Norfolk Island
Tropical nights in Norfolk Island
Tropical nights in Norfolk Island: 130.9 nights in 1950 and 162 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.
- Latest, 2014
- 162 nights
- Modelled
- Since 1950
- +31.1 nights
- Projected, 2100
- 228 nights
- CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
nights a year · CMIP6
What the numbers say
- The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 228 nights in 2100, between 197.9 nights and 249 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
- The highest was 162 nights in 2004, the lowest 118 nights in 1964.
Every year
nights a year · CMIP6
| Year | Norfolk Island |
|---|---|
| 2014 | 162 |
| 2013 | 159 |
| 2012 | 161 |
| 2011 | 154 |
| 2010 | 155 |
| 2009 | 155 |
| 2008 | 156 |
| 2007 | 153.9 |
| 2006 | 151.9 |
| 2005 | 159 |
| 2004 | 162 |
| 2003 | 156.9 |
| 2002 | 149.9 |
| 2001 | 155 |
| 2000 | 153.9 |
| 1999 | 146 |
| 1998 | 151 |
| 1997 | 143 |
| 1996 | 141 |
| 1995 | 143.9 |
| 1994 | 147 |
| 1993 | 135 |
| 1992 | 135 |
| 1991 | 143 |
| 1990 | 145 |
| 1989 | 146 |
| 1988 | 144 |
| 1987 | 141 |
| 1986 | 145.9 |
| 1985 | 141 |
| 1984 | 144 |
| 1983 | 139 |
| 1982 | 146.9 |
| 1981 | 139.9 |
| 1980 | 133 |
| 1979 | 130 |
| 1978 | 138 |
| 1977 | 133 |
| 1976 | 137 |
| 1975 | 138 |
| 1974 | 136 |
| 1973 | 137.9 |
| 1972 | 138.9 |
| 1971 | 128 |
| 1970 | 136 |
| 1969 | 132.9 |
| 1968 | 132.9 |
| 1967 | 133.9 |
| 1966 | 130.9 |
| 1965 | 120.9 |
| 1964 | 118 |
| 1963 | 122 |
| 1962 | 127 |
| 1961 | 136 |
| 1960 | 127 |
| 1959 | 137 |
| 1958 | 145 |
| 1957 | 132.9 |
| 1956 | 130.9 |
| 1955 | 136 |
| 1954 | 128.9 |
| 1953 | 123 |
| 1952 | 127 |
| 1951 | 130 |
| 1950 | 130.9 |
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
| Year | Norfolk Island |
|---|---|
| 2015 | 161142–186.9 |
| 2016 | 162.9143–182.9 |
| 2017 | 156.9140–178.9 |
| 2018 | 158133–190 |
| 2019 | 168147.9–187.9 |
| 2020 | 164135–187.9 |
| 2021 | 163.9143.9–187 |
| 2022 | 163.9143–187.9 |
| 2023 | 168153–193.9 |
| 2024 | 174150–188 |
| 2025 | 176.9152–194.9 |
| 2026 | 179.9145.9–200 |
| 2027 | 168136.9–192 |
| 2028 | 173.9155.9–184 |
| 2029 | 180155–194 |
| 2030 | 177.9152–192.9 |
| 2031 | 176160–197 |
| 2032 | 179158–199.9 |
| 2033 | 180.9168.9–199 |
| 2034 | 180159–194.9 |
| 2035 | 182.9159–214 |
| 2036 | 180154–207.9 |
| 2037 | 182157.9–199 |
| 2038 | 184159–196 |
| 2039 | 185.9160.9–207 |
| 2040 | 183.9159–204 |
| 2041 | 192157–210.9 |
| 2042 | 187163–204 |
| 2043 | 190155–204 |
| 2044 | 185174.9–206.9 |
| 2045 | 189171–211 |
| 2046 | 192169.9–214 |
| 2047 | 192167–212 |
| 2048 | 189172–220 |
| 2049 | 193170.9–214.9 |
| 2050 | 191.9175–222 |
| 2051 | 196169–215 |
| 2052 | 194171.9–212.9 |
| 2053 | 194168–224 |
| 2054 | 198166–226.9 |
| 2055 | 200177–224 |
| 2056 | 204.9168–231 |
| 2057 | 202.9181.9–222 |
| 2058 | 202174.9–230.9 |
| 2059 | 198168–232.9 |
| 2060 | 205.9181.9–237 |
| 2061 | 204174.9–218.9 |
| 2062 | 197176.9–231.9 |
| 2063 | 204173–241 |
| 2064 | 213.9178–241.9 |
| 2065 | 200.9181.9–240.9 |
| 2066 | 212.9182–237 |
| 2067 | 205.9182.9–239.9 |
| 2068 | 207.9171–255.9 |
| 2069 | 209.9179–241.9 |
| 2070 | 208.9186–230 |
| 2071 | 207.9181–243.9 |
| 2072 | 208181.9–232 |
| 2073 | 211172–247.9 |
| 2074 | 218191–244.9 |
| 2075 | 218.9188.9–237.9 |
| 2076 | 209182–237.9 |
| 2077 | 218.9188–246.9 |
| 2078 | 220193.9–241.9 |
| 2079 | 217184.9–245.9 |
| 2080 | 213184–247.9 |
| 2081 | 215.9182.9–240.9 |
| 2082 | 211194.9–243 |
| 2083 | 223.9186–248.9 |
| 2084 | 211180.9–247.9 |
| 2085 | 225.9186–255.9 |
| 2086 | 219187–247.9 |
| 2087 | 225187–253.9 |
| 2088 | 224180–258.9 |
| 2089 | 216192.9–252.9 |
| 2090 | 216.9182.9–250 |
| 2091 | 225.9187–256.9 |
| 2092 | 226.9191–254.9 |
| 2093 | 225.9194.9–260.9 |
| 2094 | 226.9191.9–262 |
| 2095 | 230187.9–255 |
| 2096 | 233.9184–274 |
| 2097 | 225.9188–254.9 |
| 2098 | 226.9180–261.9 |
| 2099 | 230193.9–254 |
| 2100 | 228197.9–249 |
Good to know
- Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
- Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
- The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
- Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time