イスラエルとヨルダンの熱帯夜
2014 年の熱帯夜は、イスラエルが 97.9 夜、ヨルダンが 74.7 夜 です（CMIP6 気候モデルの中央値による計算）。 2014 年の値はイスラエルのほうが 23.3 夜 高く、ヨルダンの 1.31 倍でした。
イスラエルヨルダン
地図で推移を見る最新の数値
年間夜数 · CMIP6
| 国 | 最新 | 10年前 | 予測値 |
|---|---|---|---|
| イスラエル | 97.9 2014 | 90.7 | 149.4 2100 |
| ヨルダン | 74.7 2014 | 67.4 | 131.7 2100 |
数字からわかること
- 1950 年以降、両国ともデータのあるすべての年でイスラエルのほうが高くなっています。
- CMIP6 モデル中央値（SSP2-4.5、中道）では、2100 年にイスラエルが 149.4 夜、ヨルダンが 131.7 夜 とされています。
年ごとの値
年間夜数 · CMIP6
| 年 | イスラエル | ヨルダン |
|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 97.9 | 74.7 |
| 2013 | 98 | 72.2 |
| 2012 | 96.3 | 71.9 |
| 2011 | 96.1 | 71.4 |
| 2010 | 95.5 | 71.4 |
| 2009 | 92.5 | 66.9 |
| 2008 | 94.1 | 69.4 |
| 2007 | 92.7 | 64.6 |
| 2006 | 92 | 67.7 |
| 2005 | 92.3 | 66.2 |
| 2004 | 90.7 | 67.4 |
| 2003 | 93.9 | 68.2 |
| 2002 | 89.5 | 63 |
| 2001 | 91 | 68.3 |
| 2000 | 89.5 | 63.8 |
| 1999 | 86.2 | 62.2 |
| 1998 | 84.8 | 61.8 |
| 1997 | 84.2 | 59.2 |
| 1996 | 83.7 | 56.6 |
| 1995 | 79.3 | 54.1 |
| 1994 | 80.1 | 54.6 |
| 1993 | 71.6 | 45.2 |
| 1992 | 74.9 | 48.3 |
| 1991 | 78.4 | 52.3 |
| 1990 | 80.2 | 57.7 |
| 1989 | 76.9 | 53.4 |
| 1988 | 76.5 | 50.5 |
| 1987 | 75.1 | 49.5 |
| 1986 | 78.3 | 52 |
| 1985 | 74 | 47.1 |
| 1984 | 69.4 | 44.2 |
| 1983 | 68.9 | 41.5 |
| 1982 | 73.5 | 47.4 |
| 1981 | 73.5 | 48.3 |
| 1980 | 75.3 | 49.2 |
| 1979 | 68.7 | 41.8 |
| 1978 | 71.6 | 45.1 |
| 1977 | 72.3 | 46.7 |
| 1976 | 73.2 | 45.6 |
| 1975 | 70.9 | 43 |
| 1974 | 72.5 | 45.1 |
| 1973 | 71.9 | 44.6 |
| 1972 | 69.9 | 44.8 |
| 1971 | 73.1 | 47.2 |
| 1970 | 71.6 | 44.3 |
| 1969 | 70.6 | 46.3 |
| 1968 | 69.6 | 42.6 |
| 1967 | 66.9 | 41.5 |
| 1966 | 68.8 | 43 |
| 1965 | 63.5 | 36.8 |
| 1964 | 66.1 | 37.7 |
| 1963 | 70.9 | 43 |
| 1962 | 73 | 45 |
| 1961 | 71.5 | 45.4 |
| 1960 | 74.9 | 46.3 |
| 1959 | 75 | 46.3 |
| 1958 | 73 | 47.2 |
| 1957 | 74.8 | 48.7 |
| 1956 | 74.3 | 48.4 |
| 1955 | 72.8 | 45.5 |
| 1954 | 71.4 | 42.7 |
| 1953 | 73.7 | 47.8 |
| 1952 | 72 | 45.7 |
| 1951 | 75.1 | 45 |
| 1950 | 69.5 | 41.8 |
CMIP6 モデル中央値（SSP2-4.5、中道） · 2015–2100
| 年 | イスラエル | ヨルダン |
|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 105.988.4–122.7 | 81.862.6–98.9 |
| 2016 | 104.186.9–120.1 | 79.261.3–95.2 |
| 2017 | 107.892.2–121.4 | 82.466.3–96.6 |
| 2018 | 10993.8–124.2 | 84.868.8–102.1 |
| 2019 | 10989.1–124.5 | 87.467.5–100.7 |
| 2020 | 111.594.8–123.5 | 86.866.8–102.2 |
| 2021 | 11097.7–128.4 | 88.273.8–101.1 |
| 2022 | 111.493.6–130.2 | 88.170–103.7 |
| 2023 | 117.297.9–130.5 | 92.474.7–106.4 |
| 2024 | 114.5100.4–127.3 | 90.776.3–107.1 |
| 2025 | 116.698.3–129.2 | 94.173.1–105.2 |
| 2026 | 115.9104.9–126.2 | 91.678.6–106.9 |
| 2027 | 115.699–127.1 | 94.475.7–108.4 |
| 2028 | 116.3100.2–127.9 | 92.675.9–106.3 |
| 2029 | 117103.1–129.2 | 95.381.2–107.3 |
| 2030 | 118.6102.1–131.2 | 96.381.5–111.7 |
| 2031 | 116.8104.4–132.8 | 93.876.5–110.6 |
| 2032 | 121.4106.5–134.7 | 10086.4–110.9 |
| 2033 | 122.1108.9–134.7 | 100.683.6–113.6 |
| 2034 | 119.7103.1–133.4 | 98.882.4–112.3 |
| 2035 | 122.8105.8–138.8 | 101.883.2–115.2 |
| 2036 | 120.2105.5–136.2 | 97.885.1–116.2 |
| 2037 | 121.6106.3–139.4 | 10384.6–117.8 |
| 2038 | 126.5105.7–142.1 | 102.386.1–122.6 |
