Brazil

Tropical nights in Brazil

Tropical nights in Brazil: 254.4 nights in 1950 and 282 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
282 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+27.6 nights
Projected, 2100
317.3 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in BrazilTropical nights in Brazil: 254.4 nights in 1950 and 282 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 317.3 nights in 2100, between 298.4 nights and 330.3 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 317.3 nights in 2100, between 298.4 nights and 330.3 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 283.6 nights in 2012, the lowest 241.9 nights in 1963.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearBrazil
2014282
2013282.5
2012283.6
2011281.8
2010280.2
2009279.2
2008277.8
2007275.9
2006275.4
2005275.8
2004278.5
2003276.7
2002276.2
2001277.7
2000273.3
1999271
1998273.6
1997270.9
1996264.7
1995263.8
1994263.6
1993258.3
1992252.8
1991269.7
1990272.5
1989267.1
1988264.7
1987265.9
1986265.7
1985260.6
1984261.1
1983255.9
1982264.8
1981265.3
1980262
1979261.2
1978259.7
1977261.8
1976258.4
1975252.4
1974258.7
1973261
1972258.1
1971256.5
1970254.5
1969255.1
1968254.9
1967250.3
1966254.5
1965250.8
1964246.2
1963241.9
1962257.9
1961258.2
1960260.3
1959255.7
1958258.1
1957256.6
1956251.2
1955257.2
1954258
1953255.2
1952255.8
1951256.3
1950254.4
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearBrazil
2015284257.6–299.5
2016281.5261.4–296.3
2017284.1263.2–297.8
2018283.4263.1–298.8
2019283.7262.9–302.4
2020286.3264.2–303.6
2021287.9266.9–302.3
2022289.6270.7–303.9
2023287.3270.5–303
2024291.5268.2–304.6
2025289.6269.1–304.8
2026289.7266.2–305.1
2027289.5269.1–303.7
2028291.2271.9–306
2029295.5276.3–309.6
2030292.2269.1–306.9
2031295.3274–308.9
2032296.8280.1–310.9
2033295.4273.3–308.5
2034294.3273.5–311.8
2035295.2274.4–310.9
2036295.1278.2–307.8
2037299.9283.7–311.3
2038299.6283.5–312.1
2039296.9279.9–311
2040298.5279.4–311.9
2041301.4282.2–314.1
2042300.6277.8–314.7
2043298.2279.8–312.7
2044300.3281.2–315.6
2045299.9279.7–313.1
2046302.8285.8–316.6
2047303.3285–316.4
2048304.4287.3–317.3
2049305.4288.4–318.5
2050303.9283.9–316.2
2051305.7287.5–317.5
2052305.9290.6–318.8
2053305.3285.9–317.5
2054306.1288.4–319.3
2055306.4290.8–319.8
2056306.7288.3–321.1
2057306.4287.6–321.1
2058309291–321.4
2059310.4290.7–322.8
2060311.6294.4–325.1
2061307.5290.3–321.2
2062309291.5–322.8
2063310.8290.6–322.8
2064309.6290.2–321.1
2065311.1291.6–323.1
2066312.2294.2–324.2
2067310.9291.5–323.3
2068311.5293–324.5
2069310.6292.2–323.6
2070312.7293–325.3
2071311.5292.1–323.9
2072313.3297.8–325.5
2073313.8298.6–327.2
2074311.4292.4–323.5
2075310.9291.5–324.5
2076314.2294.4–327.7
2077315.1295.6–326.8
2078314.9296.3–327.1
2079313292.8–326.8
2080311.9294.7–325.4
2081313.5295.5–325.6
2082315296.8–327.1
2083315.7295.3–328.7
2084316.6298.5–327.9
2085317.4299.3–329.8
2086315.8294–328
2087316.5297.9–328.5
2088315.6297.3–328.8
2089315296.6–327.9
2090316298.9–330.3
2091317298.1–330.6
2092317.6298.7–330.7
2093316.3297.5–328.6
2094316.4300.2–327.5
2095319299.8–330.7
2096317.7299.5–330.8
2097316.9297.8–329
2098318.6299.9–331.9
2099318.1300–330.2
2100317.3298.4–330.3

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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