Tanzania

Tropical nights in Tanzania

Tropical nights in Tanzania: 80.7 nights in 1950 and 106.3 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
106.3 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+25.6 nights
Projected, 2100
208 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in TanzaniaTropical nights in Tanzania: 80.7 nights in 1950 and 106.3 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 208 nights in 2100, between 158.6 nights and 258.6 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 208 nights in 2100, between 158.6 nights and 258.6 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 109 nights in 2011, the lowest 73.1 nights in 1963.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearTanzania
2014106.3
2013105.5
2012108.4
2011109
2010103.9
2009101.1
2008100.3
200799.5
2006100.4
200598.7
2004100.4
200399.6
200298.4
2001101.5
200094.9
199994.2
199896.8
199793.5
199689.6
199588.5
199485.4
199381.2
199280.1
199189.6
199091.1
198989.1
198887.6
198788.5
198689.4
198583
198483.1
198382.1
198284.8
198188
198085
197985.5
197882.9
197784.1
197681
197580.8
197482.2
197383.6
197281.4
197180.7
197081.8
196979.5
196879.1
196777.5
196678.1
196578
196473.8
196373.1
196281.1
196182.6
196083.9
195981.4
195882.1
195780.9
195680
195581.6
195481.4
195380.6
195281.4
195182.1
195080.7
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearTanzania
2015114.895.2–137.4
2016108.391.6–125.6
2017114.893.6–137.8
2018116.497.4–137.1
2019113.495.2–133.2
2020119.396.2–143.5
2021119.5100.9–147.1
2022124.4105.3–147.4
2023122.1102.1–147.8
2024126.2100–150.1
2025124.6100.9–154
2026126.999.1–155.6
2027128102.9–147.7
2028129.9106.4–152.1
2029134.1111–156.5
2030129.4106.4–151.1
2031136.4115.9–158.4
2032135.1114–166.8
2033135.2110.9–161.9
2034134.7112.5–166.3
2035140.2114.6–165
2036137.8113.3–165.5
2037142.9121.5–168.9
2038147.9124.3–169.3
2039144.3117.6–171.3
2040140.5117–178
2041149.1121.7–175.6
2042146.3120.5–185.3
2043144.6117–173
2044147.7121.2–175.8
2045150.1125.2–183.4
2046161.5128.6–192.2
2047160.2129.7–194.4
2048158.8132.7–193.1
2049157.6131.1–196
2050159.7127.8–192
2051163.2135.5–197.8
2052161.9136.2–199.1
2053160.6127.5–197.7
2054163.2131.5–200.2
2055167.4137–208.3
2056166.4130.8–209.7
2057168134.6–208.3
2058168.7134.9–210.3
2059174.7144.9–219.5
2060181.7138.1–219.8
2061171.8135.5–218.1
2062177.5139.9–224
2063181.4140.1–213.8
2064185.3140.1–215.2
2065183.5141.1–221.8
2066181.9146.3–219.3
2067178.8138.8–229.2
2068186144.2–228.4
2069183.7141.7–225.3
2070180.7140.4–228.2
2071184.9146.9–235.2
2072191.3155–226.1
2073191.6152.4–235.6
2074183.3149.7–231.7
2075183.8144.8–233
2076191.1150.9–233.2
2077191.3152.6–238.2
2078189156.6–233.8
2079190.5147–237.3
2080197.3150.7–241.2
2081195.6153.4–237.4
2082194.5157.3–237.3
2083193.2151–249.8
2084201.1152.2–246.7
2085204.2162.3–252.3
2086195156–248.7
2087196.7160.8–244.5
2088208.4154.7–246.9
2089201.3158.6–248.2
2090197.9160.7–253.6
2091210161.6–256
2092205.8158.3–253.6
2093207.2161.2–251.9
2094207.9161.3–250.6
2095214.2166.4–258.5
2096205.3159.8–257.4
2097206.6158.4–256.8
2098209.1161–258.3
2099208.5160.1–256
2100208158.6–258.6

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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