Jamaica

Tropical nights in Jamaica

Tropical nights in Jamaica: 330.9 nights in 1950 and 345.6 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
345.6 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+14.7 nights
Projected, 2100
361.3 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in JamaicaTropical nights in Jamaica: 330.9 nights in 1950 and 345.6 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 361.3 nights in 2100, between 352.2 nights and 364.1 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 361.3 nights in 2100, between 352.2 nights and 364.1 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 347.4 nights in 2013, the lowest 325 nights in 1970.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearJamaica
2014345.6
2013347.4
2012346.3
2011346.8
2010347.1
2009345.3
2008342.3
2007342.9
2006342.8
2005343.9
2004342.8
2003341
2002343.4
2001341.4
2000342.1
1999339.8
1998339.7
1997338.6
1996337.3
1995335.5
1994336.1
1993333.2
1992333.3
1991337.4
1990337.9
1989336.3
1988336
1987335.1
1986333.4
1985333.6
1984331.5
1983332.3
1982333.3
1981335.5
1980333.8
1979332.4
1978332.7
1977329.9
1976331.4
1975328.7
1974331.2
1973330.8
1972329.8
1971329.3
1970325
1969327.1
1968329.9
1967330.6
1966330.1
1965327.4
1964329.3
1963328.2
1962332.6
1961330.7
1960330.8
1959333.2
1958331.2
1957330.6
1956333.1
1955332.7
1954329.7
1953330.2
1952329.7
1951332.7
1950330.9
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearJamaica
2015346334.1–356.3
2016348.3334.9–355.9
2017347.9335.6–354.9
2018348.8337.5–356.5
2019349.1335.3–356.5
2020349.7337.3–356.1
2021350.3333.7–357.5
2022350.3340–356.5
2023351.4342.1–358.8
2024350.1338.2–359.1
2025350.4339.1–358.2
2026351.2339.4–359
2027355.4340.7–360.5
2028353.3341.8–361.6
2029351.9340.5–358.7
2030353.3338.1–360.6
2031353.9343.4–359.3
2032353.4342.4–360.7
2033352.7341.7–359.7
2034354.2343–360.4
2035353.7344.8–360.3
2036353.8342.1–360.1
2037356.7344–360.4
2038356344.7–360.5
2039354.4343.8–361.3
2040355346.8–361.8
2041355.5346.2–360.5
2042355.6343.2–360.7
2043355.4344.5–362.2
2044356.5345.5–361.8
2045357.9346.4–362.8
2046356.8345.5–361.6
2047356.4347.7–362.5
2048356.9346.5–362.7
2049358.6347.3–362
2050358.2348.2–362.5
2051357.2346.4–361.7
2052356.8345.3–363.2
2053358.9347.6–362.5
2054358343.8–362
2055358.5347.1–362.7
2056358.5347.4–363.1
2057358.9347.8–362.7
2058358.9349–363.1
2059358.5349.4–362.7
2060359.1349.6–363.6
2061359.1351.7–362.9
2062357.9349.2–362.9
2063359.8349.1–363.3
2064359.5348.9–363.7
2065358.8350–363.1
2066360.2348.1–363.4
2067360350.9–363.4
2068360.5352–364.9
2069360349.2–363.7
2070360.2351.2–364.1
2071361351.7–363.8
2072360.1349.7–364.7
2073360.7350.2–363.9
2074360.5349.7–363.9
2075360349.6–363.5
2076360.8351.6–364.9
2077360.2349.7–363.8
2078361.2353.1–363.9
2079360.2353.1–363.6
2080360.8352.9–365
2081360.3349.1–363.7
2082360.6353.1–364.2
2083360349.6–363.7
2084361.2352.9–364.5
2085360352.5–364.1
2086359.4349.8–364.1
2087361.5353–364.4
2088361.7353.3–364.9
2089361.9352.8–364.1
2090361.8354.2–364.1
2091360.8351.9–364.7
2092361.9352.6–365.1
2093361.7351.7–364.3
2094361.1350.7–363.9
2095361.5353.5–364.3
2096361.1351.9–365
2097362.2354–364.3
2098361.8352.5–364.3
2099361.3352.1–364.7
2100361.3352.2–364.1

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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