Norfolk Island
Temperature in Norfolk Island
Temperature in Norfolk Island: 20.1 °C in 1950 and 20.8 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations.
- Latest, 2025
- 20.8 °C
- Since 1950
- +0.6 °C
- Rank, 2025
- 142 of 233
- counting from the highest
- Projected, 2100
- 21.6 °C
- CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
°C · ERA5
What the numbers say
- The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 21.6 °C in 2100, between 21 °C and 22.2 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
- The highest was 20.8 °C in 1998, the lowest 19.1 °C in 1965.
Every year
°C · ERA5
| Year | Observed, ERA5 | CMIP6 historical run, model median |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20.8 | 20.5 |
| 2024 | 20.6 | 20.4 |
| 2023 | 19.9 | 20.4 |
| 2022 | 20.7 | 20.3 |
| 2021 | 20.3 | 20.3 |
| 2020 | 20.3 | 20.3 |
| 2019 | 20.1 | 20.3 |
| 2018 | 20.2 | 20.3 |
| 2017 | 20.3 | 20.1 |
| 2016 | 20.8 | 20.3 |
| 2015 | 20.2 | 20.2 |
| 2014 | 19.8 | 20.2 |
| 2013 | 19.8 | 20.2 |
| 2012 | 19.8 | 20.1 |
| 2011 | 20.2 | 20 |
| 2010 | 20.1 | 20 |
| 2009 | 19.9 | 20.1 |
| 2008 | 19.8 | 20.1 |
| 2007 | 20 | 20 |
| 2006 | 19.6 | 19.9 |
| 2005 | 20 | 20.1 |
| 2004 | 19.9 | 20.1 |
| 2003 | 19.7 | 20 |
| 2002 | 19.8 | 19.9 |
| 2001 | 20.1 | 20 |
| 2000 | 19.6 | 20 |
| 1999 | 20.2 | 20 |
| 1998 | 20.8 | 19.9 |
| 1997 | 19.5 | 19.8 |
| 1996 | 20.1 | 19.8 |
| 1995 | 19.9 | 19.7 |
| 1994 | 19.3 | 19.8 |
| 1993 | 19.3 | 19.5 |
| 1992 | 19.4 | 19.6 |
| 1991 | 19.4 | 19.8 |
| 1990 | 20.1 | 19.8 |
| 1989 | 19.9 | 19.8 |
| 1988 | 20.3 | 19.8 |
| 1987 | 19.5 | 19.8 |
| 1986 | 19.8 | 19.8 |
| 1985 | 19.6 | 19.7 |
| 1984 | 19.6 | 19.8 |
| 1983 | 19.7 | 19.6 |
| 1982 | 19.5 | 19.8 |
| 1981 | 19.8 | 19.6 |
| 1980 | 19.5 | 19.7 |
| 1979 | 19.6 | 19.6 |
| 1978 | 19.6 | 19.6 |
| 1977 | 19.2 | 19.6 |
| 1976 | 19.6 | 19.6 |
| 1975 | 20.2 | 19.6 |
| 1974 | 19.9 | 19.6 |
| 1973 | 20.2 | 19.7 |
| 1972 | 19.6 | 19.6 |
| 1971 | 20.1 | 19.5 |
| 1970 | 20.1 | 19.6 |
| 1969 | 19.6 | 19.6 |
| 1968 | 19.7 | 19.6 |
| 1967 | 19.9 | 19.6 |
| 1966 | 19.5 | 19.5 |
| 1965 | 19.1 | 19.4 |
| 1964 | 19.8 | 19.3 |
| 1963 | 19.7 | 19.3 |
| 1962 | 20 | 19.5 |
| 1961 | 19.8 | 19.6 |
| 1960 | 19.7 | 19.5 |
| 1959 | 19.8 | 19.6 |
| 1958 | 20 | 19.8 |
| 1957 | 19.5 | 19.5 |
| 1956 | 20 | 19.6 |
| 1955 | 20.3 | 19.6 |
| 1954 | 19.7 | 19.5 |
| 1953 | 19.7 | 19.5 |
| 1952 | 19.8 | 19.4 |
| 1951 | 19.6 | 19.5 |
| 1950 | 20.1 | 19.6 |
- 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