| 2039 | 127.7110.5–147.1 | 107.190.5–125.7 |
| 2040 | 124.2109.7–144.9 | 106.387.8–125.5 |
| 2041 | 126108.4–141.5 | 103.787.8–123.2 |
| 2042 | 128.5105.8–144.3 | 108.586.5–122.3 |
| 2043 | 126.5111.8–144.3 | 105.791–124.9 |
| 2044 | 125.9108.5–142.9 | 105.682.8–125.1 |
| 2045 | 130.9117.5–148.6 | 11298.8–128 |
| 2046 | 131114.4–147.2 | 11395.5–127.5 |
| 2047 | 132.3116.1–145.4 | 112.293–125.7 |
| 2048 | 129.9118.5–146.9 | 111.893.7–129.7 |
| 2049 | 127.9108.7–143.9 | 110.384.7–125.6 |
| 2050 | 133.3114.3–147 | 112.495.9–127.2 |
| 2051 | 130.3116.7–143.9 | 112.397–125.6 |
| 2052 | 130.3119.9–143.5 | 110.697.4–125.9 |
| 2053 | 135120.4–149.7 | 113.798.2–129.9 |
| 2054 | 134.1118.8–149.3 | 115.492.5–130.9 |
| 2055 | 134.1115.2–150.3 | 115.794.8–130.2 |
| 2056 | 136110.1–151.1 | 115.394.2–130.5 |
| 2057 | 132.7110.9–155 | 115.496.7–135.6 |
| 2058 | 135.7119.1–155.4 | 116.196.6–136.8 |
| 2059 | 138.8118.5–156.7 | 120.998.5–137.1 |
| 2060 | 136.1116.3–159.2 | 115.898.7–138.7 |
| 2061 | 136119–150.7 | 118.897.1–132.3 |
| 2062 | 139118.7–156 | 12091.6–136.4 |
| 2063 | 137.4120.1–151.2 | 118.7101.7–135.9 |
| 2064 | 139.3121–154.3 | 121.4103.3–135.9 |
| 2065 | 139.6122.3–154.3 | 120.2100.4–134.9 |
| 2066 | 137.3119.6–153.7 | 120.498.5–135 |
| 2067 | 142.8126–157.8 | 124106.1–139.5 |
| 2068 | 141.2122.8–156.4 | 123.2105.3–138.1 |
| 2069 | 141.5123.7–157.6 | 118.8105.4–137.2 |
| 2070 | 141.8120.5–157.5 | 123104–140.8 |
| 2071 | 142.9124.3–161.8 | 123.6103.8–144.3 |
| 2072 | 144.3127–158.5 | 124.5106.3–140.9 |
| 2073 | 143.6127.3–159.2 | 126.6104.8–144.4 |
| 2074 | 138.8123–162.2 | 120.9103–139.6 |
| 2075 | 138.1120.8–154.6 | 121.7103.1–138.1 |
| 2076 | 143.2126.8–161.5 | 124.1105.4–144.2 |
| 2077 | 142.8120.5–161.6 | 124.2105.3–143.9 |
| 2078 | 143.6128.2–160.6 | 124.7105.6–142.8 |
| 2079 | 148.6123.7–160.2 | 132107–143.6 |
| 2080 | 145.5123.5–163.7 | 128.9106.2–144.4 |
| 2081 | 143.7128.1–161.2 | 125.3108.7–144.8 |
| 2082 | 145.8129.5–160.6 | 128107.9–145.2 |
| 2083 | 149.4126–163.1 | 130.9108–144.7 |
| 2084 | 148128.2–164 | 130.5110.6–145 |
| 2085 | 149127.9–162.4 | 129.1108.8–141.7 |
| 2086 | 148127.4–167.1 | 127.5108.9–147.6 |
| 2087 | 146.4123.7–165.7 | 129.8106.1–148.4 |
| 2088 | 147.6133.5–165.3 | 132.2114.9–149.4 |
| 2089 | 148.4131.4–169.1 | 128.7113.4–148.5 |
| 2090 | 147.6132.4–168.8 | 128.2111.9–151.3 |
| 2091 | 151.9131.7–170.6 | 132.8112.5–152.1 |
| 2092 | 148.2132–167.4 | 130.6108.3–152.6 |
| 2093 | 154.1135.3–172.2 | 135.8116.2–154.4 |
| 2094 | 153.2133.6–170.3 | 135.9116.3–150.6 |
| 2095 | 148.2131.4–164.1 | 133112.7–149.6 |
| 2096 | 150.5130.5–172.6 | 130.4108.1–151.3 |
| 2097 | 149.8134.4–172.7 | 134.5113.5–155.4 |
| 2098 | 150.9131.3–170.1 | 132.5114.9–152.3 |
| 2099 | 149.5129–166.6 | 132.1115.3–145.3 |
| 2100 | 149.4130.1–168.5 | 131.7111.2–153.1 |
国ごとに見る
知っておきたいこと
- 気温が 20 °C を下回らない夜の年間日数の国内平均。
- 出典：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
- 破線はCMIP6 モデル中央値（SSP2-4.5、中道）です。確定した見通しではなく、ひとつのシナリオです。帯はそのモデルの 10〜90 パーセンタイルを示します。
- 気候モデルの値は CMIP6 モデルの中央値で、2014 年までは過去の排出量、それ以降は中間的な経路である SSP2-4.5 に基づいて計算したものです。観測値ではありません。
各レイヤーの仕組み、データの出どころ、そこからはわからないこと： 国々の推移