2–272
2096	146.3130–169.4	254.6236–272.6
2097	144.6125.7–160.6	251.4227.8–278
2098	147129.6–161.9	257.8237.5–278.8
2099	145.8130.3–163.7	252.5233.5–276.1
2100	143.8124.8–163.8	252236.2–276

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time