Chile

Tropical nights in Chile

Tropical nights in Chile: 0 nights in 1950 and 0.1 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
0.1 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+0.1 nights
Projected, 2100
1 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in ChileTropical nights in Chile: 0 nights in 1950 and 0.1 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 1 nights in 2100, between 0.4 nights and 3.2 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 1 nights in 2100, between 0.4 nights and 3.2 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 0.1 nights in 2010, the lowest 0 nights in 1950.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearChile
20140.1
20130.1
20120.1
20110
20100.1
20090.1
20080.1
20070
20060
20050.1
20040
20030.1
20020.1
20010.1
20000
19990
19980.1
19970
19960
19950
19940
19930
19920
19910
19900
19890
19880
19870
19860
19850
19840
19830
19820
19810
19800
19790
19780
19770
19760
19750
19740
19730
19720
19710
19700
19690
19680
19670
19660
19650
19640
19630
19620
19610
19600
19590
19580
19570
19560
19550
19540
19530
19520
19510
19500
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearChile
20150.10–0.2
20160.10–0.2
20170.10–0.3
20180.10–0.3
20190.10–0.3
20200.10–0.3
20210.10–0.3
20220.20.1–0.4
20230.10.1–0.3
20240.10.1–0.3
20250.20–0.4
20260.20–0.5
20270.20.1–0.4
20280.20.1–0.4
20290.20.1–0.5
20300.10.1–0.4
20310.20.1–0.6
20320.20.1–0.6
20330.20.1–0.4
20340.20.1–0.5
20350.20.1–0.5
20360.20.1–0.5
20370.30.1–0.7
20380.30.1–0.6
20390.20.1–0.6
20400.30.1–0.6
20410.30.1–0.7
20420.30.1–0.8
20430.30.1–0.7
20440.30.1–0.7
20450.30.2–0.7
20460.40.2–0.9
20470.40.2–0.8
20480.40.2–1
20490.40.2–0.9
20500.40.2–0.9
20510.40.2–1
20520.40.2–1
20530.40.2–1
20540.40.2–1.2
20550.40.2–1.4
20560.40.2–1.1
20570.50.2–1.2
20580.40.2–1.6
20590.50.3–1.5
20600.50.3–1.3
20610.50.2–1.3
20620.40.2–1.4
20630.60.2–1.6
20640.50.3–1.3
20650.60.3–1.6
20660.60.3–1.5
20670.50.2–1.6
20680.60.3–1.6
20690.70.3–2
20700.60.3–1.7
20710.70.3–2
20720.70.3–1.7
20730.80.4–2.3
20740.70.3–1.8
20750.60.3–1.7
20760.70.3–1.9
20770.70.3–2.2
20780.80.3–2.1
20790.70.3–1.9
20800.80.3–2
20810.80.3–2.1
20820.70.3–1.9
20830.80.4–2.5
20840.90.4–2.4
208510.4–2.7
20860.90.4–2.6
20870.90.4–2.5
20880.90.4–2.9
20890.80.4–2.4
20900.90.4–2.5
209110.4–2.9
20921.10.5–2.9
209310.4–3.6
209410.4–2.8
20951.10.4–3.2
209610.4–3.4
209710.4–2.5
209810.5–3.1
20991.10.4–3.2
210010.4–3.2

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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