| Year | Observed, ERA5 | CMIP6 historical run, model median |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | – | 20.520–20.9 |
| 2027 | – | 20.520–20.9 |
| 2028 | – | 20.620–20.8 |
| 2029 | – | 20.520.1–20.9 |
| 2030 | – | 20.620.2–20.8 |
| 2031 | – | 20.420.2–20.9 |
| 2032 | – | 20.520.2–21.1 |
| 2033 | – | 20.620.4–21.1 |
| 2034 | – | 20.620.3–20.9 |
| 2035 | – | 20.620.4–21.2 |
| 2036 | – | 20.720.1–21.2 |
| 2037 | – | 20.620.1–21 |
| 2038 | – | 20.720.3–21.2 |
| 2039 | – | 20.720.3–21.1 |
| 2040 | – | 20.720.2–21.2 |
| 2041 | – | 20.920.2–21.4 |
| 2042 | – | 20.720.4–21.2 |
| 2043 | – | 20.720.2–21.2 |
| 2044 | – | 20.920.5–21.3 |
| 2045 | – | 20.820.4–21.2 |
| 2046 | – | 20.920.3–21.4 |
| 2047 | – | 20.920.3–21.4 |
| 2048 | – | 2120.4–21.4 |
| 2049 | – | 20.920.5–21.4 |
| 2050 | – | 2120.6–21.6 |
| 2051 | – | 2120.4–21.4 |
| 2052 | – | 20.920.6–21.5 |
| 2053 | – | 20.920.4–21.6 |
| 2054 | – | 2120.3–21.7 |
| 2055 | – | 21.120.5–21.6 |
| 2056 | – | 21.120.4–21.7 |
| 2057 | – | 21.220.4–21.7 |
| 2058 | – | 21.120.6–21.7 |
| 2059 | – | 21.120.4–21.7 |
| 2060 | – | 21.220.8–21.7 |
| 2061 | – | 21.220.7–21.7 |
| 2062 | – | 21.120.6–21.7 |
| 2063 | – | 21.220.6–22 |
| 2064 | – | 21.220.6–22 |
| 2065 | – | 21.220.6–22 |
| 2066 | – | 21.420.6–21.9 |
| 2067 | – | 21.120.7–21.9 |
| 2068 | – | 21.320.5–22.1 |
| 2069 | – | 21.420.7–22.1 |
| 2070 | – | 21.220.8–21.9 |
| 2071 | – | 21.320.6–21.9 |
| 2072 | – | 21.320.6–22 |
| 2073 | – | 21.420.5–21.9 |
| 2074 | – | 21.520.7–22.1 |
| 2075 | – | 21.320.8–22.1 |
| 2076 | – | 21.420.8–22 |
| 2077 | – | 21.421–22 |
| 2078 | – | 21.521–22.1 |
| 2079 | – | 21.320.8–22.2 |
| 2080 | – | 21.520.6–22.1 |
| 2081 | – | 21.620.8–22.2 |
| 2082 | – | 21.520.8–22.1 |
| 2083 | – | 21.621–22.2 |
| 2084 | – | 21.520.6–22.2 |
| 2085 | – | 21.720.8–22.2 |
| 2086 | – | 21.720.8–22.2 |
| 2087 | – | 21.620.8–22.4 |
| 2088 | – | 21.620.7–22.4 |
| 2089 | – | 21.520.8–22.2 |
| 2090 | – | 21.620.8–22.3 |
| 2091 | – | 21.720.8–22.3 |
| 2092 | – | 21.721–22.2 |
| 2093 | – | 21.620.9–22.4 |
| 2094 | – | 21.620.9–22.6 |
| 2095 | – | 21.620.8–22.4 |
| 2096 | – | 21.821–22.3 |
| 2097 | – | 21.520.7–22.3 |
| 2098 | – | 21.820.8–22.4 |
| 2099 | – | 21.820.9–22.4 |
| 2100 | – | 21.621–22.2 |
Good to know
- The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
- Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
- The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
- Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
- Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.
How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time