阿尔及利亚与叙利亚：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：阿尔及利亚为 147.8 夜，叙利亚为 89.6 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年阿尔及利亚的数值较高，高出 58.2 夜，是叙利亚的 1.65 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

阿尔及利亚叙利亚CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，阿尔及利亚的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年阿尔及利亚为 177.5 夜，叙利亚为 133.8 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	阿尔及利亚	叙利亚
2014	147.8	89.6
2013	149.2	90.8
2012	149.1	91.2
2011	149.8	89.6
2010	148.7	88.1
2009	146.5	86.2
2008	148.3	87.9
2007	146.6	85
2006	146.4	87.3
2005	145.5	85.3
2004	146	86.7
2003	145	86.7
2002	144.9	84.3
2001	144.7	85.9
2000	144	83.2
1999	141.4	82.1
1998	142.2	80.5
1997	141.4	80.5
1996	139.6	78.1
1995	137.5	75.8
1994	138	76.7
1993	135.3	71.5
1992	131.6	71.3
1991	138.7	75.5
1990	141.6	79.3
1989	137.6	75.7
1988	137.3	76.2
1987	136.4	73
1986	136.2	76
1985	133.4	72.6
1984	135.2	69.6
1983	133.9	67.9
1982	136.5	72
1981	134.7	72
1980	133.5	75
1979	135	67.7
1978	134.8	70.2
1977	133.3	70.1
1976	133.8	73.4
1975	134	69
1974	130	70
1973	133.8	70.7
1972	133.3	70.1
1971	130.8	70.7
1970	128.7	70.9
1969	131.5	71.3
1968	131.3	68.7
1967	131	68.8
1966	131	68.8
1965	127.2	64.3
1964	131.7	66.4
1963	131	69.1
1962	132.6	71.5
1961	132.4	70.8
1960	134.4	71.7
1959	134.3	72.7
1958	133.8	72.8
1957	134.6	72.6
1956	132.8	72.2
1955	133.2	70.3
1954	130.2	68.9
1953	130.1	72.2
1952	132.8	70.8
1951	133.7	72.4
1950	131.7	68.9

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	阿尔及利亚	叙利亚
2015	149.7136.5–163.3	96.981.9–110.9
2016	148.4136.2–163.8	93.581.2–108.2
2017	155139.3–169.4	9782.1–109.5
2018	154.4138.5–167.4	97.785.9–111
2019	153.9139.9–167.9	98.983.7–111.2
2020	152.8138.9–166.4	98.683.7–112.6
2021	156.2142.9–168.2	10087.1–110.7
2022	157.3142.1–173.6	101.684.9–113.2
2023	153.8139.7–166.7	101.988.3–115.3
2024	157.2145.1–170.4	102.790.7–113.8
2025	156142.2–170	102.988.6–114.2
2026	158145.8–170.5	103.389.5–116.1
2027	157.9144.9–172	103.886.7–116.5
2028	159.1145.3–170.6	103.589.2–116.4
2029	158.6145.9–171	105.694–116.3
2030	157.3142.8–169.1	105.991.3–119.2
2031	158.9145.5–174.1	105.190.7–116
2032	162.1151.7–174.9	107.893.2–119.4
2033	161.3144.7–173.9	108.796.6–119.1
2034	161.5145.2–176.1	107.593.9–119
2035	162.6149.6–177.8	108.596.3–118.3
2036	161.7149.4–175.3	105.793.2–118.7
2037	161.9147.5–176.4	109.294.8–121.9
2038	164148–178	111.897.8–125.5
2039	163.4147.7–179.3	112.398.9–128
2040	163.8149.7–179	111.898.5–127.5
2041	162.1147.9–175.2	110.799.1–124.5
2042	165.2151.6–180.4	112.996.4–126.5
2043	163.7150.7–174.1	113.199.7–127.3
2044	164.1150.7–177.7	112.599.8–128.8
2045	166.3153.8–177.7	118.4105.5–131.3
2046	165.5151.5–178.8	117.2104.7–129
2047	166.9151.1–182.8	114.9100.6–129.1
2048	166.9154.5–180.8	114.3101.2–130.8
2049	166.2153.1–178.7	11499.3–128.9
2050	168.1152.8–180.9	116.8104.6–132.7
2051	166.4152.8–181.4	117.7105.5–129
2052	167.9155.5–185.3	116.2103.9–128.2
2053	167.8153.5–183	119.1105.2–131.3
2054	169.9154.7–184.1	119.7102.7–135.5
2055	171.2156.6–185	120.8104.3–134.2
2056	169.6154.7–185	119.799.9–132.9
2057	169.5154.9–186.3	120.6102.3–137.1
2058	168.8154.9–187.6	120.1103.1–136.5
2059	171157–188.4	123.5107.4–137.2
2060	171.7156.6–186.7	119.6106.4–140.3
2061	174160.5–186.9	122.8103.9–136.1
2062	170154.4–189.1	121.8104.3–136.5
2063	173.1158.9–187.6	122.1106.2–136.7
2064	171.3156.5–187.5	124.3108.4–136.6
2065	172.4158.1–185.8	123.7108.9–138.7
2066	172.7157.8–189.5	122.1104.4–136.2
2067	173.3158.5–188	126111.1–142.7
2068	174.6157.3–191.3	126.8112.1–140.3
2069	174.7158.7–188.1	123107.9–137.3
2070	173.3159.4–186.8	126.5110.3–139.4
2071	173.9159.5–192.1	126109.5–142.8
2072	176.4160–191	128111.8–141.9
2073	175.3160.4–192.4	127.6108–143.7
2074	176.7157.1–191.8	124.2107–139.7
2075	174.3158.7–193.2	124.7109.2–140.6
2076	176.3161.3–192.1	126.6109.8–140.8
2077	175.9160.3–194	127.5109–143.3
2078	180164.9–191.9	127.2113.3–141.8
2079	178157.2–194.5	132.9116–146.9
2080	178160.3–192.5	129111.8–144.3
2081	175.3161.2–192.8	127.6112.5–145.6
2082	177.2160.2–192.3	129.1111.3–143.8
2083	178.5161.1–195.6	133.2110.3–144.1
2084	180.1164.6–192.9	132.2111–145.1
2085	179.6159.9–197.5	130.9112.7–143.3
2086	179.8163.9–196.8	130.9112.6–146.5
2087	179160.6–195.3	129.6109.8–148.7
2088	179.3163.3–198.8	132.5116.9–146.5
2089	178.9163.6–197.4	130.4115.3–148.4
2090	180.5161.9–196.8	128.9115–145.8
2091	179.6164.9–197.5	133.4116–150.3
2092	181.6164.7–195.6	131.6115.3–149
2093	181.1162.6–199.4	135119.8–151
2094	180.6164.4–193.7	134118–148.5
2095	181.1164.5–195.8	134.3117.3–148.9
2096	180.7165.8–199.4	131.5113.7–148.7
2097	178.3162.2–193.1	136.2112.7–154.1
2098	180.4164.5–198.3	131.5115.2–152.2
2099	182165.3–199.3	132.8116–145.1
2100	177.5163.3–199.1	133.8113.2–152.2

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

阿尔及利亚与叙利亚对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数阿尔及利亚：2022 年为 10 人死亡叙利亚：2022 年为 1,574 人死亡