Chile

Temperature in Chile

Temperature in Chile: 7.8 °C in 1950 and 9.4 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations.

Latest, 2025
9.4 °C
Since 1950
+1.6 °C
Rank, 2025
204 of 233
counting from the highest
Projected, 2100
11.1 °C
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

Temperature in ChileTemperature in Chile: 7.8 °C in 1950 and 9.4 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 11.1 °C in 2100, between 10.3 °C and 12 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
Observed, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 11.1 °C in 2100, between 10.3 °C and 12 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 9.7 °C in 2016, the lowest 7.5 °C in 1954.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearObserved, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model median
20259.49.7
20249.39.7
20239.59.6
20228.79.6
20219.49.6
20209.49.6
20199.49.5
20189.19.5
20179.29.4
20169.79.4
20159.49.4
201499.3
20139.29.3
20129.19.3
20118.89.3
20108.69.2
20098.99.2
200899.2
20078.59.2
20069.29.2
20058.89.1
20049.39.1
20039.29.2
20028.59.1
20018.79.1
20008.49
19998.99
19989.59
199799
19968.78.9
19958.88.8
19949.18.8
19938.88.7
19928.38.8
19918.58.9
19908.79
19898.79
19888.68.9
19878.98.9
19868.58.9
19858.88.9
19848.28.8
19838.98.8
19828.98.9
19818.88.9
19808.78.8
197998.8
197898.8
19778.98.8
197688.7
19758.18.7
19748.28.8
19738.48.7
19728.48.7
197188.7
19708.48.7
19698.68.7
19688.78.7
19678.28.7
19668.38.7
19658.48.7
19648.48.5
19638.58.5
19628.98.7
19618.78.8
19608.88.7
19598.38.7
19588.68.8
19578.48.7
19567.98.7
19557.68.7
19547.58.7
19538.28.7
19528.48.8
19518.18.7
19507.88.8
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearObserved, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–9.89.2–10.2
2027–9.89.2–10.2
2028–9.89.3–10.3
2029–9.89.2–10.3
2030–9.89.3–10.3
2031–9.99.4–10.4
2032–9.89.4–10.5
2033–9.89.4–10.4
2034–9.89.3–10.4
2035–9.89.4–10.4
2036–109.5–10.4
2037–109.5–10.5
2038–10.19.6–10.5
2039–109.4–10.6
2040–10.19.6–10.7
2041–10.19.5–10.7
2042–109.5–10.7
2043–109.5–10.7
2044–10.19.6–10.8
2045–10.29.7–10.8
2046–10.39.7–11
2047–10.39.7–10.9
2048–10.39.8–11
2049–10.39.7–10.9
2050–10.39.8–10.9
2051–10.39.8–10.9
2052–10.49.9–11
2053–10.39.8–11
2054–10.49.8–11.2
2055–10.59.8–11.2
2056–10.59.8–11.1
2057–10.59.9–11.2
2058–10.59.9–11.2
2059–10.610–11.3
2060–10.610–11.3
2061–10.59.9–11.4
2062–10.69.9–11.3
2063–10.69.9–11.4
2064–10.69.9–11.4
2065–10.79.9–11.3
2066–10.69.9–11.4
2067–10.710–11.5
2068–10.810–11.5
2069–10.810–11.5
2070–10.69.9–11.5
2071–10.910.2–11.5
2072–10.910.1–11.6
2073–10.910.2–11.6
2074–10.910.2–11.7
2075–10.810.1–11.6
2076–10.810.2–11.6
2077–10.910.1–11.6
2078–10.910.1–11.6
2079–10.910.2–11.6
2080–1110.2–11.8
2081–10.910.1–11.8
2082–10.910.2–11.7
2083–10.910.3–11.8
2084–10.910.2–11.8
2085–1110.4–11.9
2086–11.110.2–11.9
2087–10.910.2–11.9
2088–1110.3–12.1
2089–1110.2–12
2090–1110.3–11.9
2091–11.110.4–11.9
2092–11.110.4–12
2093–11.110.3–12.1
2094–11.110.3–11.9
2095–11.110.4–12
2096–1110.3–12.1
2097–1110.2–12
2098–11.110.3–12.1
2099–11.110.4–12.1
2100–11.110.3–12

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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