Days above 35 °C in Botswana

Days above 35 °C in Botswana: 23.2 days in 1950 and 38.3 days in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014: 38.3 days; Modelled
Since 1950: +15.1 days
Projected, 2100: 107 days; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 107 days in 2100, between 68.3 days and 145.6 days (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 43.5 days in 2013, the lowest 16 days in 1963.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Botswana
2014	38.3
2013	43.5
2012	39.8
2011	35.4
2010	37.7
2009	35.5
2008	32.7
2007	33.9
2006	33.7
2005	39.5
2004	41.6
2003	38
2002	37.8
2001	34.5
2000	35.3
1999	32
1998	36.4
1997	32.1
1996	23.6
1995	25.4
1994	23.2
1993	22.1
1992	20.2
1991	28.1
1990	29.7
1989	31.5
1988	25.7
1987	31.5
1986	29.4
1985	23.5
1984	23
1983	25
1982	27.3
1981	25.4
1980	28.6
1979	23.2
1978	23.4
1977	22.9
1976	21.7
1975	25.2
1974	24.5
1973	26.8
1972	21.5
1971	22.4
1970	21.6
1969	24.8
1968	20.9
1967	19.9
1966	21.4
1965	22.5
1964	16.8
1963	16
1962	24.3
1961	24.7
1960	25.5
1959	25.4
1958	23.9
1957	30.9
1956	18.4
1955	27.8
1954	21
1953	22.1
1952	24
1951	23.1
1950	23.2

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Botswana
2015	45.924–68.9
2016	4123.2–62.5
2017	44.724.9–70.5
2018	52.728.5–77.2
2019	46.419.4–67.1
2020	50.427.7–79.8
2021	52.332.1–73.8
2022	53.732.7–85.6
2023	59.837.2–79.7
2024	5234–77.8
2025	50.323.2–78.4
2026	61.738.6–83.7
2027	63.734.1–91.1
2028	58.733.2–96.6
2029	62.839.4–91.1
2030	62.236.5–92.7
2031	61.830.3–98.4
2032	65.539.2–93.7
2033	71.141–96.9
2034	74.245–109.7
2035	6038.6–90.8
2036	60.736.2–92.9
2037	66.238.6–102.1
2038	73.148–103.5
2039	6435.9–94.7
2040	64.435–89.6
2041	73.148.6–98.8
2042	73.648.3–113.2
2043	74.345.6–103.3
2044	76.745.1–108.6
2045	74.637.7–109.7
2046	78.747.2–107.7
2047	77.744.6–112.8
2048	83.447.8–117
2049	85.652.7–116.3
2050	86.244.6–124.2
2051	79.243.5–118.7
2052	92.152.6–124.2
2053	77.553.5–122.7
2054	93.451.2–148.9
2055	82.354–132.3
2056	84.144.4–119.8
2057	89.554.8–133.7
2058	83.352.7–116.4
2059	101.550–136.6
2060	90.357.1–138.5
2061	95.750.4–132.2
2062	88.757.6–129.2
2063	86.255.7–130.4
2064	89.157.6–122.2
2065	87.557.1–144.9
2066	95.560.4–137.4
2067	90.357.1–137
2068	90.857.9–129.5
2069	94.661.5–134
2070	87.755.2–137.4
2071	91.767.1–138.2
2072	103.668.2–135.6
2073	11076.5–157.1
2074	100.662.1–158.4
2075	86.655.1–131.4
2076	104.962.2–146.8
2077	10171.7–142.1
2078	93.966.3–135.4
2079	110.862.4–149.3
2080	108.968–142.6
2081	101.972.7–148.8
2082	10573–146.7
2083	101.550.8–148.2
2084	104.161.3–141.6
2085	113.771.5–160.2
2086	106.476.7–149
2087	100.177.1–150
2088	112.767.9–156.2
2089	113.483.6–150.3
2090	112.882.1–155.1
2091	110.668.9–152.6
2092	113.380.4–150.3
2093	106.170–147.3
2094	112.782.4–157.8
2095	120.373.8–163.6
2096	109.778.4–150.8
2097	100.370–148.5
2098	113.669.8–173
2099	109.570.6–170.3
2100	10768.3–145.6

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Days above 35 °C in Botswana

What the numbers say

Every year

Good to know

Botswana in numbers

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